BLDP — Ballard Power Systems Inc

Stock analysis, trade plans, and proprietary indicators by Trend Edge.

About Ballard Power Systems Inc

Ballard Power Systems Inc. engages in the design, development, manufacture, sale, and service of proton exchange membrane (PEM) fuel cell products. The company offers products for various applications focusing on power products for bus, truck, rail, marine, stationary, and emerging market, such as material handling, off-road, and other applications. Read full Trend Edge analysis →

Trend Edge Proprietary Indicators

Key Metrics

Current Price$5.94
Market Cap$1.64B
Float266.2M
Shares Outstanding301.5M
P/E (Forward)98.04
Price/Sales (TTM)15.83
vs. Analyst Target-29.5% to analyst PT
Profit Margin-78.60%
Operating Margin (TTM)-67.31%
Revenue (TTM)$103M
Dividend RateNone
Analyst Target Price$4.19 (17 analysts)

Financial History

Annual Revenue & Earnings History

YearRevenueNet IncomeGross ProfitEBITDA
2020 $104M -$51.4M $21.0M -$40.2M
2021 $105M -$114M $14.0M -$86.7M
2022 $83.8M -$173M -$13.1M -$145M
2023 $102M -$178M -$21.8M -$122M
2024 $69.7M -$324M -$22.0M -$309M
2025 $101M -$92.5M $2.4M -$77.4M

Recent Quarterly Revenue & Net Income

QuarterRevenueNet Income
Jun 2025 $17.8M -$24.3M
Sep 2025 $32.5M -$28.1M
Dec 2025 $33.6M -$17.5M
Mar 2026 $19.4M -$11.4M

Ownership & Float

Insider Ownership10.5%
Institutional Ownership32.8%
Short Float7.9%
% of All Funds Holding1.69%
Number of Funds Holding139

Current Moving Averages

Trend Edge tracks near-term, medium-term, cyclical, and secular moving averages across weekly and monthly timeframes to identify trend structure at every horizon.

TimeframeSMAValueTrend Context
Weekly10-Week SMA$3.74Near-term / short-term trend
Weekly40-Week SMA$2.94Medium-term trend
Weekly80-Week SMA$2.23Cyclical trend (business cycle)
Weekly200-Week SMA$3.35Secular trend (multi-year)
Monthly10-Month SMA$2.99Near-term monthly trend
Monthly20-Month SMA$2.21Medium-term monthly trend
Monthly40-Month SMA$2.87Secular monthly trend

Volume Shelves — Support & Resistance

Trend Edge identifies volume shelves: price zones where historically elevated trading volume creates structural support or resistance. A volume shelf forms when a disproportionate share of cumulative volume was transacted at a specific price level, making it a high-conviction anchor for future price reactions.

Price LevelTypeVolume RatioAge
$3.50 support 2.04x 0 months ago
$1.60 support 1.07x 9 months ago
$1.30 support 1.32x 10 months ago

Historical Earnings Reactions (112 events)

TimeframeAvg ReturnMedianWin RateBestWorst
Gap -0.37% 0.00% 44.64% 5.52% -13.17%
1 Day -0.36% 0.00% 43.75% 12.72% -19.16%
1 Week -2.85% -3.01% 33.04% 18.42% -30.41%
2 Weeks -1.89% -3.58% 37.50% 59.72% -42.19%
1 Month -0.95% -4.13% 39.09% 154.55% -57.50%

Next earnings: July 24, 2026 (57 days away)

Seasonality & Day-of-Week Patterns

Monthly Seasonality

MonthAvg ReturnWin RateSamples
Jan10.8%54.8%31
Feb7.8%54.8%31
Mar2.6%41.9%31
Apr5.2%54.8%31
May-1.9%33.3%30
Jun0.3%43.3%30
Jul-1.5%40.0%30
Aug-1.4%46.7%30
Sep2.8%46.7%30
Oct4.5%46.7%30
Nov-4.2%30.0%30
Dec-3.5%41.9%31

Day-of-Week Tendencies

DayAvg ReturnWin RateSamples
Monday 0.32% 47.0% 1444
Tuesday 0.07% 45.1% 1578
Wednesday 0.16% 44.1% 1576
Thursday -0.17% 42.1% 1545
Friday 0.16% 44.2% 1540

Top Institutional Holders

Institutional holder breakdown coming soon.

Total institutional ownership: 32.8%

Insider Transactions — Smart Summary

Total insider ownership: 10.5%

Full insider transaction history and smart buy/sell sentiment summary available on Trend Edge.

AI Consult Analysis

Trend Edge's AI Consult feature delivers a comprehensive, multi-layer trade plan for Ballard Power Systems Inc (BLDP) powered by Claude Opus — Anthropic's most capable AI model. The analysis covers five layers: technical analysis (near-term, medium-term, cyclical, and secular trend, momentum, volume shelf support and resistance, breakout and breakdown signals), qualitative analysis (business model, competitive moat, sector dynamics), insider sentiment (buy and sell signals from executive and director transactions), share stats analysis (institutional accumulation, fund positioning, short float squeeze potential), and fundamental analysis (valuation, revenue growth, profit margin, earnings quality).

AI Consult synthesizes all five layers into a single bullish or bearish thesis with explicit entry, exit, stop loss, and take profit levels — giving you a complete, AI-powered trade plan with defined risk/reward. Whether you are building a long position, initiating a short, or looking for a reversal setup, AI Consult identifies the highest-probability signal from the current trend.

Get the full AI Consult analysis for BLDP on Trend Edge →