USPH — U.S. Physical Therapy, Inc.

Stock analysis, trade plans, and proprietary indicators by Trend Edge.

Trend Edge Setup Score

Trend Edge rates USPH Bearish with a Setup Score of 39, net conviction 39, actionability 39. How the Setup Score works →

Total Setup Score39
Directional BiasBearish
Net Conviction39
Actionability39 (in range)

Key signals behind this score

About U.S. Physical Therapy, Inc.

U.S. Physical Therapy, Inc., together with its subsidiaries, operates and manages outpatient physical therapy clinics. It operates through two segments, Physical Therapy Operations and Industrial Injury Prevention Services. The company provides pre-and post-operative care and treatment for orthopedic-related disorders, sports-related injuries, preventative care, rehabilitation of injured workers, and neurological-related injuries. Read full Trend Edge analysis →

Trend Edge Proprietary Indicators

Key Metrics

Current Price$78.21
Market Cap$1.16B
Float14.5M
Shares Outstanding14.9M
P/E (Forward)28.82
P/E (TTM)487.50
Price/Sales (TTM)1.45
vs. Analyst Target+21.5% to analyst PT
Profit Margin4.01%
Operating Margin (TTM)11.13%
Revenue (TTM)$804M
Earnings Growth (YoY)-56.50%
Dividend Rate1.8%
Analyst Target Price$95.00 (7 analysts)

Financial History

Annual Revenue & Earnings History

YearRevenueNet IncomeGross ProfitEBITDA
2020 $423M $30.6M $94.5M $77.7M
2021 $495M $27.8M $117M $85.7M
2022 $553M $28.3M $112M $76.1M
2023 $605M $14.7M $122M $74.4M
2024 $671M $26.5M $124M $86.9M
2025 $781M $15.1M $157M $110M

Recent Quarterly Revenue & Net Income

QuarterRevenueNet Income
Sep 2025 $164M $7.2M
Dec 2025 $203M -$10.5M
Mar 2026 $198M -$4.3M
Jun 2026 $214M $9.9M

Ownership & Float

Insider Ownership2.5%
Institutional Ownership110.9%
Short Float7.6%
% of All Funds Holding2.47%
Number of Funds Holding217

Current Moving Averages

Trend Edge tracks near-term, medium-term, cyclical, and secular moving averages across weekly and monthly timeframes to identify trend structure at every horizon.

TimeframeSMAValueTrend Context
Weekly10-Week SMA$74.37Near-term / short-term trend
Weekly40-Week SMA$75.47Medium-term trend
Weekly80-Week SMA$77.09Cyclical trend (business cycle)
Weekly200-Week SMA$88.40Secular trend (multi-year)
Monthly10-Month SMA$75.52Near-term monthly trend
Monthly20-Month SMA$77.44Medium-term monthly trend
Monthly40-Month SMA$87.17Secular monthly trend

Volume Shelves — Support & Resistance

Trend Edge identifies volume shelves: price zones where historically elevated trading volume creates structural support or resistance. A volume shelf forms when a disproportionate share of cumulative volume was transacted at a specific price level, making it a high-conviction anchor for future price reactions.

Price LevelTypeVolume RatioAge
$70.00 support 1.28x 0 months ago
$85.00 resistance 1.27x 8 months ago
$88.00 resistance 1.00x 17 months ago
$99.00 resistance 1.02x 19 months ago
$102.00 resistance 1.56x 25 months ago

Historical Earnings Reactions (119 events)

TimeframeAvg ReturnMedianWin RateBestWorst
Gap 0.24% 0.00% 44.54% 22.35% -8.50%
1 Day 0.65% 0.14% 52.10% 17.65% -19.89%
1 Week 1.65% 0.57% 55.46% 28.15% -11.62%
2 Weeks 2.05% 1.37% 55.46% 44.08% -16.42%
1 Month 2.34% 1.14% 56.41% 91.15% -33.77%

