VGZ — Vista Gold Corporation

Stock analysis, trade plans, and proprietary indicators by Trend Edge.

About Vista Gold Corporation

Vista Gold Corp., together with its subsidiaries, operates as a development-stage company in the gold mining industry. Its flagship asset is the 100% owned Mt Todd gold project located in the Northern Territory, Australia. The company was formerly known as Granges, Inc. and changed its name to Vista Gold Corp. in November 1996. Vista Gold Corp. was incorporated in 1983 and is based in Englewood, Colorado.… Read full Trend Edge analysis →

Trend Edge Proprietary Indicators

Key Metrics

Current Price$2.27
Market Cap$323M
Float138.3M
Shares Outstanding146.0M
P/E (Forward)6.75
Price/Sales (TTM)380.58
vs. Analyst Target+98.2% to analyst PT
Dividend RateNone
Analyst Target Price$4.50 (1 analysts)

Financial History

Annual Revenue & Earnings History

YearRevenueNet IncomeGross ProfitEBITDA
2020 N/A $420,000 -$48,000 -$8.3M
2021 N/A -$15.2M -$49,000 -$11.9M
2022 N/A -$4.9M -$45,000 -$8.3M
2023 N/A -$6.6M -$40,000 -$6.7M
2024 N/A $11.2M -$55,000 -$7.1M
2025 N/A -$7.5M -$88,000 -$9.2M

Recent Quarterly Revenue & Net Income

QuarterRevenueNet Income
Jun 2025 N/A -$2.4M
Sep 2025 N/A -$723,000
Dec 2025 N/A -$1.7M
Mar 2026 N/A -$3.1M

Ownership & Float

Insider Ownership3.4%
Institutional Ownership25.8%
Short Float0.7%
% of All Funds Holding0.82%
Number of Funds Holding67

Current Moving Averages

Trend Edge tracks near-term, medium-term, cyclical, and secular moving averages across weekly and monthly timeframes to identify trend structure at every horizon.

TimeframeSMAValueTrend Context
Weekly10-Week SMA$2.13Near-term / short-term trend
Weekly40-Week SMA$2.08Medium-term trend
Weekly80-Week SMA$1.45Cyclical trend (business cycle)
Weekly200-Week SMA$0.90Secular trend (multi-year)
Monthly10-Month SMA$2.04Near-term monthly trend
Monthly20-Month SMA$1.42Medium-term monthly trend
Monthly40-Month SMA$0.97Secular monthly trend

Volume Shelves — Support & Resistance

Trend Edge identifies volume shelves: price zones where historically elevated trading volume creates structural support or resistance. A volume shelf forms when a disproportionate share of cumulative volume was transacted at a specific price level, making it a high-conviction anchor for future price reactions.

Price LevelTypeVolume RatioAge
$2.80 resistance 1.40x 1 months ago
$1.70 support 1.11x 5 months ago
$1.30 support 2.93x 7 months ago
$1.00 support 1.46x 8 months ago
$0.70 support 1.61x 13 months ago

Historical Earnings Reactions (90 events)

TimeframeAvg ReturnMedianWin RateBestWorst
Gap 0.13% 0.00% 44.44% 6.25% -10.29%
1 Day -0.50% -1.11% 33.33% 19.14% -14.71%
1 Week 0.54% 0.00% 45.56% 38.41% -22.36%
2 Weeks 1.76% 0.73% 51.11% 62.32% -45.59%
1 Month -0.05% -4.00% 41.57% 104.72% -30.88%

Next earnings: July 19, 2026 (53 days away)

Seasonality & Day-of-Week Patterns

Monthly Seasonality

MonthAvg ReturnWin RateSamples
Jan9.1%54.8%42
Feb6.0%45.2%42
Mar2.1%42.9%42
Apr2.4%38.1%42
May3.8%41.5%41
Jun-0.7%31.7%41
Jul0.3%43.9%41
Aug1.8%48.8%41
Sep2.3%43.9%41
Oct-6.1%29.3%41
Nov-3.4%39.0%41
Dec0.1%40.5%42

Day-of-Week Tendencies

DayAvg ReturnWin RateSamples
Monday 0.21% 35.8% 1973
Tuesday -0.04% 35.3% 2143
Wednesday 0.31% 37.8% 2141
Thursday -0.03% 35.5% 2101
Friday 0.37% 37.3% 2091

Top Institutional Holders

Institutional holder breakdown coming soon.

Total institutional ownership: 25.8%

Insider Transactions — Smart Summary

Total insider ownership: 3.4%

12-Month Insider Activity Summary

Total Filings10
Net Value+N/A
Net Shares Change-5,759,484
% of Float-4.2%
C-Suite Filings0
Clusters Detected0

Key Insiders

NameTitleNet ValueFilingsActivity
SUN VALLEY GOLD LLC -$12.1M 10 10 sell

Significant Filings

DateInsiderTitleNet ValuePrice After
2025-12-22 SUN VALLEY GOLD LLC -$1.9M Transaction at $2.13, now +6.7%
2025-11-14 SUN VALLEY GOLD LLC -$2.2M Transaction at $1.74, now +30.5%
2025-11-07 SUN VALLEY GOLD LLC -$4.0M Transaction at $2.24, now +1.4%
2025-09-23 SUN VALLEY GOLD LLC -$1.3M Transaction at $2.24, now +1.3%
2025-12-29 SUN VALLEY GOLD LLC -$880,000 Transaction at $2.20, now +3.2%
2025-10-16 SUN VALLEY GOLD LLC -$798,723.66 Transaction at $2.19, now +3.7%

View full insider transaction history on Trend Edge →

AI Consult Analysis

Trend Edge's AI Consult feature delivers a comprehensive, multi-layer trade plan for Vista Gold Corporation (VGZ) powered by Claude Opus — Anthropic's most capable AI model. The analysis covers five layers: technical analysis (near-term, medium-term, cyclical, and secular trend, momentum, volume shelf support and resistance, breakout and breakdown signals), qualitative analysis (business model, competitive moat, sector dynamics), insider sentiment (buy and sell signals from executive and director transactions), share stats analysis (institutional accumulation, fund positioning, short float squeeze potential), and fundamental analysis (valuation, revenue growth, profit margin, earnings quality).

AI Consult synthesizes all five layers into a single bullish or bearish thesis with explicit entry, exit, stop loss, and take profit levels — giving you a complete, AI-powered trade plan with defined risk/reward. Whether you are building a long position, initiating a short, or looking for a reversal setup, AI Consult identifies the highest-probability signal from the current trend.

Get the full AI Consult analysis for VGZ on Trend Edge →