TPC — Tutor Perini Corporation

Founder-Led

Stock analysis, trade plans, and proprietary indicators by Trend Edge.

Trend Edge Setup Score

Trend Edge rates TPC Bullish with a Setup Score of 45, net conviction 48, actionability 43. How the Setup Score works →

Total Setup Score45
Directional BiasBullish
Net Conviction48
Actionability43 (in range)

Key signals behind this score

About Tutor Perini Corporation

Tutor Perini Corporation, a construction company, provides diversified general contracting, construction management, and design-build services to private customers and public agencies in the United States and internationally. It operates through three segments: Civil, Building, and Specialty Contractors. The Civil segment engages in public works construction and the replacement and reconstruction of infrastructure; and offers civil contracting se… Read full Trend Edge analysis →

Trend Edge Proprietary Indicators

Key Metrics

Current Price$83.36
Market Cap$4.43B
Float47.3M
Shares Outstanding52.6M
P/E (Forward)12.92
P/E (TTM)36.31
Price/Sales (TTM)0.75
vs. Analyst Target+39.5% to analyst PT
Profit Margin2.08%
Operating Margin (TTM)7.22%
Revenue (TTM)$5.95B
Earnings Growth (YoY)224.70%
Dividend Rate0.4%
Analyst Target Price$116.25 (4 analysts)

Financial History

Annual Revenue & Earnings History

YearRevenueNet IncomeGross ProfitEBITDA
2020 $5.32B $108M $486M $346M
2021 $4.64B $91.9M $466M $345M
2022 $3.79B -$210M $29.6M -$135M
2023 $3.88B -$171M $141M -$54.0M
2024 $4.33B -$164M $197M -$34.7M
2025 $5.54B $80.4M $648M $309M

Recent Quarterly Revenue & Net Income

QuarterRevenueNet Income
Sep 2025 $1.42B $3.6M
Dec 2025 $1.51B $28.8M
Mar 2026 $1.39B $25.7M
Jun 2026 $1.64B $97.9M

Ownership & Float

Insider Ownership9.9%
Institutional Ownership82.9%
Short Float4.4%
% of All Funds Holding3.80%
Number of Funds Holding334

Current Moving Averages

Trend Edge tracks near-term, medium-term, cyclical, and secular moving averages across weekly and monthly timeframes to identify trend structure at every horizon.

TimeframeSMAValueTrend Context
Weekly10-Week SMA$89.24Near-term / short-term trend
Weekly40-Week SMA$81.10Medium-term trend
Weekly80-Week SMA$66.40Cyclical trend (business cycle)
Weekly200-Week SMA$35.39Secular trend (multi-year)
Monthly10-Month SMA$81.70Near-term monthly trend
Monthly20-Month SMA$66.04Medium-term monthly trend
Monthly40-Month SMA$41.82Secular monthly trend

Volume Shelves — Support & Resistance

Trend Edge identifies volume shelves: price zones where historically elevated trading volume creates structural support or resistance. A volume shelf forms when a disproportionate share of cumulative volume was transacted at a specific price level, making it a high-conviction anchor for future price reactions.

Price LevelTypeVolume RatioAge
$47.00 support 1.21x 13 months ago
$36.90 support 1.37x 15 months ago
$21.90 support 1.36x 16 months ago

Historical Earnings Reactions (122 events)

TimeframeAvg ReturnMedianWin RateBestWorst
Gap 0.45% 0.00% 46.72% 35.09% -20.36%
1 Day 1.09% 0.19% 50.82% 34.39% -26.81%
1 Week 1.19% -0.84% 45.90% 53.83% -31.72%
2 Weeks 0.49% -1.29% 45.08% 56.87% -27.09%
1 Month 2.75% -0.46% 48.76% 108.08% -51.17%

Next earnings: November 4, 2026 (24 days away)

Seasonality & Day-of-Week Patterns

Monthly Seasonality

MonthAvg ReturnWin RateSamples
Jan4.2%58.8%51
Feb4.1%58.8%51
Mar1.0%52.9%51
Apr2.9%49.0%51
May1.7%47.1%51
Jun2.1%52.9%51
Jul-0.1%52.9%51
Aug-1.2%43.1%51
Sep-0.3%47.1%51
Oct0.5%54.0%50
Nov3.6%52.0%50
Dec0.2%51.0%51

Day-of-Week Tendencies

DayAvg ReturnWin RateSamples
Monday -0.10% 39.1% 2402
Tuesday 0.03% 41.7% 2605
Wednesday 0.07% 42.9% 2606
Thursday 0.24% 43.4% 2556
Friday 0.15% 42.5% 2541

Top Institutional Holders

Institutional holder breakdown coming soon.

Total institutional ownership: 82.9%

Insider Transactions — Smart Summary

Total insider ownership: 9.9%

Founder-led management: Ronald Tutor (Executive Chairman)

12-Month Insider Activity Summary

Total Filings18
Net Value-$41.1M
Net Shares Change-2,388,890
% of Float-5.0%
C-Suite Filings9
Clusters Detected1

Key Insiders

NameTitleNet ValueFilingsActivity
TUTOR RONALD N -$198M 1 1 sell
SMALLEY GARY G. CEO and President -$31.0M 3 2 buy, 1 sell
FELTENSTEIN SIDNEY J -$17.9M 1 1 sell
ARKLEY PETER +$4.4M 2 2 buy
Lieber Robert C -$2.1M 2 2 sell
REISS DALE ANNE -$1.2M 1 1 sell

Transaction Clusters

PeriodFilingsInsidersNet ValueSeniority
2026-03-05 – 2026-03-16 9 7 -$33.9M 6 C-suite

Significant Filings

DateInsiderTitleNet ValuePrice After
2026-09-02 TUTOR RONALD N -$198M Transaction at $85.59, now -2.6%
2026-08-11 FELTENSTEIN SIDNEY J -$17.9M Transaction at $97.05, now -14.1%
2026-08-28 REISS DALE ANNE -$1.2M Transaction at $92.04, now -9.4%
2026-03-05 SMALLEY GARY G. CEO and President +$732,372 Transaction at $73.24, now +13.8%
2025-11-20 SMALLEY GARY G. CEO and President +$305,389 Transaction at $61.08, now +36.5%
2026-03-06 ARKLEY PETER +$1.8M Transaction at $72.96, now +14.3%

View full insider transaction history on Trend Edge →

AI Consult Analysis

Trend Edge's AI Consult feature delivers a comprehensive, multi-layer trade plan for Tutor Perini Corporation (TPC) powered by Claude Opus — Anthropic's most capable AI model. The analysis covers five layers: technical analysis (near-term, medium-term, cyclical, and secular trend, momentum, volume shelf support and resistance, breakout and breakdown signals), qualitative analysis (business model, competitive moat, sector dynamics), insider sentiment (buy and sell signals from executive and director transactions), share stats analysis (institutional accumulation, fund positioning, short float squeeze potential), and fundamental analysis (valuation, revenue growth, profit margin, earnings quality).

AI Consult synthesizes all five layers into a single bullish or bearish thesis with explicit entry, exit, stop loss, and take profit levels — giving you a complete, AI-powered trade plan with defined risk/reward. Whether you are building a long position, initiating a short, or looking for a reversal setup, AI Consult identifies the highest-probability signal from the current trend.

Get the full AI Consult analysis for TPC on Trend Edge →