Next earnings: October 25, 2026 (61 days away)

Seasonality & Day-of-Week Patterns

Monthly Seasonality

MonthAvg ReturnWin RateSamples
Jan2.0%50.0%34
Feb-2.1%38.2%34
Mar-0.3%52.9%34
Apr3.4%64.7%34
May3.4%52.9%34
Jun3.0%57.1%35
Jul1.8%60.0%35
Aug-1.4%44.1%34
Sep-2.8%35.3%34
Oct2.9%50.0%34
Nov3.3%61.8%34
Dec3.4%67.6%34

Day-of-Week Tendencies

DayAvg ReturnWin RateSamples
Monday 0.06% 43.6% 1622
Tuesday 0.14% 45.3% 1769
Wednesday -0.06% 42.8% 1767
Thursday 0.07% 44.9% 1733
Friday 0.22% 46.1% 1722

Top Institutional Holders

Institutional holder breakdown coming soon.

Total institutional ownership: 110.9%

Insider Transactions — Smart Summary

Total insider ownership: 2.5%

12-Month Insider Activity Summary

Total Filings11
Net Value-$811,004.733
Net Shares Change-15,731
% of Float-0.1%
C-Suite Filings8
Clusters Detected2

Key Insiders

NameTitleNet ValueFilingsActivity
Gilmartin Kathleen A +$276,000 1 1 buy
REEVE GRAHAM D. COO -$253,669.953 3 3 sell
Binstein Richard EVP Gen'l Counsel & Secretary -$244,920 1 1 sell
READING CHRISTOPHER J Chairman of the Board and CEO -$167,060 1 1 sell
Williams Eric Joseph President and COO -$85,250 1 1 sell
HENDRICKSON CAREY P Chief Financial Officer -$60,104.78 2 2 sell
Minan Peter Francis +$48,776.91 1 1 buy

Transaction Clusters

PeriodFilingsInsidersNet ValueSeniority
2025-08-25 – 2025-09-08 3 3 -$312,414.78 3 C-suite
2026-03-09 – 2026-03-12 4 3 -$445,829.523 4 C-suite

Significant Filings

DateInsiderTitleNet ValuePrice After
2026-06-10 Minan Peter Francis +$48,776.91 Transaction at $62.53, now +25.1%
2026-03-10 HENDRICKSON CAREY P Chief Financial Officer +N/A N/A
2026-03-09 Binstein Richard EVP Gen'l Counsel & Secretary -$244,920 Transaction at $81.64, now -4.2%
2025-11-24 Gilmartin Kathleen A +$276,000 Transaction at $69.00, now +13.3%
2026-03-12 REEVE GRAHAM D. COO -$52,205.32 Transaction at $78.86, now -0.8%
2026-03-11 REEVE GRAHAM D. COO -$148,704.203 Transaction at $82.25, now -4.9%

View full insider transaction history on Trend Edge →

AI Consult Analysis

Trend Edge's AI Consult feature delivers a comprehensive, multi-layer trade plan for U.S. Physical Therapy, Inc. (USPH) powered by Claude Opus — Anthropic's most capable AI model. The analysis covers five layers: technical analysis (near-term, medium-term, cyclical, and secular trend, momentum, volume shelf support and resistance, breakout and breakdown signals), qualitative analysis (business model, competitive moat, sector dynamics), insider sentiment (buy and sell signals from executive and director transactions), share stats analysis (institutional accumulation, fund positioning, short float squeeze potential), and fundamental analysis (valuation, revenue growth, profit margin, earnings quality).

AI Consult synthesizes all five layers into a single bullish or bearish thesis with explicit entry, exit, stop loss, and take profit levels — giving you a complete, AI-powered trade plan with defined risk/reward. Whether you are building a long position, initiating a short, or looking for a reversal setup, AI Consult identifies the highest-probability signal from the current trend.

Get the full AI Consult analysis for USPH on Trend Edge →