HCA — HCA Healthcare, Inc.

Founder-Led

Stock analysis, trade plans, and proprietary indicators by Trend Edge.

Trend Edge Setup Score

Trend Edge rates HCA Bullish with a Setup Score of 0, net conviction 26, actionability 0. How the Setup Score works →

Total Setup Score0
Directional BiasBullish
Net Conviction26
Actionability0 (in range)

Key signals behind this score

About HCA Healthcare, Inc.

HCA Healthcare, Inc., through its subsidiaries, provides health care services in the United States. The company owns, manages, and operates hospitals, ASCs, freestanding emergency care facilities, urgent care facilities, walk-in clinics, diagnostic and imaging centers, radiation and oncology therapy centers, as well as rehabilitation and physical therapy centers, physician practices, home health agencies, hospices, outpatient physical therapy pro… Read full Trend Edge analysis →

Trend Edge Proprietary Indicators

Key Metrics

Current Price$427.16
Market Cap$87.96B
Float144.3M
Shares Outstanding216.5M
P/E (Forward)13.70
P/E (TTM)13.64
Price/Sales (TTM)1.13
vs. Analyst Target+5.7% to analyst PT
Profit Margin8.77%
Operating Margin (TTM)15.16%
Revenue (TTM)$78.01B
Earnings Growth (YoY)11.60%
Dividend Rate3.1%
Analyst Target Price$451.48 (25 analysts)

Financial History

Annual Revenue & Earnings History

YearRevenueNet IncomeGross ProfitEBITDA
2020 $51.53B $3.75B $43.16B $9.73B
2021 $58.75B $6.96B $22.49B $14.25B
2022 $60.23B $5.64B $23.18B $13.29B
2023 $64.97B $5.24B $25.58B $12.72B
2024 $70.60B $5.76B $28.68B $13.90B
2025 $75.60B $6.78B $31.37B $15.60B

Recent Quarterly Revenue & Net Income

QuarterRevenueNet Income
Sep 2025 $19.16B $1.64B
Dec 2025 $19.51B $1.88B
Mar 2026 $19.11B $1.62B
Jun 2026 $20.23B $1.70B

Ownership & Float

Insider Ownership16.6%
Institutional Ownership79.0%
Short Float4.2%
% of All Funds Holding15.05%
Number of Funds Holding1,324

Current Moving Averages

Trend Edge tracks near-term, medium-term, cyclical, and secular moving averages across weekly and monthly timeframes to identify trend structure at every horizon.

TimeframeSMAValueTrend Context
Weekly10-Week SMA$403.91Near-term / short-term trend
Weekly40-Week SMA$451.54Medium-term trend
Weekly80-Week SMA$416.86Cyclical trend (business cycle)
Weekly200-Week SMA$344.44Secular trend (multi-year)
Monthly10-Month SMA$449.90Near-term monthly trend
Monthly20-Month SMA$411.71Medium-term monthly trend
Monthly40-Month SMA$360.43Secular monthly trend

Volume Shelves — Support & Resistance

Trend Edge identifies volume shelves: price zones where historically elevated trading volume creates structural support or resistance. A volume shelf forms when a disproportionate share of cumulative volume was transacted at a specific price level, making it a high-conviction anchor for future price reactions.

Price LevelTypeVolume RatioAge
$435.00 resistance 1.15x 2 months ago
$344.00 support 1.05x 14 months ago
$309.00 support 1.11x 16 months ago
$303.00 support 1.27x 18 months ago

Historical Earnings Reactions (62 events)

TimeframeAvg ReturnMedianWin RateBestWorst
Gap 0.25% 0.26% 58.06% 6.89% -9.31%
1 Day 0.48% 0.03% 50.00% 6.97% -6.95%
1 Week 0.41% -0.10% 48.39% 10.58% -13.08%
2 Weeks 0.76% 1.46% 54.84% 14.53% -34.39%
1 Month 1.52% 0.75% 54.10% 21.16% -31.86%

