FIX — Comfort Systems USA Inc

Founder-Led

Stock analysis, trade plans, and proprietary indicators by Trend Edge.

About Comfort Systems USA Inc

Comfort Systems USA, Inc., together with its subsidiaries, provides mechanical and electrical installation, renovation, maintenance, repair, and replacement services for the mechanical and electrical services industry in the United States. The company operates through two segments: Mechanical and Electrical. It offers heating, ventilation, and air conditioning systems, as well as plumbing, electrical, piping and controls, off-site construction, m… Read full Trend Edge analysis →

Trend Edge Proprietary Indicators

Key Metrics

Current Price$1828.25
Market Cap$64.61B
Float35.9M
Shares Outstanding35.2M
P/E (Forward)47.39
P/E (TTM)52.91
Price/Sales (TTM)6.37
vs. Analyst Target+8.9% to analyst PT
Profit Margin12.07%
Operating Margin (TTM)7.89%
Revenue (TTM)$10.14B
Earnings Growth (YoY)38.80%
Dividend Rate2.6%
Analyst Target Price$1991.20 (7 analysts)

Financial History

Annual Revenue & Earnings History

YearRevenueNet IncomeGross ProfitEBITDA
2020 $2.86B $150M $547M $259M
2021 $3.07B $143M $563M $264M
2022 $4.14B $246M $742M $329M
2023 $5.21B $323M $991M $479M
2024 $7.03B $522M $1.48B $817M
2025 $9.10B $1.02B $2.20B $1.44B

Recent Quarterly Revenue & Net Income

QuarterRevenueNet Income
Jun 2025 $2.17B $231M
Sep 2025 $2.45B $292M
Dec 2025 $2.65B $331M
Mar 2026 $2.87B $370M

Ownership & Float

Insider Ownership1.2%
Institutional Ownership96.5%
Short Float2.1%
% of All Funds Holding13.66%
Number of Funds Holding1,123

Current Moving Averages

Trend Edge tracks near-term, medium-term, cyclical, and secular moving averages across weekly and monthly timeframes to identify trend structure at every horizon.

TimeframeSMAValueTrend Context
Weekly10-Week SMA$1675.05Near-term / short-term trend
Weekly40-Week SMA$1168.16Medium-term trend
Weekly80-Week SMA$817.35Cyclical trend (business cycle)
Weekly200-Week SMA$452.74Secular trend (multi-year)
Monthly10-Month SMA$1202.33Near-term monthly trend
Monthly20-Month SMA$828.47Medium-term monthly trend
Monthly40-Month SMA$532.26Secular monthly trend

Volume Shelves — Support & Resistance

Trend Edge identifies volume shelves: price zones where historically elevated trading volume creates structural support or resistance. A volume shelf forms when a disproportionate share of cumulative volume was transacted at a specific price level, making it a high-conviction anchor for future price reactions.

Price LevelTypeVolume RatioAge
$532.00 support 1.00x 9 months ago
$321.00 support 1.24x 12 months ago

Historical Earnings Reactions (115 events)

TimeframeAvg ReturnMedianWin RateBestWorst
Gap 0.95% 0.31% 54.78% 18.21% -11.28%
1 Day 1.17% 0.33% 50.43% 22.37% -20.49%
1 Week 1.51% 1.57% 58.26% 26.86% -21.10%
2 Weeks 1.42% 2.20% 57.39% 26.25% -28.57%
1 Month 3.42% 4.39% 61.40% 28.40% -30.17%

Next earnings: July 12, 2026 (47 days away)

Seasonality & Day-of-Week Patterns

Monthly Seasonality

MonthAvg ReturnWin RateSamples
Jan1.9%48.3%29
Feb2.7%48.3%29
Mar2.1%62.1%29
Apr1.7%55.2%29
May4.1%50.0%28
Jun1.4%64.3%28
Jul4.6%51.7%29
Aug0.6%58.6%29
Sep-0.4%44.8%29
Oct2.1%58.6%29
Nov3.8%58.6%29
Dec1.8%58.6%29

Day-of-Week Tendencies

DayAvg ReturnWin RateSamples
Monday -0.01% 49.6% 1366
Tuesday 0.14% 49.9% 1492
Wednesday 0.09% 48.1% 1492
Thursday 0.18% 52.1% 1461
Friday 0.14% 49.6% 1455

Top Institutional Holders

Institutional holder breakdown coming soon.

