TOI — Oncology Institute Inc

Founder-Led

Stock analysis, trade plans, and proprietary indicators by Trend Edge.

About Oncology Institute Inc

The Oncology Institute, Inc., an oncology company, provides various oncology services in the United States. It operates through three segments: Specialty pharmacy, Patient Services, and Clinical Trials & Other. The company offers physician services, in-house infusion, in-house specialty pharmacy, clinical trials, radiation therapy, and outpatient blood product transfusion services, as well as educational seminars, support groups, counseling servi… Read full Trend Edge analysis →

Trend Edge Proprietary Indicators

Key Metrics

Current Price$4.59
Market Cap$418M
Float87.5M
Shares Outstanding100.0M
Price/Sales (TTM)0.77
vs. Analyst Target+52.5% to analyst PT
Profit Margin-7.97%
Operating Margin (TTM)-4.42%
Revenue (TTM)$546M
Dividend RateNone
Analyst Target Price$7.00 (1 analysts)

Financial History

Annual Revenue & Earnings History

YearRevenueNet IncomeGross ProfitEBITDA
2020 $188M -$14.3M $36.9M -$11.3M
2021 $203M -$10.9M $40.8M -$42.0M
2022 $252M $152,000 $52.1M -$67.6M
2023 $324M -$83.1M $59.6M -$54.3M
2024 $393M -$64.7M $54.0M -$53.8M
2025 $503M -$60.6M $76.4M -$42.5M

Recent Quarterly Revenue & Net Income

QuarterRevenueNet Income
Jun 2025 $120M -$17.0M
Sep 2025 $137M -$16.5M
Dec 2025 $142M -$7.5M
Mar 2026 $147M -$2.5M

Ownership & Float

Insider Ownership18.1%
Institutional Ownership46.1%
Short Float8.4%
% of All Funds Holding1.25%
Number of Funds Holding103

Current Moving Averages

Trend Edge tracks near-term, medium-term, cyclical, and secular moving averages across weekly and monthly timeframes to identify trend structure at every horizon.

TimeframeSMAValueTrend Context
Weekly10-Week SMA$3.72Near-term / short-term trend
Weekly40-Week SMA$3.46Medium-term trend
Weekly80-Week SMA$2.64Cyclical trend (business cycle)
Weekly200-Week SMA$2.00Secular trend (multi-year)
Monthly10-Month SMA$3.52Near-term monthly trend
Monthly20-Month SMA$2.52Medium-term monthly trend
Monthly40-Month SMA$1.80Secular monthly trend

Volume Shelves — Support & Resistance

Trend Edge identifies volume shelves: price zones where historically elevated trading volume creates structural support or resistance. A volume shelf forms when a disproportionate share of cumulative volume was transacted at a specific price level, making it a high-conviction anchor for future price reactions.

Price LevelTypeVolume RatioAge
$2.10 support 1.52x 9 months ago
$1.30 support 1.60x 12 months ago
$0.40 support 1.31x 15 months ago
$0.20 support 3.17x 16 months ago

Historical Earnings Reactions (24 events)

TimeframeAvg ReturnMedianWin RateBestWorst
Gap 1.42% 0.00% 45.83% 19.41% -5.82%
1 Day 0.12% -0.70% 37.50% 28.90% -19.60%
1 Week -5.97% -1.09% 45.83% 31.03% -61.52%
2 Weeks -6.13% -3.50% 41.67% 34.60% -50.97%
1 Month -3.38% -2.00% 34.78% 166.94% -68.06%

Next earnings: July 26, 2026 (60 days away)

Seasonality & Day-of-Week Patterns

Monthly Seasonality

Insufficient historical data for monthly seasonality analysis (requires 7+ years of data).

Day-of-Week Tendencies

DayAvg ReturnWin RateSamples
Monday -0.51% 41.1% 280
Tuesday 0.61% 47.7% 310
Wednesday -0.20% 42.9% 308
Thursday 0.74% 45.0% 300
Friday 0.02% 41.2% 301

Top Institutional Holders

Institutional holder breakdown coming soon.

Total institutional ownership: 46.1%

Insider Transactions — Smart Summary

Total insider ownership: 18.1%

Founder-led management: Daniel Virnich (CEO & Executive Director)

12-Month Insider Activity Summary

Total Filings16
Net Value-$879.32
Net Shares Change-7,023,138
% of Float-8.0%
C-Suite Filings1
Clusters Detected0

Key Insiders

NameTitleNet ValueFilingsActivity
M33 Growth I L.P. -$23.0M 2 4 sell
Chernett Jorey +$2.3M 8 8 buy

Significant Filings

DateInsiderTitleNet ValuePrice After
2026-05-21 Chernett Jorey +$156,594.9 Transaction at $4.07, now +12.8%
2026-05-20 Chernett Jorey +$122,700 Transaction at $4.09, now +12.2%
2026-03-17 Chernett Jorey +$1.2M Transaction at $3.07, now +49.5%
2026-04-13 Chernett Jorey +$62,000 Transaction at $3.10, now +48.1%
2026-03-30 Chernett Jorey +$81,189.84 Transaction at $2.96, now +55.1%
2026-03-27 Chernett Jorey +$157,500 Transaction at $3.15, now +45.7%

View full insider transaction history on Trend Edge →

AI Consult Analysis

Trend Edge's AI Consult feature delivers a comprehensive, multi-layer trade plan for Oncology Institute Inc (TOI) powered by Claude Opus — Anthropic's most capable AI model. The analysis covers five layers: technical analysis (near-term, medium-term, cyclical, and secular trend, momentum, volume shelf support and resistance, breakout and breakdown signals), qualitative analysis (business model, competitive moat, sector dynamics), insider sentiment (buy and sell signals from executive and director transactions), share stats analysis (institutional accumulation, fund positioning, short float squeeze potential), and fundamental analysis (valuation, revenue growth, profit margin, earnings quality).

AI Consult synthesizes all five layers into a single bullish or bearish thesis with explicit entry, exit, stop loss, and take profit levels — giving you a complete, AI-powered trade plan with defined risk/reward. Whether you are building a long position, initiating a short, or looking for a reversal setup, AI Consult identifies the highest-probability signal from the current trend.

Get the full AI Consult analysis for TOI on Trend Edge →