UMH — UMH Properties Inc

Founder-Led

Stock analysis, trade plans, and proprietary indicators by Trend Edge.

Trend Edge Setup Score

Trend Edge rates UMH Bearish with a Setup Score of 30, net conviction 17, actionability 54. How the Setup Score works →

Total Setup Score30
Directional BiasBearish
Net Conviction17
Actionability54 (in range)

Key signals behind this score

About UMH Properties Inc

UMH Properties, Inc. is a public equity REIT that owns and operates 145 manufactured home communities. It contains approximately 27,100 developed homesites, of which 11,200 contain rental homes, and over 1,000 self-storage units. These communities are in New Jersey, New York, Ohio, Pennsylvania, Tennessee, Indiana, Maryland, Michigan, Alabama, South Carolina, Florida and Georgia. Read full Trend Edge analysis →

Trend Edge Proprietary Indicators

Key Metrics

Current Price$16.66
Market Cap$1.42B
Float75.9M
Shares Outstanding85.4M
P/E (Forward)138.89
P/E (TTM)138.33
Price/Sales (TTM)5.22
vs. Analyst Target+13.3% to analyst PT
Profit Margin11.56%
Operating Margin (TTM)18.75%
Revenue (TTM)$271M
Earnings Growth (YoY)66.70%
Dividend Rate0.9%
Analyst Target Price$18.88 (9 analysts)

Financial History

Annual Revenue & Earnings History

YearRevenueNet IncomeGross ProfitEBITDA
2020 $164M $5.1M $86.0M $65.0M
2021 $186M $51.1M $98.0M $115M
2022 $196M -$4.9M $103M $70.2M
2023 $221M $8.0M $118M $96.0M
2024 $241M $21.6M $131M $109M
2025 $262M $26.5M $10.1M $123M

Recent Quarterly Revenue & Net Income

QuarterRevenueNet Income
Sep 2025 $66.9M $9.3M
Dec 2025 $67.0M $4.6M
Mar 2026 $65.8M $7.8M
Jun 2026 N/A $4.4M

Ownership & Float

Insider Ownership10.8%
Institutional Ownership79.1%
Short Float4.7%
% of All Funds Holding2.91%
Number of Funds Holding256

Current Moving Averages

Trend Edge tracks near-term, medium-term, cyclical, and secular moving averages across weekly and monthly timeframes to identify trend structure at every horizon.

TimeframeSMAValueTrend Context
Weekly10-Week SMA$15.81Near-term / short-term trend
Weekly40-Week SMA$15.54Medium-term trend
Weekly80-Week SMA$16.00Cyclical trend (business cycle)
Weekly200-Week SMA$16.28Secular trend (multi-year)
Monthly10-Month SMA$15.37Near-term monthly trend
Monthly20-Month SMA$16.09Medium-term monthly trend
Monthly40-Month SMA$16.23Secular monthly trend

Volume Shelves — Support & Resistance

Trend Edge identifies volume shelves: price zones where historically elevated trading volume creates structural support or resistance. A volume shelf forms when a disproportionate share of cumulative volume was transacted at a specific price level, making it a high-conviction anchor for future price reactions.

Price LevelTypeVolume RatioAge
$15.30 support 1.06x 0 months ago
$18.70 resistance 1.08x 15 months ago

Historical Earnings Reactions (113 events)

TimeframeAvg ReturnMedianWin RateBestWorst
Gap -0.09% -0.16% 36.28% 3.40% -3.11%
1 Day 0.03% 0.16% 53.98% 7.84% -11.69%
1 Week -0.72% -0.91% 38.94% 13.03% -15.92%
2 Weeks -1.26% -0.66% 39.82% 10.30% -34.28%
1 Month -0.15% 0.00% 48.21% 20.54% -33.82%

Next earnings: October 24, 2026 (58 days away)

Seasonality & Day-of-Week Patterns

Monthly Seasonality

MonthAvg ReturnWin RateSamples
Jan1.4%53.7%41
Feb-0.5%24.4%41
Mar3.2%61.9%42
Apr2.2%50.0%42
May-0.5%40.5%42
Jun0.6%47.6%42
Jul2.8%59.5%42
Aug-1.3%41.5%41
Sep1.0%46.3%41
Oct-1.1%43.9%41
Nov-0.5%39.0%41
Dec2.6%63.4%41

Day-of-Week Tendencies

DayAvg ReturnWin RateSamples
Monday -0.03% 36.7% 1975
Tuesday 0.03% 38.5% 2146
Wednesday 0.05% 36.9% 2142
Thursday 0.07% 37.3% 2103
Friday 0.10% 38.3% 2090

Top Institutional Holders

Institutional holder breakdown coming soon.

Total institutional ownership: 79.1%

Insider Transactions — Smart Summary

Total insider ownership: 10.8%

Founder-led management: Eugene W. Landy (Founder & Chairman of the Board)

12-Month Insider Activity Summary

Total Filings24
Net Value-$759,495.893
Net Shares Change-155,944
% of Float-0.2%
C-Suite Filings10
Clusters Detected4

Key Insiders

NameTitleNet ValueFilingsActivity
QUIGLEY KENNETH K JR +$35,850 1 1 buy
Carus Jeffrey A +$15,480 2 2 buy
HIRSCH MATTHEW I +$7,240 1 1 buy
Mitchell William Edward +$3,987.07 3 3 buy
Miller Kevin S. EVP, CFO, Treasurer +$3,000.108 3 3 buy

Transaction Clusters

PeriodFilingsInsidersNet ValueSeniority
2025-09-29 – 2025-10-08 4 3 -$457,893.517 2 C-suite
2026-02-02 – 2026-02-02 4 4 +N/A 4 C-suite
2026-03-26 – 2026-04-01 3 3 +$50,340
2026-08-19 – 2026-08-20 3 3 +$10,230 1 C-suite

Significant Filings

DateInsiderTitleNet ValuePrice After
2026-08-19 Miller Kevin S. EVP, CFO, Treasurer +$1,000 Transaction at $15.62, now +6.6%
2026-08-20 Carus Jeffrey A +$8,230 Transaction at $16.46, now +1.2%
2026-08-19 Mitchell William Edward +$1,000 Transaction at $15.62, now +6.6%
2026-07-16 Miller Kevin S. EVP, CFO, Treasurer +$1,000.05 Transaction at $14.75, now +12.9%
2026-06-17 Miller Kevin S. EVP, CFO, Treasurer +$1,000.057 Transaction at $14.62, now +13.9%
2026-07-16 Mitchell William Edward +$1,000.05 Transaction at $14.75, now +12.9%

View full insider transaction history on Trend Edge →

AI Consult Analysis

Trend Edge's AI Consult feature delivers a comprehensive, multi-layer trade plan for UMH Properties Inc (UMH) powered by Claude Opus — Anthropic's most capable AI model. The analysis covers five layers: technical analysis (near-term, medium-term, cyclical, and secular trend, momentum, volume shelf support and resistance, breakout and breakdown signals), qualitative analysis (business model, competitive moat, sector dynamics), insider sentiment (buy and sell signals from executive and director transactions), share stats analysis (institutional accumulation, fund positioning, short float squeeze potential), and fundamental analysis (valuation, revenue growth, profit margin, earnings quality).

AI Consult synthesizes all five layers into a single bullish or bearish thesis with explicit entry, exit, stop loss, and take profit levels — giving you a complete, AI-powered trade plan with defined risk/reward. Whether you are building a long position, initiating a short, or looking for a reversal setup, AI Consult identifies the highest-probability signal from the current trend.

Get the full AI Consult analysis for UMH on Trend Edge →