TLRY — Tilray Inc

Stock analysis, trade plans, and proprietary indicators by Trend Edge.

Trend Edge Setup Score

Trend Edge rates TLRY Bearish with a Setup Score of 16, net conviction 38, actionability 7. How the Setup Score works →

Total Setup Score16
Directional BiasBearish
Net Conviction38
Actionability7 (in range)

Key signals behind this score

About Tilray Inc

Tilray Brands, Inc., a lifestyle consumer products company, engages in the research, cultivation, processing, and distribution of medical cannabis products in Canada, the United States, Europe, the Middle East, Africa, and internationally. The company operates through four segments: Beverage, Cannabis, Distribution, and Wellness. It also offers medical and adult-use cannabis products; resells and distributes pharmaceutical and wellness products; … Read full Trend Edge analysis →

Trend Edge Proprietary Indicators

Key Metrics

Current Price$4.72
Market Cap$643M
Float440.0M
Shares Outstanding137.6M
P/E (Forward)1,000.00
Price/Sales (TTM)0.70
vs. Analyst Target+66.2% to analyst PT
Profit Margin-13.26%
Operating Margin (TTM)-52.70%
Revenue (TTM)$915M
Dividend RateNone
Analyst Target Price$7.84 (12 analysts)

Financial History

Annual Revenue & Earnings History

YearRevenueNet IncomeGross ProfitEBITDA
2021 $620M -$444M $149M -$297M
2022 $792M -$601M $147M -$311M
2023 $845M -$1.96B $198M -$1.72B
2024 $1.07B -$334M $304M -$99.3M
2025 $1.13B -$3.00B $330M -$2.92B
2026 $915M -$123M $260M -$38.6M

Recent Quarterly Revenue & Net Income

QuarterRevenueNet Income
Aug 2025 $288M -$442,312
Nov 2025 $304M -$62.8M
Feb 2026 $282M -$36.3M
May 2026 $282M -$49.6M

Ownership & Float

Insider Ownership1.1%
Institutional Ownership10.9%
Short Float4.7%
% of All Funds Holding2.64%
Number of Funds Holding232

Current Moving Averages

Trend Edge tracks near-term, medium-term, cyclical, and secular moving averages across weekly and monthly timeframes to identify trend structure at every horizon.

TimeframeSMAValueTrend Context
Weekly10-Week SMA$4.52Near-term / short-term trend
Weekly40-Week SMA$6.62Medium-term trend
Weekly80-Week SMA$7.44Cyclical trend (business cycle)
Weekly200-Week SMA$15.62Secular trend (multi-year)
Monthly10-Month SMA$6.44Near-term monthly trend
Monthly20-Month SMA$7.63Medium-term monthly trend
Monthly40-Month SMA$13.51Secular monthly trend

Volume Shelves — Support & Resistance

Trend Edge identifies volume shelves: price zones where historically elevated trading volume creates structural support or resistance. A volume shelf forms when a disproportionate share of cumulative volume was transacted at a specific price level, making it a high-conviction anchor for future price reactions.

Price LevelTypeVolume RatioAge
$16.70 resistance 1.99x 9 months ago
$4.10 support 1.46x 12 months ago

Historical Earnings Reactions (31 events)

TimeframeAvg ReturnMedianWin RateBestWorst
Gap -1.49% -1.54% 22.58% 19.65% -15.31%
1 Day -3.08% -3.39% 32.26% 20.64% -18.10%
1 Week -5.93% -7.56% 29.03% 55.53% -48.93%
2 Weeks -3.04% -5.69% 38.71% 132.54% -81.11%
1 Month -3.38% -13.45% 23.33% 220.35% -60.26%

Next earnings: October 8, 2026 (44 days away)

Seasonality & Day-of-Week Patterns

Monthly Seasonality

MonthAvg ReturnWin RateSamples
Jan10.2%50.0%8
Feb-2.7%50.0%8
Mar-5.9%25.0%8
Apr-12.0%12.5%8
May-12.8%12.5%8
Jun-8.1%25.0%8
Jul14.5%75.0%8
Aug35.7%50.0%8
Sep6.6%37.5%8
Oct-5.1%25.0%8
Nov-1.1%37.5%8
Dec-9.6%25.0%8

Day-of-Week Tendencies

DayAvg ReturnWin RateSamples
Monday 0.15% 44.5% 382
Tuesday 0.29% 44.6% 419
Wednesday 0.40% 43.5% 416
Thursday -0.09% 43.1% 408
Friday -0.54% 38.5% 408

Top Institutional Holders

Institutional holder breakdown coming soon.

Total institutional ownership: 10.9%

Insider Transactions — Smart Summary

Total insider ownership: 1.1%

12-Month Insider Activity Summary

Total Filings4
Net Value+$69,225
Net Shares Change-18,556
% of Float-0.0%
C-Suite Filings3
Clusters Detected1

Key Insiders

NameTitleNet ValueFilingsActivity
Hopkinson David G. -$232,878.64 1 1 sell
Merton Carl A Chief Financial Officer +$46,200 1 1 buy
FALTISCHEK DENISE M Chief Strategy Officer +$11,950 1 1 buy
Gendel Mitchell Global General Counsel +$11,075 1 1 buy

Transaction Clusters

PeriodFilingsInsidersNet ValueSeniority
2026-08-04 – 2026-08-07 3 3 +$69,225 3 C-suite

Significant Filings

DateInsiderTitleNet ValuePrice After
2026-08-04 Merton Carl A Chief Financial Officer +$46,200 Transaction at $4.62, now +2.2%
2026-08-07 Gendel Mitchell Global General Counsel +$11,075 Transaction at $4.43, now +6.5%
2026-08-04 FALTISCHEK DENISE M Chief Strategy Officer +$11,950 Transaction at $4.78, now -1.3%
2026-04-22 Hopkinson David G. -$232,878.64 Transaction at $6.94, now -32.0%

View full insider transaction history on Trend Edge →

AI Consult Analysis

Trend Edge's AI Consult feature delivers a comprehensive, multi-layer trade plan for Tilray Inc (TLRY) powered by Claude Opus — Anthropic's most capable AI model. The analysis covers five layers: technical analysis (near-term, medium-term, cyclical, and secular trend, momentum, volume shelf support and resistance, breakout and breakdown signals), qualitative analysis (business model, competitive moat, sector dynamics), insider sentiment (buy and sell signals from executive and director transactions), share stats analysis (institutional accumulation, fund positioning, short float squeeze potential), and fundamental analysis (valuation, revenue growth, profit margin, earnings quality).

AI Consult synthesizes all five layers into a single bullish or bearish thesis with explicit entry, exit, stop loss, and take profit levels — giving you a complete, AI-powered trade plan with defined risk/reward. Whether you are building a long position, initiating a short, or looking for a reversal setup, AI Consult identifies the highest-probability signal from the current trend.

Get the full AI Consult analysis for TLRY on Trend Edge →