PM — Philip Morris International Inc

✨ Hidden Gem

Stock analysis, trade plans, and proprietary indicators by Trend Edge.

About Philip Morris International Inc

Philip Morris International Inc. operates as a tobacco company. The company offers cigarettes and smoke-free products, including heat-not-burn, e-vapor, and oral nicotine products under the IQOS, VEEV, and ZYN brands; and consumer accessories, such as lighters and matches. It also offers wellness products. The company was incorporated in 1987 and is headquartered in Stamford, Connecticut.… Read full Trend Edge analysis →

Trend Edge Proprietary Indicators

Key Metrics

Current Price$189.61
Market Cap$299.03B
Float1.55B
Shares Outstanding1.56B
P/E (Forward)20.24
P/E (TTM)27.02
Price/Sales (TTM)7.21
vs. Analyst Target+1.3% to analyst PT
Profit Margin26.74%
Operating Margin (TTM)36.04%
Revenue (TTM)$41.49B
Earnings Growth (YoY)-9.30%
Dividend Rate5.9%
Analyst Target Price$192.14 (17 analysts)

Financial History

Annual Revenue & Earnings History

YearRevenueNet IncomeGross ProfitEBITDA
2020 $28.69B $8.06B $19.13B $12.66B
2021 $31.41B $2.23B $5.30B $2.93B
2022 $31.76B $9.05B $20.36B $13.48B
2023 $35.17B $7.79B $22.28B $13.37B
2024 $37.88B $7.03B $24.55B $15.75B
2025 $40.65B $11.35B $27.28B $17.46B

Recent Quarterly Revenue & Net Income

QuarterRevenueNet Income
Jun 2025 $10.14B $3.04B
Sep 2025 $10.85B $3.48B
Dec 2025 $10.36B $2.14B
Mar 2026 $10.15B $2.44B

Ownership & Float

Insider Ownership0.2%
Institutional Ownership83.7%
Short Float1.0%
% of All Funds Holding32.75%
Number of Funds Holding2,692

Current Moving Averages

Trend Edge tracks near-term, medium-term, cyclical, and secular moving averages across weekly and monthly timeframes to identify trend structure at every horizon.

TimeframeSMAValueTrend Context
Weekly10-Week SMA$166.88Near-term / short-term trend
Weekly40-Week SMA$165.09Medium-term trend
Weekly80-Week SMA$159.08Cyclical trend (business cycle)
Weekly200-Week SMA$123.03Secular trend (multi-year)
Monthly10-Month SMA$167.78Near-term monthly trend
Monthly20-Month SMA$160.31Medium-term monthly trend
Monthly40-Month SMA$129.58Secular monthly trend

Volume Shelves — Support & Resistance

Trend Edge identifies volume shelves: price zones where historically elevated trading volume creates structural support or resistance. A volume shelf forms when a disproportionate share of cumulative volume was transacted at a specific price level, making it a high-conviction anchor for future price reactions.

Price LevelTypeVolume RatioAge
$129.00 support 1.25x 14 months ago
$95.00 support 1.02x 23 months ago

Historical Earnings Reactions (73 events)

TimeframeAvg ReturnMedianWin RateBestWorst
Gap -0.10% 0.00% 49.32% 11.42% -7.81%
1 Day 0.61% 0.76% 61.64% 10.95% -15.58%
1 Week 1.35% 1.26% 67.12% 13.90% -19.67%
2 Weeks 1.52% 2.26% 69.86% 17.88% -20.70%
1 Month 1.80% 2.12% 65.28% 17.60% -20.99%

Next earnings: April 22, 2026

Seasonality & Day-of-Week Patterns

Monthly Seasonality

MonthAvg ReturnWin RateSamples
Jan0.6%50.0%18
Feb4.1%66.7%18
Mar0.3%66.7%18
Apr1.6%73.7%19
May0.6%55.6%18
Jun-0.7%50.0%18
Jul3.7%72.2%18
Aug-1.4%44.4%18
Sep-2.0%33.3%18
Oct1.8%50.0%18
Nov0.5%50.0%18
Dec-0.0%77.8%18

Day-of-Week Tendencies

DayAvg ReturnWin RateSamples
Monday 0.05% 51.9% 857
Tuesday -0.01% 49.4% 940
Wednesday 0.01% 51.2% 937
Thursday 0.07% 53.4% 918
Friday 0.09% 54.6% 914

Top Institutional Holders

Institutional holder breakdown coming soon.

Total institutional ownership: 83.7%

Insider Transactions — Smart Summary

Total insider ownership: 0.2%

12-Month Insider Activity Summary

Total Filings6
Net Value-$31.4M
Net Shares Change-172,249
% of Float-0.0%
C-Suite Filings6
Clusters Detected1

Key Insiders

NameTitleNet ValueFilingsActivity
Olczak Jacek Group CEO PMI -$15.7M 1 1 sell
Babeau Emmanuel Group Chief Financial Officer -$6.5M 1 1 sell
De Wilde Frederic CEO PMI International -$3.8M 1 1 sell
Kennedy Stacey CEO PMI U.S. -$3.4M 1 1 sell
Dobrowolski Reginaldo Group Controller -$1.1M 1 2 sell
Guerin Yann Group Chief Legal Officer -$758,909.92 1 1 sell

Transaction Clusters

PeriodFilingsInsidersNet ValueSeniority
2026-02-20 – 2026-02-20 6 6 -$31.4M 6 C-suite

Significant Filings

DateInsiderTitleNet ValuePrice After
2026-02-20 Dobrowolski Reginaldo Group Controller -$1.1M Transaction at $183.09, now +3.6%
2026-02-20 Olczak Jacek Group CEO PMI -$15.7M Transaction at $182.43, now +3.9%
2026-02-20 Babeau Emmanuel Group Chief Financial Officer -$6.5M Transaction at $182.14, now +4.1%
2026-02-20 Kennedy Stacey CEO PMI U.S. -$3.4M Transaction at $182.90, now +3.7%
2026-02-20 De Wilde Frederic CEO PMI International -$3.8M Transaction at $182.62, now +3.8%
2026-02-20 Guerin Yann Group Chief Legal Officer -$758,909.92 Transaction at $182.18, now +4.1%

View full insider transaction history on Trend Edge →

AI Consult Analysis

Trend Edge's AI Consult feature delivers a comprehensive, multi-layer trade plan for Philip Morris International Inc (PM) powered by Claude Opus — Anthropic's most capable AI model. The analysis covers five layers: technical analysis (near-term, medium-term, cyclical, and secular trend, momentum, volume shelf support and resistance, breakout and breakdown signals), qualitative analysis (business model, competitive moat, sector dynamics), insider sentiment (buy and sell signals from executive and director transactions), share stats analysis (institutional accumulation, fund positioning, short float squeeze potential), and fundamental analysis (valuation, revenue growth, profit margin, earnings quality).

AI Consult synthesizes all five layers into a single bullish or bearish thesis with explicit entry, exit, stop loss, and take profit levels — giving you a complete, AI-powered trade plan with defined risk/reward. Whether you are building a long position, initiating a short, or looking for a reversal setup, AI Consult identifies the highest-probability signal from the current trend.

Get the full AI Consult analysis for PM on Trend Edge →