NBIS — Nebius Group N.V.

Founder-Led

Stock analysis, trade plans, and proprietary indicators by Trend Edge.

About Nebius Group N.V.

Nebius Group N.V., a technology company, engages in building full-stack infrastructure to service the global AI industry in the United States, the United Kingdom, and internationally. It offers Nebius builds full-stack infrastructure for AI, including large-scale GPU clusters, cloud platforms, and tools and services for developers. The company also provides TripleTen, an edtech platform for re-skilling individuals for careers in technolgy; and Av… Read full Trend Edge analysis →

Trend Edge Proprietary Indicators

Key Metrics

Current Price$208.37
Market Cap$54.90B
Float210.6M
Shares Outstanding220.4M
P/E (Forward)68.49
P/E (TTM)83.16
Price/Sales (TTM)63.61
vs. Analyst Target+10.7% to analyst PT
Profit Margin93.09%
Operating Margin (TTM)-32.08%
Revenue (TTM)$878M
Dividend RateNone
Analyst Target Price$230.77 (3 analysts)

Financial History

Annual Revenue & Earnings History

YearRevenueNet IncomeGross ProfitEBITDA
2020 $2.95B $333M $1.79B $425M
2021 $4.76B -$196M $2.43B $110M
2022 $13.5M $746M -$14.9M -$131M
2023 $20.9M $241M -$11.0M -$298M
2024 $118M -$641M $44.1M -$363M
2025 $530M $102M $364M -$192M

Recent Quarterly Revenue & Net Income

QuarterRevenueNet Income
Jun 2025 $105M $584M
Sep 2025 $146M -$120M
Dec 2025 $228M -$250M
Mar 2026 $399M $621M

Ownership & Float

Insider Ownership3.7%
Institutional Ownership57.6%
Short Float20.5%
% of All Funds Holding8.32%
Number of Funds Holding684

Current Moving Averages

Trend Edge tracks near-term, medium-term, cyclical, and secular moving averages across weekly and monthly timeframes to identify trend structure at every horizon.

TimeframeSMAValueTrend Context
Weekly10-Week SMA$163.35Near-term / short-term trend
Weekly40-Week SMA$114.72Medium-term trend
Weekly80-Week SMA$76.26Cyclical trend (business cycle)
Weekly200-Week SMA$0.00Secular trend (multi-year)
Monthly10-Month SMA$111.67Near-term monthly trend
Monthly20-Month SMA$72.16Medium-term monthly trend
Monthly40-Month SMA$0.00Secular monthly trend

Volume Shelves — Support & Resistance

Trend Edge identifies volume shelves: price zones where historically elevated trading volume creates structural support or resistance. A volume shelf forms when a disproportionate share of cumulative volume was transacted at a specific price level, making it a high-conviction anchor for future price reactions.

Price LevelTypeVolume RatioAge
$66.00 support 1.70x 7 months ago
$52.00 support 1.15x 8 months ago

Historical Earnings Reactions (7 events)

TimeframeAvg ReturnMedianWin RateBestWorst
Gap 0.36% 0.14% 57.14% 4.39% -3.68%
1 Day -0.72% -0.56% 42.86% 9.23% -13.87%
1 Week -3.11% -2.81% 42.86% 12.13% -29.75%
2 Weeks -5.21% 0.99% 66.67% 18.29% -39.48%
1 Month 16.85% 31.24% 66.67% 51.12% -41.25%

Next earnings: August 8, 2026 (71 days away)

Seasonality & Day-of-Week Patterns

Monthly Seasonality

Insufficient historical data for monthly seasonality analysis (requires 7+ years of data).

Day-of-Week Tendencies

Top Institutional Holders

Institutional holder breakdown coming soon.

Total institutional ownership: 57.6%

Insider Transactions — Smart Summary

Total insider ownership: 3.7%

Founder-led management: Arkady Volozh (Founder, CEO & Non-Independent Executive Director)

12-Month Insider Activity Summary

Total Filings14
Net Value-$217M
Net Shares Change-169,971
% of Float-0.1%
C-Suite Filings10
Clusters Detected2

Key Insiders

NameTitleNet ValueFilingsActivity
Bunina Elena -$8.3M 4 N/A
Volozh Arkadiy CEO -$3.5M 1 1 sell
Korolenko Andrey Chief Infrastructure Officer -$2.7M 1 1 sell
Shtan Danila Chief Technology Officer -$1.3M 1 1 sell
Tal Boaz General Counsel -$1.3M 2 1 sell
Boroditsky Marc Chief Revenue Officer -$978,975 1 N/A

Transaction Clusters

PeriodFilingsInsidersNet ValueSeniority
2026-04-01 – 2026-04-14 6 5 -$14.3M 5 C-suite
2026-05-05 – 2026-05-19 6 3 -$209M 3 C-suite

Significant Filings

DateInsiderTitleNet ValuePrice After
2026-04-02 Volozh Arkadiy CEO -$3.5M Transaction at $103.73, now +100.9%
2026-04-01 Shtan Danila Chief Technology Officer -$1.3M Transaction at $98.78, now +111.0%
2026-04-01 Korolenko Andrey Chief Infrastructure Officer -$2.7M Transaction at $98.78, now +111.0%
2026-04-01 Tal Boaz General Counsel -$299,882.114 Transaction at $98.78, now +111.0%
2026-05-19 Boroditsky Marc Chief Revenue Officer -$978,975 Transaction at $217.55, now -4.2%
2026-05-15 Bunina Elena -$2.3M Transaction at $206.87, now +0.7%

View full insider transaction history on Trend Edge →

AI Consult Analysis

Trend Edge's AI Consult feature delivers a comprehensive, multi-layer trade plan for Nebius Group N.V. (NBIS) powered by Claude Opus — Anthropic's most capable AI model. The analysis covers five layers: technical analysis (near-term, medium-term, cyclical, and secular trend, momentum, volume shelf support and resistance, breakout and breakdown signals), qualitative analysis (business model, competitive moat, sector dynamics), insider sentiment (buy and sell signals from executive and director transactions), share stats analysis (institutional accumulation, fund positioning, short float squeeze potential), and fundamental analysis (valuation, revenue growth, profit margin, earnings quality).

AI Consult synthesizes all five layers into a single bullish or bearish thesis with explicit entry, exit, stop loss, and take profit levels — giving you a complete, AI-powered trade plan with defined risk/reward. Whether you are building a long position, initiating a short, or looking for a reversal setup, AI Consult identifies the highest-probability signal from the current trend.

Get the full AI Consult analysis for NBIS on Trend Edge →