SIRI — Sirius XM Holding Inc

Stock analysis, trade plans, and proprietary indicators by Trend Edge.

Trend Edge Setup Score

Trend Edge rates SIRI Bearish with a Setup Score of 9, net conviction 22, actionability 4. How the Setup Score works →

Total Setup Score9
Directional BiasBearish
Net Conviction22
Actionability4 (in range)

Key signals behind this score

About Sirius XM Holding Inc

Sirius XM Holdings Inc. operates as an audio entertainment company in North America. It operates through two segments, Sirius XM, and Pandora and Off-platform. The Sirius XM segment provides music, sports, entertainment, comedy, and talk and news channels, as well as podcast and infotainment services on subscription fee basis; and live, curated, and exclusive and on demand programming services through satellite radio systems and streamed through … Read full Trend Edge analysis →

Trend Edge Proprietary Indicators

Key Metrics

Current Price$28.45
Market Cap$9.57B
Float308.2M
Shares Outstanding337.1M
P/E (Forward)9.56
P/E (TTM)11.49
Price/Sales (TTM)1.11
vs. Analyst Target+12.5% to analyst PT
Profit Margin10.23%
Operating Margin (TTM)22.13%
Revenue (TTM)$8.60B
Earnings Growth (YoY)23.70%
Dividend Rate1.1%
Analyst Target Price$32.00 (15 analysts)

Financial History

Annual Revenue & Earnings History

YearRevenueNet IncomeGross ProfitEBITDA
2020 $8.04B $131M $4.10B $1.39B
2021 $8.70B $1.31B $4.40B $2.52B
2022 $9.00B $1.21B $4.52B $2.61B
2023 $8.95B $1.26B $4.38B $2.54B
2024 $8.70B -$1.67B $4.20B -$747M
2025 $8.56B $805M $4.03B $2.10B

Recent Quarterly Revenue & Net Income

QuarterRevenueNet Income
Sep 2025 $2.16B $297M
Dec 2025 $2.19B $99.0M
Mar 2026 $2.09B $245M
Jun 2026 $2.16B $239M

Ownership & Float

Insider Ownership46.4%
Institutional Ownership50.0%
Short Float11.3%
% of All Funds Holding6.70%
Number of Funds Holding589

Current Moving Averages

Trend Edge tracks near-term, medium-term, cyclical, and secular moving averages across weekly and monthly timeframes to identify trend structure at every horizon.

TimeframeSMAValueTrend Context
Weekly10-Week SMA$29.48Near-term / short-term trend
Weekly40-Week SMA$25.01Medium-term trend
Weekly80-Week SMA$23.69Cyclical trend (business cycle)
Weekly200-Week SMA$33.52Secular trend (multi-year)
Monthly10-Month SMA$25.07Near-term monthly trend
Monthly20-Month SMA$23.86Medium-term monthly trend
Monthly40-Month SMA$30.75Secular monthly trend

Volume Shelves — Support & Resistance

Trend Edge identifies volume shelves: price zones where historically elevated trading volume creates structural support or resistance. A volume shelf forms when a disproportionate share of cumulative volume was transacted at a specific price level, making it a high-conviction anchor for future price reactions.

Price LevelTypeVolume RatioAge
$23.40 support 1.44x 3 months ago
$32.90 resistance 2.44x 22 months ago

Historical Earnings Reactions (114 events)

TimeframeAvg ReturnMedianWin RateBestWorst
Gap 0.07% 0.37% 57.89% 9.63% -28.89%
1 Day 0.76% 0.43% 54.39% 25.62% -43.70%
1 Week -0.32% -0.83% 44.74% 106.25% -48.15%
2 Weeks 1.38% -2.36% 42.11% 143.75% -37.04%
1 Month 2.61% 0.00% 49.56% 127.60% -68.13%

Next earnings: October 18, 2026 (53 days away)

Seasonality & Day-of-Week Patterns

Monthly Seasonality

MonthAvg ReturnWin RateSamples
Jan6.1%53.1%32
Feb-1.1%50.0%32
Mar6.0%46.9%32
Apr3.9%43.8%32
May5.6%46.9%32
Jun1.0%56.3%32
Jul-1.6%59.4%32
Aug-0.4%35.5%31
Sep-4.3%38.7%31
Oct1.2%37.5%32
Nov6.6%62.5%32
Dec2.2%37.5%32

Day-of-Week Tendencies

DayAvg ReturnWin RateSamples
Monday -0.00% 45.0% 1511
Tuesday 0.09% 45.0% 1650
Wednesday 0.11% 46.4% 1650
Thursday 0.08% 47.3% 1617
Friday 0.25% 46.1% 1610

Top Institutional Holders

Institutional holder breakdown coming soon.

Total institutional ownership: 50.0%

Insider Transactions — Smart Summary

Total insider ownership: 46.4%

12-Month Insider Activity Summary

Total Filings4
Net Value-$914,733.698
Net Shares Change-46,417
% of Float-0.0%
C-Suite Filings1
Clusters Detected0

Key Insiders

NameTitleNet ValueFilingsActivity
Greenstein Scott Andrew Pres. & Chief Content Officer -$914,733.698 1 1 sell
Procope Jonelle -$499,701.52 1 1 sell
Salen Kristina -$161,074.09 2 N/A

Significant Filings

DateInsiderTitleNet ValuePrice After
2026-08-07 Procope Jonelle -$499,701.52 Transaction at $29.97, now -5.1%
2026-05-28 Greenstein Scott Andrew Pres. & Chief Content Officer -$914,733.698 Transaction at $29.36, now -3.1%
2026-06-02 Salen Kristina -$121,148.29 Transaction at $29.57, now -3.8%
2025-11-04 Salen Kristina -$39,925.8 Transaction at $21.64, now +31.5%

View full insider transaction history on Trend Edge →

AI Consult Analysis

Trend Edge's AI Consult feature delivers a comprehensive, multi-layer trade plan for Sirius XM Holding Inc (SIRI) powered by Claude Opus — Anthropic's most capable AI model. The analysis covers five layers: technical analysis (near-term, medium-term, cyclical, and secular trend, momentum, volume shelf support and resistance, breakout and breakdown signals), qualitative analysis (business model, competitive moat, sector dynamics), insider sentiment (buy and sell signals from executive and director transactions), share stats analysis (institutional accumulation, fund positioning, short float squeeze potential), and fundamental analysis (valuation, revenue growth, profit margin, earnings quality).

AI Consult synthesizes all five layers into a single bullish or bearish thesis with explicit entry, exit, stop loss, and take profit levels — giving you a complete, AI-powered trade plan with defined risk/reward. Whether you are building a long position, initiating a short, or looking for a reversal setup, AI Consult identifies the highest-probability signal from the current trend.

Get the full AI Consult analysis for SIRI on Trend Edge →