TNET — TriNet Group Inc

Stock analysis, trade plans, and proprietary indicators by Trend Edge.

Trend Edge Setup Score

Trend Edge rates TNET Bullish with a Setup Score of 43, net conviction 30, actionability 62. How the Setup Score works →

Total Setup Score43
Directional BiasBullish
Net Conviction30
Actionability62 (in range)

Key signals behind this score

About TriNet Group Inc

TriNet Group, Inc. provides comprehensive human capital management services for small and medium-sized businesses in the United States. The company offers multi-state payroll processing and tax administration; employee benefits programs, including health insurance and retirement plans; workers' compensation insurance and claims management; employment and benefits law compliance; and other HR related services. Read full Trend Edge analysis →

Trend Edge Proprietary Indicators

Key Metrics

Current Price$65.45
Market Cap$3.05B
Float26.9M
Shares Outstanding45.9M
P/E (Forward)11.70
P/E (TTM)17.68
Price/Sales (TTM)0.63
vs. Analyst Target+1.1% to analyst PT
Profit Margin3.63%
Operating Margin (TTM)6.43%
Revenue (TTM)$4.83B
Earnings Growth (YoY)49.40%
Dividend Rate1.2%
Analyst Target Price$66.20 (7 analysts)

Financial History

Annual Revenue & Earnings History

YearRevenueNet IncomeGross ProfitEBITDA
2020 $4.03B $272M $793M $446M
2021 $4.54B $338M $937M $520M
2022 $4.88B $355M $1.12B $610M
2023 $4.92B $375M $1.10B $662M
2024 $5.05B $173M $952M $374M
2025 $5.01B $155M $886M $346M

Recent Quarterly Revenue & Net Income

QuarterRevenueNet Income
Sep 2025 $1.23B $34.0M
Dec 2025 $1.25B -$1.0M
Mar 2026 $1.23B $89.0M
Jun 2026 $1.18B $53.0M

Ownership & Float

Insider Ownership1.1%
Institutional Ownership97.4%
Short Float5.8%
% of All Funds Holding3.15%
Number of Funds Holding277

Current Moving Averages

Trend Edge tracks near-term, medium-term, cyclical, and secular moving averages across weekly and monthly timeframes to identify trend structure at every horizon.

TimeframeSMAValueTrend Context
Weekly10-Week SMA$67.42Near-term / short-term trend
Weekly40-Week SMA$52.54Medium-term trend
Weekly80-Week SMA$60.52Cyclical trend (business cycle)
Weekly200-Week SMA$83.51Secular trend (multi-year)
Monthly10-Month SMA$54.08Near-term monthly trend
Monthly20-Month SMA$61.98Medium-term monthly trend
Monthly40-Month SMA$83.22Secular monthly trend

Volume Shelves — Support & Resistance

Trend Edge identifies volume shelves: price zones where historically elevated trading volume creates structural support or resistance. A volume shelf forms when a disproportionate share of cumulative volume was transacted at a specific price level, making it a high-conviction anchor for future price reactions.

Price LevelTypeVolume RatioAge
$91.00 resistance 1.56x 19 months ago
$96.00 resistance 1.59x 23 months ago

Historical Earnings Reactions (50 events)

TimeframeAvg ReturnMedianWin RateBestWorst
Gap 0.19% 0.70% 64.00% 12.05% -35.37%
1 Day 1.98% 2.13% 62.00% 23.10% -38.82%
1 Week 1.65% 2.31% 62.00% 26.43% -29.49%
2 Weeks 2.51% 2.22% 56.00% 30.17% -30.95%
1 Month 3.45% 3.54% 67.35% 40.17% -41.84%

Next earnings: November 4, 2026 (24 days away)

Seasonality & Day-of-Week Patterns

Monthly Seasonality

MonthAvg ReturnWin RateSamples
Jan-1.2%50.0%12
Feb1.0%66.7%12
Mar-0.4%41.7%12
Apr5.4%69.2%13
May2.6%61.5%13
Jun0.7%53.8%13
Jul6.9%76.9%13
Aug0.6%61.5%13
Sep-4.8%23.1%13
Oct-2.7%41.7%12
Nov9.5%75.0%12
Dec-0.9%41.7%12

Day-of-Week Tendencies

DayAvg ReturnWin RateSamples
Monday 0.07% 51.4% 591
Tuesday 0.01% 50.7% 649
Wednesday -0.04% 49.1% 646
Thursday 0.18% 52.6% 633
Friday 0.15% 52.7% 630

Top Institutional Holders

Institutional holder breakdown coming soon.

Total institutional ownership: 97.4%

Insider Transactions — Smart Summary

Total insider ownership: 1.1%

12-Month Insider Activity Summary

Total Filings13
Net Value-$379,850.35
Net Shares Change-10,609
% of Float-0.0%
C-Suite Filings9
Clusters Detected2

Key Insiders

NameTitleNet ValueFilingsActivity
LOWELL WAYNE B -$396,666.871 1 1 sell
Evanko Brian C +$188,500 1 1 buy
Chamberlain Paul Edward -$167,280 1 1 sell
Treadway Anthony Shea SVP, Chief Revenue Officer -$135,456.05 3 N/A
Majalya Sidney A. SVP, CLO and Secretary -$129,742.75 3 N/A
Hayward Jeffery Jon Chief Technology Officer -$82,641.87 1 N/A

Transaction Clusters

PeriodFilingsInsidersNet ValueSeniority
2025-11-10 – 2025-11-24 3 3 -$66,695.68 2 C-suite
2026-08-21 – 2026-08-31 3 3 -$294,937.15 2 C-suite

Significant Filings

DateInsiderTitleNet ValuePrice After
2026-08-31 Chamberlain Paul Edward -$167,280 Transaction at $69.70, now -6.1%
2026-08-06 LOWELL WAYNE B -$396,666.871 Transaction at $68.71, now -4.7%
2026-05-18 Evanko Brian C +$188,500 Transaction at $37.70, now +73.6%
2025-11-26 Hayward Jeffery Jon Chief Technology Officer -$82,641.87 Transaction at $57.51, now +13.8%
2026-08-24 Majalya Sidney A. SVP, CLO and Secretary -$53,110.75 Transaction at $68.53, now -4.5%
2026-08-21 Treadway Anthony Shea SVP, Chief Revenue Officer -$74,546.4 Transaction at $69.80, now -6.2%

View full insider transaction history on Trend Edge →

AI Consult Analysis

Trend Edge's AI Consult feature delivers a comprehensive, multi-layer trade plan for TriNet Group Inc (TNET) powered by Claude Opus — Anthropic's most capable AI model. The analysis covers five layers: technical analysis (near-term, medium-term, cyclical, and secular trend, momentum, volume shelf support and resistance, breakout and breakdown signals), qualitative analysis (business model, competitive moat, sector dynamics), insider sentiment (buy and sell signals from executive and director transactions), share stats analysis (institutional accumulation, fund positioning, short float squeeze potential), and fundamental analysis (valuation, revenue growth, profit margin, earnings quality).

AI Consult synthesizes all five layers into a single bullish or bearish thesis with explicit entry, exit, stop loss, and take profit levels — giving you a complete, AI-powered trade plan with defined risk/reward. Whether you are building a long position, initiating a short, or looking for a reversal setup, AI Consult identifies the highest-probability signal from the current trend.

Get the full AI Consult analysis for TNET on Trend Edge →