Total institutional ownership: 96.5%

Insider Transactions — Smart Summary

Total insider ownership: 1.2%

Founder-led management: William George III (Executive Vice President & Chief Financial Officer)

12-Month Insider Activity Summary

Total Filings33
Net Value-$97.4M
Net Shares Change-123,274
% of Float-0.3%
C-Suite Filings14
Clusters Detected6

Key Insiders

NameTitleNet ValueFilingsActivity
Lane Brian E. CHIEF EXECUTIVE OFF. -$35.5M 2 2 sell
GEORGE WILLIAM III CHIEF FINANCIAL OFFICER -$9.8M 1 1 sell
MYERS FRANKLIN -$8.6M 1 1 sell
SANDBROOK WILLIAM J -$6.2M 2 2 sell
ANDERSON DARCY -$6.2M 1 1 sell
Shaeff Julie CHIEF ACCOUNTING OFFICER -$5.4M 2 2 sell
Reed Terrence SVP and CHRO -$2.5M 1 1 sell

Transaction Clusters

PeriodFilingsInsidersNet ValueSeniority
2025-07-31 – 2025-08-13 5 5 -$19.6M 4 C-suite
2025-08-25 – 2025-08-28 3 3 -$3.4M
2025-10-30 – 2025-11-03 4 4 -$13.4M
2025-11-25 – 2025-12-05 3 3 -$15.1M 3 C-suite
2026-02-23 – 2026-03-05 9 9 -$56.5M 4 C-suite
2026-04-30 – 2026-05-12 6 6 -$46.0M 3 C-suite

Significant Filings

DateInsiderTitleNet ValuePrice After
2026-05-12 GEORGE WILLIAM III CHIEF FINANCIAL OFFICER -$9.8M Transaction at $1962.73, now -6.9%
2026-05-06 Lane Brian E. CHIEF EXECUTIVE OFF. -$21.9M Transaction at $1969.84, now -7.2%
2026-05-11 Shaeff Julie CHIEF ACCOUNTING OFFICER -$2.2M Transaction at $2000.37, now -8.6%
2026-04-30 SANDBROOK WILLIAM J -$2.6M Transaction at $1732.67, now +5.5%
2026-03-05 Reed Terrence SVP and CHRO -$2.5M Transaction at $1419.80, now +28.8%
2026-03-04 Shaeff Julie CHIEF ACCOUNTING OFFICER -$3.2M Transaction at $1382.15, now +32.3%

View full insider transaction history on Trend Edge →

AI Consult Analysis

Trend Edge's AI Consult feature delivers a comprehensive, multi-layer trade plan for Comfort Systems USA Inc (FIX) powered by Claude Opus — Anthropic's most capable AI model. The analysis covers five layers: technical analysis (near-term, medium-term, cyclical, and secular trend, momentum, volume shelf support and resistance, breakout and breakdown signals), qualitative analysis (business model, competitive moat, sector dynamics), insider sentiment (buy and sell signals from executive and director transactions), share stats analysis (institutional accumulation, fund positioning, short float squeeze potential), and fundamental analysis (valuation, revenue growth, profit margin, earnings quality).

AI Consult synthesizes all five layers into a single bullish or bearish thesis with explicit entry, exit, stop loss, and take profit levels — giving you a complete, AI-powered trade plan with defined risk/reward. Whether you are building a long position, initiating a short, or looking for a reversal setup, AI Consult identifies the highest-probability signal from the current trend.

Get the full AI Consult analysis for FIX on Trend Edge →