KGC — Kinross Gold Corporation

Stock analysis, trade plans, and proprietary indicators by Trend Edge.

Trend Edge Setup Score

Trend Edge rates KGC Bullish with a Setup Score of 59, net conviction 49, actionability 70. How the Setup Score works →

Total Setup Score59
Directional BiasBullish
Net Conviction49
Actionability70 (in range)

Key signals behind this score

About Kinross Gold Corporation

Kinross Gold Corporation, together with its subsidiaries, engages in the acquisition, exploration, and development of gold properties principally in the United States, Brazil, Chile, Canada, and Mauritania. It is also involved in the extraction and processing of gold-containing ores; reclamation of gold mining properties; and production and sale of silver. Read full Trend Edge analysis →

Trend Edge Proprietary Indicators

Key Metrics

Current Price$24.14
Market Cap$28.90B
Float1.19B
Shares Outstanding1.19B
P/E (Forward)7.76
P/E (TTM)9.80
Price/Sales (TTM)3.63
vs. Analyst Target+58.4% to analyst PT
Profit Margin35.99%
Operating Margin (TTM)55.09%
Revenue (TTM)$7.96B
Earnings Growth (YoY)133.90%
Dividend Rate0.1%
Analyst Target Price$38.23 (18 analysts)

Financial History

Annual Revenue & Earnings History

YearRevenueNet IncomeGross ProfitEBITDA
2020 $4.21B $1.34B $2.30B $2.73B
2021 $2.60B $221M $541M $852M
2022 $3.46B -$605M $515M $959M
2023 $4.24B $416M $1.16B $1.76B
2024 $5.15B $949M $1.88B $2.68B
2025 $7.17B $2.43B $3.40B $4.51B

Recent Quarterly Revenue & Net Income

QuarterRevenueNet Income
Jun 2025 $1.73B $531M
Sep 2025 $1.78B $578M
Dec 2025 $2.05B $920M
Mar 2026 $2.37B $831M

Ownership & Float

Insider Ownership0.2%
Institutional Ownership69.1%
Short Float1.7%
% of All Funds Holding7.45%
Number of Funds Holding612

Current Moving Averages

Trend Edge tracks near-term, medium-term, cyclical, and secular moving averages across weekly and monthly timeframes to identify trend structure at every horizon.

TimeframeSMAValueTrend Context
Weekly10-Week SMA$26.99Near-term / short-term trend
Weekly40-Week SMA$29.05Medium-term trend
Weekly80-Week SMA$22.15Cyclical trend (business cycle)
Weekly200-Week SMA$12.50Secular trend (multi-year)
Monthly10-Month SMA$28.68Near-term monthly trend
Monthly20-Month SMA$21.88Medium-term monthly trend
Monthly40-Month SMA$14.26Secular monthly trend

Volume Shelves — Support & Resistance

Trend Edge identifies volume shelves: price zones where historically elevated trading volume creates structural support or resistance. A volume shelf forms when a disproportionate share of cumulative volume was transacted at a specific price level, making it a high-conviction anchor for future price reactions.

Price LevelTypeVolume RatioAge
$21.40 support 1.00x 9 months ago
$12.70 support 1.22x 14 months ago
$11.00 support 1.14x 15 months ago
$9.40 support 1.22x 17 months ago
$6.60 support 1.19x 25 months ago

Historical Earnings Reactions (123 events)

TimeframeAvg ReturnMedianWin RateBestWorst
Gap 0.49% 0.14% 51.22% 14.01% -7.74%
1 Day 1.07% 0.40% 51.22% 22.55% -11.85%
1 Week 1.71% 1.28% 52.85% 36.36% -20.84%
2 Weeks 2.22% 1.23% 52.85% 69.64% -24.10%
1 Month 2.74% -0.19% 48.36% 61.31% -32.31%

Next earnings: July 29, 2026 (16 days away)

Seasonality & Day-of-Week Patterns

Monthly Seasonality

MonthAvg ReturnWin RateSamples
Jan2.0%42.2%45
Feb1.0%37.8%45
Mar4.4%51.1%45
Apr1.6%43.5%46
May3.4%47.8%46
Jun-3.0%39.1%46
Jul-1.8%46.7%45
Aug3.9%53.3%45
Sep2.8%42.2%45
Oct-2.2%40.0%45
Nov1.6%42.2%45
Dec6.4%60.0%45

Day-of-Week Tendencies

DayAvg ReturnWin RateSamples
Monday -0.10% 33.8% 2157
Tuesday -0.10% 36.1% 2342
Wednesday 0.13% 38.1% 2340
Thursday 0.18% 37.8% 2297
Friday 0.34% 39.3% 2280

Top Institutional Holders

Institutional holder breakdown coming soon.

Total institutional ownership: 69.1%

Insider Transactions — Smart Summary

Total insider ownership: 0.2%

Full insider transaction history and smart buy/sell sentiment summary available on Trend Edge.

AI Consult Analysis

Trend Edge's AI Consult feature delivers a comprehensive, multi-layer trade plan for Kinross Gold Corporation (KGC) powered by Claude Opus — Anthropic's most capable AI model. The analysis covers five layers: technical analysis (near-term, medium-term, cyclical, and secular trend, momentum, volume shelf support and resistance, breakout and breakdown signals), qualitative analysis (business model, competitive moat, sector dynamics), insider sentiment (buy and sell signals from executive and director transactions), share stats analysis (institutional accumulation, fund positioning, short float squeeze potential), and fundamental analysis (valuation, revenue growth, profit margin, earnings quality).

AI Consult synthesizes all five layers into a single bullish or bearish thesis with explicit entry, exit, stop loss, and take profit levels — giving you a complete, AI-powered trade plan with defined risk/reward. Whether you are building a long position, initiating a short, or looking for a reversal setup, AI Consult identifies the highest-probability signal from the current trend.

Get the full AI Consult analysis for KGC on Trend Edge →