XPON — Expion360 Inc

Stock analysis, trade plans, and proprietary indicators by Trend Edge.

Trend Edge Setup Score

Trend Edge rates XPON Bearish with a Setup Score of 12, net conviction 36, actionability 4. How the Setup Score works →

Total Setup Score12
Directional BiasBearish
Net Conviction36
Actionability4 (in range)

Key signals behind this score

About Expion360 Inc

Expion Energy, Inc. designs, assembles, manufactures, and sells lithium iron phosphate (LiFePO4) batteries and supporting accessories in North America. The company offers 12V batteries, including Group 24, Group 27, GC2, and EX1 custom; and 48V batteries, such as GC2. It also provides accessories comprising battery monitors, DC-DC battery chargers, solar charge controller battery chargers, CANBus communication cables, 120W portable solar panels, … Read full Trend Edge analysis →

Trend Edge Proprietary Indicators

Key Metrics

Current Price$4.85
Market Cap$4.8M
Float800K
Shares Outstanding953K
Price/Sales (TTM)0.59
Profit Margin-82.32%
Operating Margin (TTM)-64.10%
Revenue (TTM)$8.2M
Dividend RateNone

Financial History

Annual Revenue & Earnings History

YearRevenueNet IncomeGross ProfitEBITDA
2020 $1.6M -$876,480 $302,967 -$661,038
2021 $4.5M -$4.7M $1.6M -$4.1M
2022 $7.2M -$7.5M $2.3M -$5.8M
2023 $6.0M -$7.5M $1.6M -$7.1M
2024 $5.6M -$13.5M $1.2M -$12.3M
2025 $9.7M -$6.2M $1.3M -$6.1M

Recent Quarterly Revenue & Net Income

QuarterRevenueNet Income
Sep 2025 $2.4M $722,792
Dec 2025 $2.2M -$4.4M
Mar 2026 $1.6M -$1.8M
Jun 2026 $2.0M -$1.3M

Ownership & Float

Insider Ownership30.3%
Institutional Ownership6.1%
Short Float33.6%
% of All Funds Holding0.15%
Number of Funds Holding13

Current Moving Averages

Trend Edge tracks near-term, medium-term, cyclical, and secular moving averages across weekly and monthly timeframes to identify trend structure at every horizon.

TimeframeSMAValueTrend Context
Weekly10-Week SMA$4.53Near-term / short-term trend
Weekly40-Week SMA$6.96Medium-term trend
Weekly80-Week SMA$10.39Cyclical trend (business cycle)
Weekly200-Week SMA$1939.10Secular trend (multi-year)
Monthly10-Month SMA$6.77Near-term monthly trend
Monthly20-Month SMA$10.22Medium-term monthly trend
Monthly40-Month SMA$1523.30Secular monthly trend

Volume Shelves — Support & Resistance

Trend Edge identifies volume shelves: price zones where historically elevated trading volume creates structural support or resistance. A volume shelf forms when a disproportionate share of cumulative volume was transacted at a specific price level, making it a high-conviction anchor for future price reactions.

Price LevelTypeVolume RatioAge
$3.70 support 9.32x 0 months ago
$44.00 resistance 1.99x 19 months ago
$576.00 resistance 9.55x 24 months ago
$1230.00 resistance 1.34x 25 months ago

Historical Earnings Reactions (18 events)

TimeframeAvg ReturnMedianWin RateBestWorst
Gap 10.71% 0.41% 50.00% 179.39% -28.41%
1 Day -2.95% -2.85% 22.22% 54.20% -24.64%
1 Week -11.78% -14.37% 11.11% 27.67% -31.73%
2 Weeks -8.71% -12.17% 11.11% 78.67% -40.38%
1 Month -21.23% -24.76% 5.88% 6.89% -44.00%

Next earnings: November 12, 2026 (51 days away)

Seasonality & Day-of-Week Patterns

Monthly Seasonality

Insufficient historical data for monthly seasonality analysis (requires 7+ years of data).

Day-of-Week Tendencies

DayAvg ReturnWin RateSamples
Monday -0.32% 40.4% 208
Tuesday -1.23% 40.1% 232
Wednesday -0.21% 43.9% 230
Thursday 0.19% 42.9% 224
Friday 0.34% 42.2% 225

Top Institutional Holders

Institutional holder breakdown coming soon.

Total institutional ownership: 6.1%

Insider Transactions — Smart Summary

Total insider ownership: 30.3%

Full insider transaction history and smart buy/sell sentiment summary available on Trend Edge.

AI Consult Analysis

Trend Edge's AI Consult feature delivers a comprehensive, multi-layer trade plan for Expion360 Inc (XPON) powered by Claude Opus — Anthropic's most capable AI model. The analysis covers five layers: technical analysis (near-term, medium-term, cyclical, and secular trend, momentum, volume shelf support and resistance, breakout and breakdown signals), qualitative analysis (business model, competitive moat, sector dynamics), insider sentiment (buy and sell signals from executive and director transactions), share stats analysis (institutional accumulation, fund positioning, short float squeeze potential), and fundamental analysis (valuation, revenue growth, profit margin, earnings quality).

AI Consult synthesizes all five layers into a single bullish or bearish thesis with explicit entry, exit, stop loss, and take profit levels — giving you a complete, AI-powered trade plan with defined risk/reward. Whether you are building a long position, initiating a short, or looking for a reversal setup, AI Consult identifies the highest-probability signal from the current trend.

Get the full AI Consult analysis for XPON on Trend Edge →