NSP — Insperity Inc

Founder-Led

Stock analysis, trade plans, and proprietary indicators by Trend Edge.

Trend Edge Setup Score

Trend Edge rates NSP Bearish with a Setup Score of 0, net conviction 34, actionability 0. How the Setup Score works →

Total Setup Score0
Directional BiasBearish
Net Conviction34
Actionability0 (no mans land)

Key signals behind this score

About Insperity Inc

Insperity, Inc. engages in the provision of human resources (HR) and business solutions to improve business performance for small and medium-sized businesses primarily in the United States. It offers Insperity HR360 solution, a full-service PEO solution delivering HR technology, compliance, and strategic support for small and midsize businesses; Insperity HRCore, a streamlined HR platform for payroll, compliance, and workforce management; and Ins… Read full Trend Edge analysis →

Trend Edge Proprietary Indicators

Key Metrics

Current Price$44.37
Market Cap$1.73B
Float35.7M
Shares Outstanding38.2M
P/E (Forward)22.03
Price/Sales (TTM)0.25
vs. Analyst Target-11.0% to analyst PT
Profit Margin-0.37%
Operating Margin (TTM)3.27%
Revenue (TTM)$6.84B
Earnings Growth (YoY)-35.30%
Dividend Rate2.4%
Analyst Target Price$39.50 (5 analysts)

Financial History

Annual Revenue & Earnings History

YearRevenueNet IncomeGross ProfitEBITDA
2020 $4.29B $138M $807M $228M
2021 $4.97B $124M $820M $214M
2022 $5.94B $179M $1.01B $300M
2023 $6.49B $171M $1.04B $295M
2024 $6.58B $91.0M $1.05B $198M
2025 $6.81B -$7.0M $900M $65.0M

Recent Quarterly Revenue & Net Income

QuarterRevenueNet Income
Jun 2025 $1.66B -$5.0M
Sep 2025 $1.62B -$20.0M
Dec 2025 $1.67B -$33.0M
Mar 2026 $1.90B $33.0M

Ownership & Float

Insider Ownership6.2%
Institutional Ownership111.7%
Short Float12.3%
% of All Funds Holding2.90%
Number of Funds Holding238

Current Moving Averages

Trend Edge tracks near-term, medium-term, cyclical, and secular moving averages across weekly and monthly timeframes to identify trend structure at every horizon.

TimeframeSMAValueTrend Context
Weekly10-Week SMA$36.88Near-term / short-term trend
Weekly40-Week SMA$35.17Medium-term trend
Weekly80-Week SMA$51.66Cyclical trend (business cycle)
Weekly200-Week SMA$83.43Secular trend (multi-year)
Monthly10-Month SMA$36.59Near-term monthly trend
Monthly20-Month SMA$52.47Medium-term monthly trend
Monthly40-Month SMA$77.81Secular monthly trend

Volume Shelves — Support & Resistance

Trend Edge identifies volume shelves: price zones where historically elevated trading volume creates structural support or resistance. A volume shelf forms when a disproportionate share of cumulative volume was transacted at a specific price level, making it a high-conviction anchor for future price reactions.

Price LevelTypeVolume RatioAge
$21.70 support 1.53x 3 months ago
$55.00 resistance 1.13x 9 months ago
$89.00 resistance 1.35x 14 months ago

Historical Earnings Reactions (117 events)

TimeframeAvg ReturnMedianWin RateBestWorst
Gap -0.37% 0.00% 47.86% 6.77% -21.42%
1 Day -1.71% -0.41% 45.30% 10.51% -25.71%
1 Week -1.48% -1.10% 45.30% 26.73% -32.14%
2 Weeks -0.68% -1.31% 47.01% 50.90% -33.33%
1 Month -0.01% -1.26% 47.41% 32.43% -54.04%

Next earnings: August 7, 2026 (27 days away)

