Stock analysis, trade plans, and proprietary indicators by Trend Edge.
Trend Edge Setup Score
Trend Edge rates FIX Bullish with a Setup Score of 0, net conviction 56, actionability 0. How the Setup Score works →
Total Setup Score
0
Directional Bias
Bullish
Net Conviction
56
Actionability
0 (extended)
Key signals behind this score
40wk Uptrend — rising+above (sma 1478 vs px 1656)
80wk Uptrend — rising+above (sma 1030 vs px 1656)
200wk Uptrend — rising+above (sma 562 vs px 1656)
Funds Accumulating — momZ +5.97 · 13.48→15.23
Short Squeeze Setup — velZ +0.28 · age 64w×0.60 · 2.33%
Founder-Led — founder/CEO led
About Comfort Systems USA Inc
Comfort Systems USA, Inc., together with its subsidiaries, provides mechanical and electrical installation, renovation, maintenance, repair, and replacement services for the mechanical and electrical services industry in the United States. The company operates through two segments: Mechanical and Electrical. It offers heating, ventilation, and air conditioning systems, as well as plumbing, electrical, piping and controls, off-site construction, m… Read full Trend Edge analysis →
Sector: Industrials
Industry: Engineering & Construction
Exchange: NYSE
IPO Date: June 27, 1997
Headquarters: 9753 Katy Freeway, Houston, TX, United States, 77024
Founder-Led: Yes — William George III (Executive Vice President & Chief Financial Officer)
Key Metrics
Current Price
$1655.61
Market Cap
$58.88B
Float
36.0M
Shares Outstanding
35.2M
P/E (Forward)
35.71
P/E (TTM)
41.67
Price/Sales (TTM)
5.24
vs. Analyst Target
+33.5% to analyst PT
Profit Margin
12.78%
Operating Margin (TTM)
7.89%
Revenue (TTM)
$11.23B
Earnings Growth (YoY)
38.80%
Dividend Rate
3.6%
Analyst Target Price
$2210.86 (7 analysts)
Financial History
Annual Revenue & Earnings History
Year
Revenue
Net Income
Gross Profit
EBITDA
2020
$2.86B
$150M
$547M
$259M
2021
$3.07B
$143M
$563M
$264M
2022
$4.14B
$246M
$742M
$329M
2023
$5.21B
$323M
$991M
$479M
2024
$7.03B
$522M
$1.48B
$817M
2025
$9.10B
$1.02B
$2.20B
$1.44B
Recent Quarterly Revenue & Net Income
Quarter
Revenue
Net Income
Sep 2025
$2.45B
$292M
Dec 2025
$2.65B
$331M
Mar 2026
$2.87B
$370M
Jun 2026
$3.27B
$442M
Ownership & Float
Insider Ownership
1.1%
Institutional Ownership
95.7%
Short Float
1.9%
% of All Funds Holding
15.23%
Number of Funds Holding
1,340
Current Moving Averages
Trend Edge tracks near-term, medium-term, cyclical, and secular moving averages across weekly and monthly timeframes to identify trend structure at every horizon.
Timeframe
SMA
Value
Trend Context
Weekly
10-Week SMA
$1758.06
Near-term / short-term trend
Weekly
40-Week SMA
$1478.19
Medium-term trend
Weekly
80-Week SMA
$1030.32
Cyclical trend (business cycle)
Weekly
200-Week SMA
$561.74
Secular trend (multi-year)
Monthly
10-Month SMA
$1489.64
Near-term monthly trend
Monthly
20-Month SMA
$1031.41
Medium-term monthly trend
Monthly
40-Month SMA
$655.42
Secular monthly trend
Volume Shelves — Support & Resistance
Trend Edge identifies volume shelves: price zones where historically elevated trading volume
creates structural support or resistance. A volume shelf forms when a disproportionate share of cumulative
volume was transacted at a specific price level, making it a high-conviction anchor for future price reactions.
Price Level
Type
Volume Ratio
Age
$1930.00
resistance
1.16x
0 months ago
$532.00
support
1.00x
12 months ago
$321.00
support
1.24x
15 months ago
Historical Earnings Reactions (116 events)
Timeframe
Avg Return
Median
Win Rate
Best
Worst
Gap
0.93%
0.31%
54.31%
18.21%
-11.28%
1 Day
1.11%
0.16%
50.00%
22.37%
-20.49%
1 Week
1.45%
1.37%
57.76%
26.86%
-21.10%
2 Weeks
1.35%
1.81%
56.90%
26.25%
-28.57%
1 Month
3.43%
4.53%
61.74%
28.40%
-30.17%
Next earnings: October 22, 2026 (58 days away)
Seasonality & Day-of-Week Patterns
Monthly Seasonality
Month
Avg Return
Win Rate
Samples
Jan
1.9%
48.3%
29
Feb
2.7%
48.3%
29
Mar
2.1%
62.1%
29
Apr
1.7%
55.2%
29
May
3.9%
48.3%
29
Jun
1.6%
65.5%
29
Jul
4.0%
50.0%
30
Aug
0.6%
58.6%
29
Sep
-0.4%
44.8%
29
Oct
2.1%
58.6%
29
Nov
3.8%
58.6%
29
Dec
1.8%
58.6%
29
Day-of-Week Tendencies
Day
Avg Return
Win Rate
Samples
Monday
0.01%
49.7%
1378
Tuesday
0.13%
50.0%
1505
Wednesday
0.07%
48.1%
1505
Thursday
0.20%
52.1%
1474
Friday
0.13%
49.5%
1466
Top Institutional Holders
Institutional holder breakdown coming soon.
Total institutional ownership: 95.7%
Insider Transactions — Smart Summary
Total insider ownership: 1.1%
Founder-led management: William George III (Executive Vice President & Chief Financial Officer)
Trend Edge's AI Consult feature delivers a comprehensive, multi-layer trade plan for Comfort Systems USA Inc
(FIX) powered by Claude Opus — Anthropic's most capable AI model.
The analysis covers five layers:
technical analysis (near-term, medium-term, cyclical, and secular trend, momentum,
volume shelf support and resistance, breakout and breakdown signals),
qualitative analysis (business model, competitive moat, sector dynamics),
insider sentiment (buy and sell signals from executive and director transactions),
share stats analysis (institutional accumulation, fund positioning, short float squeeze potential), and
fundamental analysis (valuation, revenue growth, profit margin, earnings quality).
AI Consult synthesizes all five layers into a single bullish or bearish thesis with explicit entry, exit,
stop loss, and take profit levels — giving you a complete, AI-powered trade plan with defined risk/reward.
Whether you are building a long position, initiating a short, or looking for a reversal setup,
AI Consult identifies the highest-probability signal from the current trend.