TRLV — Trulieve Cannabis Corp.

Stock analysis, trade plans, and proprietary indicators by Trend Edge.

Trend Edge Setup Score

Trend Edge rates TRLV Bullish with a Setup Score of 25, net conviction 26, actionability 24. How the Setup Score works →

Total Setup Score25
Directional BiasBullish
Net Conviction26
Actionability24 (in range)

Key signals behind this score

About Trulieve Cannabis Corp.

Trend Edge Proprietary Indicators

Key Metrics

Current Price$9.86
Market Cap$2.12B
Float165.8M
Shares Outstanding169.9M
P/E (Forward)46.73
Price/Sales (TTM)1.81
Profit Margin-6.93%
Operating Margin (TTM)12.36%
Revenue (TTM)$1.17B
Dividend RateNone

Financial History

Annual Revenue & Earnings History

YearRevenueNet IncomeGross ProfitEBITDA
2022 $1.22B -$246M $689M N/A
2023 $1.13B -$527M $589M N/A
2024 $1.19B -$155M $716M N/A
2025 $1.18B -$116M $711M N/A

Recent Quarterly Revenue & Net Income

QuarterRevenueNet Income
Jun 2025 $302M -$13.8M
Sep 2025 $288M -$26.8M
Dec 2025 $293M -$42.9M
Mar 2026 $287M $2.4M

Ownership & Float

Insider Ownership4.2%
Institutional Ownership11.0%

Current Moving Averages

Trend Edge tracks near-term, medium-term, cyclical, and secular moving averages across weekly and monthly timeframes to identify trend structure at every horizon.

TimeframeSMAValueTrend Context
Weekly10-Week SMA$8.95Near-term / short-term trend
Weekly40-Week SMA$7.56Medium-term trend
Weekly80-Week SMA$6.18Cyclical trend (business cycle)
Weekly200-Week SMA$7.34Secular trend (multi-year)
Monthly10-Month SMA$7.73Near-term monthly trend
Monthly20-Month SMA$6.36Medium-term monthly trend
Monthly40-Month SMA$7.13Secular monthly trend

Volume Shelves — Support & Resistance

Trend Edge identifies volume shelves: price zones where historically elevated trading volume creates structural support or resistance. A volume shelf forms when a disproportionate share of cumulative volume was transacted at a specific price level, making it a high-conviction anchor for future price reactions.

Price LevelTypeVolume RatioAge
$5.20 support 1.76x 5 months ago
$4.30 support 1.99x 9 months ago
$11.80 resistance 1.83x 18 months ago
$14.40 resistance 1.24x 24 months ago

Historical Earnings Reactions (4 events)

TimeframeAvg ReturnMedianWin RateBestWorst
Gap -3.12% -2.82% 0.00% 0.00% -6.84%
1 Day 3.37% 4.31% 100.00% 4.74% 0.12%
1 Week 10.17% 11.67% 75.00% 17.89% -0.58%
2 Weeks 7.79% 8.18% 75.00% 16.07% -1.27%
1 Month 16.41% 6.82% 50.00% 63.75% -11.74%

Seasonality & Day-of-Week Patterns

Monthly Seasonality

MonthAvg ReturnWin RateSamples
Jan9.5%37.5%8
Feb0.5%50.0%8
Mar-1.3%25.0%8
Apr11.0%50.0%8
May-9.4%25.0%8
Jun-6.3%0.0%7
Jul7.8%71.4%7
Aug18.9%57.1%7
Sep-2.4%42.9%7
Oct2.4%37.5%8
Nov3.6%75.0%8
Dec-3.0%25.0%8

Day-of-Week Tendencies

DayAvg ReturnWin RateSamples
Monday -0.10% 43.5% 363
Tuesday -0.08% 41.9% 399
Wednesday 0.08% 46.7% 396
Thursday 0.19% 49.7% 388
Friday 0.53% 48.7% 390

Top Institutional Holders

Institutional holder breakdown coming soon.

Total institutional ownership: 11.0%

Insider Transactions — Smart Summary

Total insider ownership: 4.2%

Full insider transaction history and smart buy/sell sentiment summary available on Trend Edge.

AI Consult Analysis

Trend Edge's AI Consult feature delivers a comprehensive, multi-layer trade plan for Trulieve Cannabis Corp. (TRLV) powered by Claude Opus — Anthropic's most capable AI model. The analysis covers five layers: technical analysis (near-term, medium-term, cyclical, and secular trend, momentum, volume shelf support and resistance, breakout and breakdown signals), qualitative analysis (business model, competitive moat, sector dynamics), insider sentiment (buy and sell signals from executive and director transactions), share stats analysis (institutional accumulation, fund positioning, short float squeeze potential), and fundamental analysis (valuation, revenue growth, profit margin, earnings quality).

AI Consult synthesizes all five layers into a single bullish or bearish thesis with explicit entry, exit, stop loss, and take profit levels — giving you a complete, AI-powered trade plan with defined risk/reward. Whether you are building a long position, initiating a short, or looking for a reversal setup, AI Consult identifies the highest-probability signal from the current trend.

Get the full AI Consult analysis for TRLV on Trend Edge →