Seasonality & Day-of-Week Patterns

Monthly Seasonality

MonthAvg ReturnWin RateSamples
Jan0.5%44.8%29
Feb0.7%53.3%30
Mar1.0%63.3%30
Apr4.3%66.7%30
May2.8%50.0%30
Jun3.7%60.0%30
Jul-1.0%41.4%29
Aug-2.2%34.5%29
Sep2.2%48.3%29
Oct4.4%62.1%29
Nov2.3%55.2%29
Dec3.5%55.2%29

Day-of-Week Tendencies

DayAvg ReturnWin RateSamples
Monday -0.01% 46.9% 1391
Tuesday 0.21% 51.3% 1520
Wednesday 0.11% 49.8% 1520
Thursday 0.10% 53.0% 1490
Friday 0.02% 49.4% 1481

Top Institutional Holders

Institutional holder breakdown coming soon.

Total institutional ownership: 111.7%

Insider Transactions — Smart Summary

Total insider ownership: 6.2%

Founder-led management: Paul J. Sarvadi (Co-Founder, Chairman & CEO)

12-Month Insider Activity Summary

Total Filings16
Net Value+$15.3M
Net Shares Change561,716
% of Float1.6%
C-Suite Filings7
Clusters Detected2

Key Insiders

NameTitleNet ValueFilingsActivity
SARVADI PAUL J Chairman of the Board & CEO +$15.5M 3 4 buy
ALLISON JAMES D EVP, Finance, CFO & Treasurer +$391,780 2 2 buy
Lumelleau John L +$249,480 1 1 buy
KAUFMAN CAROL R +$226,200 1 1 buy
Mehl Randall +$102,380.1 1 1 buy
Callens Christian P SVP Legal, Gen Counsel & Sec +$24,100 1 1 buy
MASTERSON ELLEN H +$23,880 1 1 buy

Transaction Clusters

PeriodFilingsInsidersNet ValueSeniority
2025-08-06 – 2025-08-18 8 8 +$1.0M 1 C-suite
2026-03-11 – 2026-03-19 4 4 +$4.9M 3 C-suite

Significant Filings

DateInsiderTitleNet ValuePrice After
2026-06-04 SARVADI PAUL J Chairman of the Board & CEO +$7.9M Transaction at $34.05, now +30.3%
2026-05-06 SARVADI PAUL J Chairman of the Board & CEO +$2.9M Transaction at $28.73, now +54.4%
2026-03-19 SARVADI PAUL J Chairman of the Board & CEO +$4.7M Transaction at $22.93, now +93.5%
2026-03-11 ALLISON JAMES D EVP, Finance, CFO & Treasurer +$204,500 Transaction at $20.45, now +117.0%
2026-03-11 Callens Christian P SVP Legal, Gen Counsel & Sec +$24,100 Transaction at $19.28, now +130.1%
2026-03-11 MASTERSON ELLEN H +$23,880 Transaction at $19.90, now +123.0%

View full insider transaction history on Trend Edge →

AI Consult Analysis

Trend Edge's AI Consult feature delivers a comprehensive, multi-layer trade plan for Insperity Inc (NSP) powered by Claude Opus — Anthropic's most capable AI model. The analysis covers five layers: technical analysis (near-term, medium-term, cyclical, and secular trend, momentum, volume shelf support and resistance, breakout and breakdown signals), qualitative analysis (business model, competitive moat, sector dynamics), insider sentiment (buy and sell signals from executive and director transactions), share stats analysis (institutional accumulation, fund positioning, short float squeeze potential), and fundamental analysis (valuation, revenue growth, profit margin, earnings quality).

AI Consult synthesizes all five layers into a single bullish or bearish thesis with explicit entry, exit, stop loss, and take profit levels — giving you a complete, AI-powered trade plan with defined risk/reward. Whether you are building a long position, initiating a short, or looking for a reversal setup, AI Consult identifies the highest-probability signal from the current trend.

Get the full AI Consult analysis for NSP on Trend Edge →