Next earnings: October 23, 2026 (57 days away)

Seasonality & Day-of-Week Patterns

Monthly Seasonality

MonthAvg ReturnWin RateSamples
Jan6.4%73.3%15
Feb1.1%53.3%15
Mar0.9%66.7%15
Apr0.2%31.3%16
May0.7%43.8%16
Jun1.1%50.0%16
Jul5.1%62.5%16
Aug0.1%53.3%15
Sep0.1%66.7%15
Oct0.8%46.7%15
Nov4.2%60.0%15
Dec0.6%53.3%15

Day-of-Week Tendencies

DayAvg ReturnWin RateSamples
Monday -0.02% 49.8% 729
Tuesday 0.04% 49.8% 799
Wednesday 0.14% 53.6% 796
Thursday 0.16% 52.9% 782
Friday 0.13% 55.8% 780

Top Institutional Holders

Institutional holder breakdown coming soon.

Total institutional ownership: 79.0%

Insider Transactions — Smart Summary

Total insider ownership: 16.6%

Founder-led management: Thomas Frist Jr. (Chairman)

12-Month Insider Activity Summary

Total Filings7
Net Value-$37.3M
Net Shares Change-53,530
% of Float-0.0%
C-Suite Filings7
Clusters Detected1

Key Insiders

NameTitleNet ValueFilingsActivity
HAZEN SAMUEL N CEO -$21.5M 1 1 sell
Berres Jennifer SVP & Chief Human Res. Officer -$5.4M 1 1 sell
McAlevey Michael R EVP & Chief Legal & Admin Off. -$4.5M 2 2 sell
Cuffe Michael S. EVP and Chief Clinical Officer -$3.4M 2 1 sell
Wyatt Christopher F. SVP & Controller -$2.5M 1 1 sell

Transaction Clusters

PeriodFilingsInsidersNet ValueSeniority
2026-02-05 – 2026-02-18 5 5 -$31.7M 5 C-suite

Significant Filings

DateInsiderTitleNet ValuePrice After
2026-02-12 Berres Jennifer SVP & Chief Human Res. Officer -$5.4M Transaction at $508.32, now -16.0%
2026-02-05 Cuffe Michael S. EVP and Chief Clinical Officer -$747,135.15 Transaction at $498.09, now -14.2%
2026-02-12 Wyatt Christopher F. SVP & Controller -$2.5M Transaction at $503.52, now -15.2%
2026-02-05 HAZEN SAMUEL N CEO -$21.5M Transaction at $499.25, now -14.4%
2026-02-18 McAlevey Michael R EVP & Chief Legal & Admin Off. -$1.5M Transaction at $436.76, now -2.2%
2025-11-05 McAlevey Michael R EVP & Chief Legal & Admin Off. -$3.0M Transaction at $390.65, now +9.3%

View full insider transaction history on Trend Edge →

AI Consult Analysis

Trend Edge's AI Consult feature delivers a comprehensive, multi-layer trade plan for HCA Healthcare, Inc. (HCA) powered by Claude Opus — Anthropic's most capable AI model. The analysis covers five layers: technical analysis (near-term, medium-term, cyclical, and secular trend, momentum, volume shelf support and resistance, breakout and breakdown signals), qualitative analysis (business model, competitive moat, sector dynamics), insider sentiment (buy and sell signals from executive and director transactions), share stats analysis (institutional accumulation, fund positioning, short float squeeze potential), and fundamental analysis (valuation, revenue growth, profit margin, earnings quality).

AI Consult synthesizes all five layers into a single bullish or bearish thesis with explicit entry, exit, stop loss, and take profit levels — giving you a complete, AI-powered trade plan with defined risk/reward. Whether you are building a long position, initiating a short, or looking for a reversal setup, AI Consult identifies the highest-probability signal from the current trend.

Get the full AI Consult analysis for HCA on Trend Edge →