UVV — Universal Corporation

Stock analysis, trade plans, and proprietary indicators by Trend Edge.

Trend Edge Setup Score

Trend Edge rates UVV Bearish with a Setup Score of 0, net conviction 30, actionability 0. How the Setup Score works →

Total Setup Score0
Directional BiasBearish
Net Conviction30
Actionability0 (extended)

Key signals behind this score

About Universal Corporation

Universal Corporation, a business-to-business agriproducts company, provides leaf tobacco and plant-based ingredients to food and beverage end markets worldwide. The company operates in two segments, Tobacco Operations and Ingredients Operations. The Tobacco Operations segment is involved in procuring, processing, packing of flue-cured, burley, dark air-cured, and oriental leaf tobacco for consumer product manufacturers, as well as provision of r… Read full Trend Edge analysis →

Trend Edge Proprietary Indicators

Key Metrics

Current Price$45.62
Market Cap$1.13B
Float24.5M
Shares Outstanding24.9M
P/E (Forward)12.45
P/E (TTM)59.89
Price/Sales (TTM)0.40
vs. Analyst Target+46.9% to analyst PT
Profit Margin0.67%
Operating Margin (TTM)0.44%
Revenue (TTM)$2.85B
Earnings Growth (YoY)-44.30%
Dividend Rate3.3%
Analyst Target Price$67.00

Financial History

Annual Revenue & Earnings History

YearRevenueNet IncomeGross ProfitEBITDA
2021 $1.98B $87.4M $386M $195M
2022 $2.10B $86.6M $409M $223M
2023 $2.57B $124M $458M $249M
2024 $2.75B $120M $536M $289M
2025 $2.95B $95.0M $549M $301M
2026 $2.92B $32.6M $512M $230M

Recent Quarterly Revenue & Net Income

QuarterRevenueNet Income
Sep 2025 $754M $34.2M
Dec 2025 $861M $33.2M
Mar 2026 $715M -$43.3M
Jun 2026 N/A -$5.0M

Ownership & Float

Insider Ownership2.3%
Institutional Ownership85.0%
Short Float7.0%
% of All Funds Holding2.65%
Number of Funds Holding233

Current Moving Averages

Trend Edge tracks near-term, medium-term, cyclical, and secular moving averages across weekly and monthly timeframes to identify trend structure at every horizon.

TimeframeSMAValueTrend Context
Weekly10-Week SMA$50.28Near-term / short-term trend
Weekly40-Week SMA$52.74Medium-term trend
Weekly80-Week SMA$54.20Cyclical trend (business cycle)
Weekly200-Week SMA$53.08Secular trend (multi-year)
Monthly10-Month SMA$52.45Near-term monthly trend
Monthly20-Month SMA$54.31Medium-term monthly trend
Monthly40-Month SMA$53.26Secular monthly trend

Volume Shelves — Support & Resistance

Trend Edge identifies volume shelves: price zones where historically elevated trading volume creates structural support or resistance. A volume shelf forms when a disproportionate share of cumulative volume was transacted at a specific price level, making it a high-conviction anchor for future price reactions.

Price LevelTypeVolume RatioAge
$52.00 resistance 1.32x 0 months ago
$58.00 resistance 1.70x 12 months ago
$64.00 resistance 1.67x 13 months ago

Historical Earnings Reactions (134 events)

TimeframeAvg ReturnMedianWin RateBestWorst
Gap 0.11% 0.00% 44.03% 5.14% -5.76%
1 Day 0.13% 0.02% 50.00% 29.72% -15.73%
1 Week 0.80% 0.52% 51.49% 35.81% -19.73%
2 Weeks 0.96% 1.35% 55.97% 32.61% -21.86%
1 Month 1.70% 1.09% 54.14% 37.36% -26.01%

Next earnings: October 24, 2026 (59 days away)

Seasonality & Day-of-Week Patterns

Monthly Seasonality

MonthAvg ReturnWin RateSamples
Jan-0.6%37.3%51
Feb1.8%62.7%51
Mar0.7%52.9%51
Apr1.4%49.0%51
May1.2%47.1%51
Jun-0.2%47.1%51
Jul1.0%52.9%51
Aug-0.4%54.0%50
Sep0.0%44.0%50
Oct-1.0%42.0%50
Nov4.1%66.0%50
Dec2.1%51.0%51

Day-of-Week Tendencies

DayAvg ReturnWin RateSamples
Monday 0.02% 46.5% 2396
Tuesday 0.05% 47.1% 2599
Wednesday 0.10% 47.2% 2600
Thursday 0.03% 45.8% 2550
Friday -0.01% 44.8% 2535

Top Institutional Holders

Institutional holder breakdown coming soon.

Total institutional ownership: 85.0%

Insider Transactions — Smart Summary

Total insider ownership: 2.3%

12-Month Insider Activity Summary

Total Filings5
Net Value-$549,414
Net Shares Change-19,373
% of Float-0.1%
C-Suite Filings1
Clusters Detected0

Key Insiders

NameTitleNet ValueFilingsActivity
Hentschke Airton L Senior VP & COO -$549,414 1 1 sell
Freeman Lennart R. -$289,006.402 2 2 sell
SLEDD ROBERT C -$207,932.825 2 2 sell

Significant Filings

DateInsiderTitleNet ValuePrice After
2026-08-11 Freeman Lennart R. -$88,777.458 Transaction at $49.82, now -8.4%
2026-06-08 SLEDD ROBERT C -$153,985.625 Transaction at $54.12, now -15.7%
2025-08-28 Hentschke Airton L Senior VP & COO -$549,414 Transaction at $54.94, now -17.0%
2026-02-27 SLEDD ROBERT C -$53,947.2 Transaction at $53.95, now -15.4%
2026-02-23 Freeman Lennart R. -$200,228.944 Transaction at $53.45, now -14.7%

View full insider transaction history on Trend Edge →

AI Consult Analysis

Trend Edge's AI Consult feature delivers a comprehensive, multi-layer trade plan for Universal Corporation (UVV) powered by Claude Opus — Anthropic's most capable AI model. The analysis covers five layers: technical analysis (near-term, medium-term, cyclical, and secular trend, momentum, volume shelf support and resistance, breakout and breakdown signals), qualitative analysis (business model, competitive moat, sector dynamics), insider sentiment (buy and sell signals from executive and director transactions), share stats analysis (institutional accumulation, fund positioning, short float squeeze potential), and fundamental analysis (valuation, revenue growth, profit margin, earnings quality).

AI Consult synthesizes all five layers into a single bullish or bearish thesis with explicit entry, exit, stop loss, and take profit levels — giving you a complete, AI-powered trade plan with defined risk/reward. Whether you are building a long position, initiating a short, or looking for a reversal setup, AI Consult identifies the highest-probability signal from the current trend.

Get the full AI Consult analysis for UVV on Trend Edge →