UVV — Universal Corporation

Stock analysis, trade plans, and proprietary indicators by Trend Edge.

Trend Edge Setup Score

Trend Edge rates UVV Bearish with a Setup Score of 39, net conviction 37, actionability 42. How the Setup Score works →

Total Setup Score39
Directional BiasBearish
Net Conviction37
Actionability42 (in range)

Key signals behind this score

About Universal Corporation

Universal Corporation, a business-to-business agriproducts company, provides leaf tobacco and plant-based ingredients to food and beverage end markets worldwide. The company operates in two segments, Tobacco Operations and Ingredients Operations. The Tobacco Operations segment is involved in procuring, processing, packing of flue-cured, burley, dark air-cured, and oriental leaf tobacco for consumer product manufacturers, as well as provision of r… Read full Trend Edge analysis →

Trend Edge Proprietary Indicators

Key Metrics

Current Price$51.62
Market Cap$1.28B
Float24.5M
Shares Outstanding24.9M
P/E (Forward)12.12
P/E (TTM)40.20
Price/Sales (TTM)0.44
vs. Analyst Target+43.4% to analyst PT
Profit Margin1.12%
Operating Margin (TTM)3.65%
Revenue (TTM)$2.92B
Earnings Growth (YoY)-44.30%
Dividend Rate3.3%
Analyst Target Price$74.00

Financial History

Annual Revenue & Earnings History

YearRevenueNet IncomeGross ProfitEBITDA
2021 $1.98B $87.4M $386M $195M
2022 $2.10B $86.6M $409M $223M
2023 $2.57B $124M $458M $249M
2024 $2.75B $120M $536M $289M
2025 $2.95B $95.0M $549M $301M
2026 $2.92B $32.6M $512M $230M

Recent Quarterly Revenue & Net Income

QuarterRevenueNet Income
Jun 2025 $594M $8.5M
Sep 2025 $754M $34.2M
Dec 2025 $861M $33.2M
Mar 2026 $715M -$43.3M

Ownership & Float

Insider Ownership2.2%
Institutional Ownership83.7%
Short Float7.1%
% of All Funds Holding2.58%
Number of Funds Holding212

Current Moving Averages

Trend Edge tracks near-term, medium-term, cyclical, and secular moving averages across weekly and monthly timeframes to identify trend structure at every horizon.

TimeframeSMAValueTrend Context
Weekly10-Week SMA$53.05Near-term / short-term trend
Weekly40-Week SMA$53.34Medium-term trend
Weekly80-Week SMA$54.45Cyclical trend (business cycle)
Weekly200-Week SMA$53.01Secular trend (multi-year)
Monthly10-Month SMA$52.85Near-term monthly trend
Monthly20-Month SMA$54.71Medium-term monthly trend
Monthly40-Month SMA$53.47Secular monthly trend

Volume Shelves — Support & Resistance

Trend Edge identifies volume shelves: price zones where historically elevated trading volume creates structural support or resistance. A volume shelf forms when a disproportionate share of cumulative volume was transacted at a specific price level, making it a high-conviction anchor for future price reactions.

Price LevelTypeVolume RatioAge
$58.00 resistance 1.70x 11 months ago
$64.00 resistance 1.67x 12 months ago

Historical Earnings Reactions (133 events)

TimeframeAvg ReturnMedianWin RateBestWorst
Gap 0.11% 0.00% 43.61% 5.14% -5.76%
1 Day 0.14% 0.04% 50.38% 29.72% -15.73%
1 Week 0.91% 0.67% 51.88% 35.81% -19.73%
2 Weeks 1.06% 1.52% 56.39% 32.61% -21.86%
1 Month 1.70% 0.96% 53.79% 37.36% -26.01%

Next earnings: August 5, 2026 (25 days away)

Seasonality & Day-of-Week Patterns

Monthly Seasonality

MonthAvg ReturnWin RateSamples
Jan-0.6%37.3%51
Feb1.8%62.7%51
Mar0.7%52.9%51
Apr1.4%49.0%51
May1.2%47.1%51
Jun-0.2%47.1%51
Jul1.0%52.0%50
Aug-0.4%54.0%50
Sep0.0%44.0%50
Oct-1.0%42.0%50
Nov4.1%66.0%50
Dec2.1%51.0%51

Day-of-Week Tendencies

DayAvg ReturnWin RateSamples
Monday 0.03% 46.5% 2390
Tuesday 0.05% 47.1% 2592
Wednesday 0.10% 47.2% 2593
Thursday 0.03% 45.8% 2543
Friday -0.01% 44.8% 2528

Top Institutional Holders

Institutional holder breakdown coming soon.

Total institutional ownership: 83.7%

Insider Transactions — Smart Summary

Total insider ownership: 2.2%

12-Month Insider Activity Summary

Total Filings6
Net Value-$549,414
Net Shares Change-25,008
% of Float-0.1%
C-Suite Filings1
Clusters Detected0

Key Insiders

NameTitleNet ValueFilingsActivity
Hentschke Airton L Senior VP & COO -$549,414 1 1 sell
SLEDD ROBERT C -$453,788.075 3 3 sell
Freeman Lennart R. -$348,333.824 2 2 sell

Significant Filings

DateInsiderTitleNet ValuePrice After
2026-06-08 SLEDD ROBERT C -$153,985.625 Transaction at $54.12, now -4.6%
2026-02-23 Freeman Lennart R. -$200,228.944 Transaction at $53.45, now -3.4%
2025-08-28 Hentschke Airton L Senior VP & COO -$549,414 Transaction at $54.94, now -6.0%
2026-02-27 SLEDD ROBERT C -$53,947.2 Transaction at $53.95, now -4.3%
2025-08-18 SLEDD ROBERT C -$245,855.25 Transaction at $53.25, now -3.1%
2025-08-12 Freeman Lennart R. -$148,104.88 Transaction at $52.89, now -2.4%

View full insider transaction history on Trend Edge →

AI Consult Analysis

Trend Edge's AI Consult feature delivers a comprehensive, multi-layer trade plan for Universal Corporation (UVV) powered by Claude Opus — Anthropic's most capable AI model. The analysis covers five layers: technical analysis (near-term, medium-term, cyclical, and secular trend, momentum, volume shelf support and resistance, breakout and breakdown signals), qualitative analysis (business model, competitive moat, sector dynamics), insider sentiment (buy and sell signals from executive and director transactions), share stats analysis (institutional accumulation, fund positioning, short float squeeze potential), and fundamental analysis (valuation, revenue growth, profit margin, earnings quality).

AI Consult synthesizes all five layers into a single bullish or bearish thesis with explicit entry, exit, stop loss, and take profit levels — giving you a complete, AI-powered trade plan with defined risk/reward. Whether you are building a long position, initiating a short, or looking for a reversal setup, AI Consult identifies the highest-probability signal from the current trend.

Get the full AI Consult analysis for UVV on Trend Edge →