ESS — Essex Property Trust Inc

✨ Hidden Gem

Stock analysis, trade plans, and proprietary indicators by Trend Edge.

Trend Edge Setup Score

Trend Edge rates ESS Bullish with a Setup Score of 55, net conviction 34, actionability 90. How the Setup Score works →

Total Setup Score55
Directional BiasBullish
Net Conviction34
Actionability90 (in range)

Key signals behind this score

About Essex Property Trust Inc

Essex Property Trust, Inc., an S&P 500 company, is a fully integrated real estate investment trust. The firm acquires, develops, redevelops, and manages multifamily residential properties in selected West Coast markets. Essex currently has ownership interests in 258 apartment communities comprising over 62,000 apartment homes with an additional property in active development. Read full Trend Edge analysis →

Trend Edge Proprietary Indicators

Key Metrics

Current Price$280.76
Market Cap$19.83B
Float63.6M
Shares Outstanding64.3M
P/E (Forward)51.28
P/E (TTM)44.81
Price/Sales (TTM)10.01
vs. Analyst Target+8.3% to analyst PT
Profit Margin20.89%
Operating Margin (TTM)33.98%
Revenue (TTM)$1.98B
Earnings Growth (YoY)-71.80%
Dividend Rate10.4%
Analyst Target Price$304.15 (27 analysts)

Financial History

Annual Revenue & Earnings History

YearRevenueNet IncomeGross ProfitEBITDA
2020 $1.50B $569M $1.28B $1.61B
2021 $1.44B $489M $1.21B $1.50B
2022 $1.61B $408M $1.11B $1.20B
2023 $1.67B $406M $1.14B $1.19B
2024 $1.77B $742M $1.21B $1.63B
2025 $1.90B $672M $1.31B $1.56B

Recent Quarterly Revenue & Net Income

QuarterRevenueNet Income
Sep 2025 $473M $165M
Dec 2025 $480M $83.4M
Mar 2026 $485M $106M
Jun 2026 $489M -$117M

Ownership & Float

Insider Ownership0.7%
Institutional Ownership104.4%
Short Float3.5%
% of All Funds Holding7.11%
Number of Funds Holding625

Current Moving Averages

Trend Edge tracks near-term, medium-term, cyclical, and secular moving averages across weekly and monthly timeframes to identify trend structure at every horizon.

TimeframeSMAValueTrend Context
Weekly10-Week SMA$290.31Near-term / short-term trend
Weekly40-Week SMA$266.73Medium-term trend
Weekly80-Week SMA$271.38Cyclical trend (business cycle)
Weekly200-Week SMA$256.71Secular trend (multi-year)
Monthly10-Month SMA$266.66Near-term monthly trend
Monthly20-Month SMA$273.28Medium-term monthly trend
Monthly40-Month SMA$263.21Secular monthly trend

Volume Shelves — Support & Resistance

Trend Edge identifies volume shelves: price zones where historically elevated trading volume creates structural support or resistance. A volume shelf forms when a disproportionate share of cumulative volume was transacted at a specific price level, making it a high-conviction anchor for future price reactions.

Price LevelTypeVolume RatioAge
$275.00 support 1.01x 1 months ago
$306.00 resistance 1.31x 15 months ago

Historical Earnings Reactions (114 events)

TimeframeAvg ReturnMedianWin RateBestWorst
Gap -0.11% -0.09% 41.23% 2.80% -4.66%
1 Day -0.22% -0.32% 42.11% 6.04% -9.07%
1 Week -0.07% 0.09% 50.00% 21.37% -16.15%
2 Weeks -0.09% 0.05% 51.75% 32.66% -20.56%
1 Month 1.63% 1.89% 61.95% 32.32% -19.87%

Next earnings: October 17, 2026 (50 days away)

Seasonality & Day-of-Week Patterns

Monthly Seasonality

MonthAvg ReturnWin RateSamples
Jan0.0%43.8%32
Feb-0.0%56.3%32
Mar1.6%65.6%32
Apr2.9%59.4%32
May1.4%68.8%32
Jun0.7%68.8%32
Jul2.5%72.7%33
Aug1.3%59.4%32
Sep-0.9%43.8%32
Oct0.5%53.1%32
Nov0.6%53.1%32
Dec0.2%53.1%32

Day-of-Week Tendencies

DayAvg ReturnWin RateSamples
Monday -0.02% 49.0% 1524
Tuesday 0.11% 52.5% 1664
Wednesday 0.01% 48.9% 1664
Thursday 0.01% 51.0% 1631
Friday 0.13% 53.8% 1624

Top Institutional Holders

Institutional holder breakdown coming soon.

Total institutional ownership: 104.4%

Insider Transactions — Smart Summary

Total insider ownership: 0.7%

12-Month Insider Activity Summary

Total Filings1
Net Value+N/A
Net Shares Change-600
% of Float-0.0%
C-Suite Filings0
Clusters Detected0

Key Insiders

NameTitleNet ValueFilingsActivity
Kasaris Mary -$167,670 1 1 sell

Significant Filings

DateInsiderTitleNet ValuePrice After
2026-05-29 Kasaris Mary -$167,670 Transaction at $279.45, now +0.5%

View full insider transaction history on Trend Edge →

AI Consult Analysis

Trend Edge's AI Consult feature delivers a comprehensive, multi-layer trade plan for Essex Property Trust Inc (ESS) powered by Claude Opus — Anthropic's most capable AI model. The analysis covers five layers: technical analysis (near-term, medium-term, cyclical, and secular trend, momentum, volume shelf support and resistance, breakout and breakdown signals), qualitative analysis (business model, competitive moat, sector dynamics), insider sentiment (buy and sell signals from executive and director transactions), share stats analysis (institutional accumulation, fund positioning, short float squeeze potential), and fundamental analysis (valuation, revenue growth, profit margin, earnings quality).

AI Consult synthesizes all five layers into a single bullish or bearish thesis with explicit entry, exit, stop loss, and take profit levels — giving you a complete, AI-powered trade plan with defined risk/reward. Whether you are building a long position, initiating a short, or looking for a reversal setup, AI Consult identifies the highest-probability signal from the current trend.

Get the full AI Consult analysis for ESS on Trend Edge →