TRLV — Trulieve Cannabis Corp.

Stock analysis, trade plans, and proprietary indicators by Trend Edge.

Trend Edge Setup Score

Trend Edge rates TRLV Bullish with a Setup Score of 41, net conviction 27, actionability 62. How the Setup Score works →

Total Setup Score41
Directional BiasBullish
Net Conviction27
Actionability62 (in range)

Key signals behind this score

About Trulieve Cannabis Corp.

Trulieve Cannabis Corp. operates as a cannabis retailer in the United States. The company cultivates, processes, and manufactures cannabis products and distributes its products to its dispensaries, as well as through home delivery. It sells flowers, edibles, vapes, oral, topical, concentrates, and accessories under the Avenue, Cultivar Collection, Muse, Modern Flower, Alchemy, Momenta, Sweet Talk, Co2lors, and Roll One brands. Read full Trend Edge analysis →

Trend Edge Proprietary Indicators

Key Metrics

Current Price$8.79
Market Cap$1.64B
Float167.6M
Shares Outstanding169.9M
P/E (Forward)26.39
Price/Sales (TTM)1.40
Profit Margin-6.93%
Operating Margin (TTM)12.36%
Revenue (TTM)$1.17B
Dividend RateNone

Financial History

Annual Revenue & Earnings History

YearRevenueNet IncomeGross ProfitEBITDA
2022 $1.22B -$246M $689M N/A
2023 $1.13B -$527M $589M N/A
2024 $1.19B -$155M $716M N/A
2025 $1.18B -$116M $711M N/A

Recent Quarterly Revenue & Net Income

QuarterRevenueNet Income
Jun 2025 $302M -$13.8M
Sep 2025 $288M -$26.8M
Dec 2025 $293M -$42.9M
Mar 2026 $287M $2.4M

Ownership & Float

Insider Ownership1.3%
Institutional Ownership6.4%
Short Float0.5%

Current Moving Averages

Trend Edge tracks near-term, medium-term, cyclical, and secular moving averages across weekly and monthly timeframes to identify trend structure at every horizon.

TimeframeSMAValueTrend Context
Weekly10-Week SMA$9.24Near-term / short-term trend
Weekly40-Week SMA$7.69Medium-term trend
Weekly80-Week SMA$6.38Cyclical trend (business cycle)
Weekly200-Week SMA$7.26Secular trend (multi-year)
Monthly10-Month SMA$7.80Near-term monthly trend
Monthly20-Month SMA$6.50Medium-term monthly trend
Monthly40-Month SMA$7.21Secular monthly trend

Volume Shelves — Support & Resistance

Trend Edge identifies volume shelves: price zones where historically elevated trading volume creates structural support or resistance. A volume shelf forms when a disproportionate share of cumulative volume was transacted at a specific price level, making it a high-conviction anchor for future price reactions.

Price LevelTypeVolume RatioAge
$5.20 support 1.76x 6 months ago
$4.30 support 1.99x 10 months ago
$11.80 resistance 1.83x 19 months ago
$14.40 resistance 1.24x 25 months ago

Historical Earnings Reactions (4 events)

TimeframeAvg ReturnMedianWin RateBestWorst
Gap -1.75% -1.03% 25.00% 1.93% -6.84%
1 Day 0.90% 2.17% 75.00% 4.74% -5.48%
1 Week 1.09% 4.24% 50.00% 17.89% -22.02%
2 Weeks -1.09% 3.18% 50.00% 8.72% -19.44%
1 Month 6.35% 6.73% 50.00% 23.68% -11.74%

Seasonality & Day-of-Week Patterns

Monthly Seasonality

MonthAvg ReturnWin RateSamples
Jan9.5%37.5%8
Feb0.5%50.0%8
Mar-1.3%25.0%8
Apr11.0%50.0%8
May-9.4%25.0%8
Jun-4.8%12.5%8
Jul7.8%71.4%7
Aug18.9%57.1%7
Sep-2.4%42.9%7
Oct2.4%37.5%8
Nov3.6%75.0%8
Dec-3.0%25.0%8

Day-of-Week Tendencies

DayAvg ReturnWin RateSamples
Monday -0.14% 43.5% 368
Tuesday -0.08% 41.9% 403
Wednesday 0.07% 46.5% 400
Thursday 0.21% 50.0% 392
Friday 0.54% 48.7% 392

Top Institutional Holders

Institutional holder breakdown coming soon.

Total institutional ownership: 6.4%

Insider Transactions — Smart Summary

Total insider ownership: 1.3%

12-Month Insider Activity Summary

Total Filings5
Net Value-$14.7M
Net Shares Change-1,656,209
% of Float-1.0%
C-Suite Filings3
Clusters Detected0

Key Insiders

NameTitleNet ValueFilingsActivity
Rivers Kim A. Chairman and CEO -$14.7M 3 N/A
Thronson Susan +$24,998.4 1 1 buy
May Richard S. +$9,740.5 1 1 buy

Significant Filings

DateInsiderTitleNet ValuePrice After
2025-08-13 Thronson Susan +$24,998.4 Transaction at $6.30, now +39.5%
2026-06-25 Rivers Kim A. Chairman and CEO -$8.9M Transaction at $8.27, now +6.2%
2026-06-22 Rivers Kim A. Chairman and CEO -$4.5M Transaction at $9.39, now -6.4%
2025-08-13 May Richard S. +$9,740.5 Transaction at $6.05, now +45.3%
2026-06-26 Rivers Kim A. Chairman and CEO -$1.2M Transaction at $8.76, now +0.4%

View full insider transaction history on Trend Edge →

AI Consult Analysis

Trend Edge's AI Consult feature delivers a comprehensive, multi-layer trade plan for Trulieve Cannabis Corp. (TRLV) powered by Claude Opus — Anthropic's most capable AI model. The analysis covers five layers: technical analysis (near-term, medium-term, cyclical, and secular trend, momentum, volume shelf support and resistance, breakout and breakdown signals), qualitative analysis (business model, competitive moat, sector dynamics), insider sentiment (buy and sell signals from executive and director transactions), share stats analysis (institutional accumulation, fund positioning, short float squeeze potential), and fundamental analysis (valuation, revenue growth, profit margin, earnings quality).

AI Consult synthesizes all five layers into a single bullish or bearish thesis with explicit entry, exit, stop loss, and take profit levels — giving you a complete, AI-powered trade plan with defined risk/reward. Whether you are building a long position, initiating a short, or looking for a reversal setup, AI Consult identifies the highest-probability signal from the current trend.

Get the full AI Consult analysis for TRLV on Trend Edge →