TKO — TKO Group Holdings, Inc.

Stock analysis, trade plans, and proprietary indicators by Trend Edge.

About TKO Group Holdings, Inc.

TKO Group Holdings, Inc. operates as a sports and entertainment company. The company operates through three segments: UFC, WWE and IMG. The UFC segment distributes programming content; ticket sales and site fees associated with the business's global live events; partnerships and marketing; and consumer products licensing agreements of UFC-branded products. Read full Trend Edge analysis →

Trend Edge Proprietary Indicators

Key Metrics

Current Price$200.54
Market Cap$14.37B
Float61.6M
Shares Outstanding75.0M
P/E (Forward)48.78
P/E (TTM)71.50
Price/Sales (TTM)2.84
vs. Analyst Target+16.9% to analyst PT
Profit Margin4.47%
Operating Margin (TTM)21.22%
Revenue (TTM)$5.06B
Earnings Growth (YoY)63.00%
Dividend Rate3.1%
Analyst Target Price$234.39 (19 analysts)

Financial History

Annual Revenue & Earnings History

YearRevenueNet IncomeGross ProfitEBITDA
2020 $974M $132M $382M $293M
2021 $1.10B $177M $446M $341M
2022 $1.14B $387M $755M $603M
2023 $1.67B -$35.2M $996M $611M
2024 $2.80B $9.4M $1.51B $676M
2025 $4.74B $195M $2.35B $1.31B

Recent Quarterly Revenue & Net Income

QuarterRevenueNet Income
Jun 2025 $1.31B $98.4M
Sep 2025 $1.12B $41.0M
Dec 2025 $1.04B -$2.4M
Mar 2026 $1.60B $89.4M

Ownership & Float

Insider Ownership17.7%
Institutional Ownership104.7%
Short Float14.9%
% of All Funds Holding7.37%
Number of Funds Holding606

Current Moving Averages

Trend Edge tracks near-term, medium-term, cyclical, and secular moving averages across weekly and monthly timeframes to identify trend structure at every horizon.

TimeframeSMAValueTrend Context
Weekly10-Week SMA$191.80Near-term / short-term trend
Weekly40-Week SMA$197.25Medium-term trend
Weekly80-Week SMA$177.21Cyclical trend (business cycle)
Weekly200-Week SMA$126.91Secular trend (multi-year)
Monthly10-Month SMA$199.75Near-term monthly trend
Monthly20-Month SMA$176.19Medium-term monthly trend
Monthly40-Month SMA$136.48Secular monthly trend

Volume Shelves — Support & Resistance

Trend Edge identifies volume shelves: price zones where historically elevated trading volume creates structural support or resistance. A volume shelf forms when a disproportionate share of cumulative volume was transacted at a specific price level, making it a high-conviction anchor for future price reactions.

Price LevelTypeVolume RatioAge
$203.00 resistance 1.09x 0 months ago
$223.00 resistance 1.46x 1 months ago

Historical Earnings Reactions (104 events)

TimeframeAvg ReturnMedianWin RateBestWorst
Gap 0.24% 0.03% 50.96% 17.94% -6.72%
1 Day 0.15% -0.10% 47.12% 15.53% -12.09%
1 Week -0.11% 0.35% 50.96% 22.74% -26.32%
2 Weeks -0.05% 0.04% 50.00% 24.23% -44.56%
1 Month 0.81% -0.12% 47.57% 51.39% -45.30%

Next earnings: July 25, 2026 (56 days away)

Seasonality & Day-of-Week Patterns

Monthly Seasonality

MonthAvg ReturnWin RateSamples
Jan4.8%70.4%27
Feb0.9%51.9%27
Mar3.3%66.7%27
Apr-0.4%44.4%27
May1.0%53.8%26
Jun3.3%53.8%26
Jul0.0%61.5%26
Aug2.1%61.5%26
Sep-1.8%42.3%26
Oct-1.3%42.3%26
Nov1.7%59.3%27
Dec1.8%63.0%27

Day-of-Week Tendencies

DayAvg ReturnWin RateSamples
Monday 0.02% 48.4% 1255
Tuesday 0.15% 50.5% 1373
Wednesday 0.06% 48.4% 1373
Thursday 0.04% 50.4% 1346
Friday 0.04% 52.2% 1342

Top Institutional Holders

Institutional holder breakdown coming soon.

Total institutional ownership: 104.7%

Insider Transactions — Smart Summary

Total insider ownership: 17.7%

12-Month Insider Activity Summary

Total Filings46
Net Value-$17.1M
Net Shares Change3,112,072
% of Float5.1%
C-Suite Filings28
Clusters Detected4

Key Insiders

NameTitleNet ValueFilingsActivity
Silver Lake West VoteCo, L.L.C. +$250M 1 1 buy
Endeavor Group Holdings, Inc. +$250M 1 1 buy
SHAPIRO MARK S President and Chief Operating Officer. -$4.5M 2 N/A
Emanuel Ariel Chief Executive Officer +$2.0M 1 1 buy
Khan Nick -$1.8M 1 N/A
KRAFT JONATHAN +$987,797.2 1 1 buy
Schleimer Andrew M Chief Financial Officer +$499,952.98 1 N/A
BYNOE PETER C B +$316,418.2 2 2 buy

Transaction Clusters

PeriodFilingsInsidersNet ValueSeniority
2025-06-04 – 2025-06-06 4 4 +$499M
2026-01-05 – 2026-01-13 8 5 -$19.1M 7 C-suite
2026-01-22 – 2026-02-03 9 5 -$12.7M 7 C-suite
2026-05-06 – 2026-05-18 5 5 +$3.7M 3 C-suite

Significant Filings

DateInsiderTitleNet ValuePrice After
2026-05-13 Emanuel Ariel Chief Executive Officer +$2.0M Transaction at $185.09, now +8.3%
2026-05-18 KRAFT JONATHAN +$987,797.2 Transaction at $189.96, now +5.6%
2025-06-04 Silver Lake West VoteCo, L.L.C. +$250M Transaction at $158.32, now +26.7%
2025-06-04 Endeavor Group Holdings, Inc. +$250M Transaction at $158.32, now +26.7%
2025-06-06 BYNOE PETER C B +$166,198.2 Transaction at $169.59, now +18.2%
2025-09-17 BYNOE PETER C B +$150,220 Transaction at $203.00, now -1.2%

View full insider transaction history on Trend Edge →

AI Consult Analysis

Trend Edge's AI Consult feature delivers a comprehensive, multi-layer trade plan for TKO Group Holdings, Inc. (TKO) powered by Claude Opus — Anthropic's most capable AI model. The analysis covers five layers: technical analysis (near-term, medium-term, cyclical, and secular trend, momentum, volume shelf support and resistance, breakout and breakdown signals), qualitative analysis (business model, competitive moat, sector dynamics), insider sentiment (buy and sell signals from executive and director transactions), share stats analysis (institutional accumulation, fund positioning, short float squeeze potential), and fundamental analysis (valuation, revenue growth, profit margin, earnings quality).

AI Consult synthesizes all five layers into a single bullish or bearish thesis with explicit entry, exit, stop loss, and take profit levels — giving you a complete, AI-powered trade plan with defined risk/reward. Whether you are building a long position, initiating a short, or looking for a reversal setup, AI Consult identifies the highest-probability signal from the current trend.

Get the full AI Consult analysis for TKO on Trend Edge →