SIRI — Sirius XM Holding Inc

Stock analysis, trade plans, and proprietary indicators by Trend Edge.

About Sirius XM Holding Inc

Sirius XM Holdings Inc. operates as an audio entertainment company in North America. It operates through two segments, Sirius XM, and Pandora and Off-platform. The Sirius XM segment provides music, sports, entertainment, comedy, and talk and news channels, as well as podcast and infotainment services on subscription fee basis; and live, curated, and exclusive and on demand programming services through satellite radio systems and streamed through … Read full Trend Edge analysis →

Trend Edge Proprietary Indicators

Key Metrics

Current Price$27.01
Market Cap$9.45B
Float304.4M
Shares Outstanding336.6M
P/E (Forward)9.40
P/E (TTM)11.90
Price/Sales (TTM)1.10
vs. Analyst Target+3.7% to analyst PT
Profit Margin9.86%
Operating Margin (TTM)22.00%
Revenue (TTM)$8.58B
Earnings Growth (YoY)21.80%
Dividend Rate1.1%
Analyst Target Price$28.00 (15 analysts)

Financial History

Annual Revenue & Earnings History

YearRevenueNet IncomeGross ProfitEBITDA
2020 $8.04B $131M $4.10B $1.39B
2021 $8.70B $1.31B $4.40B $2.52B
2022 $9.00B $1.21B $4.52B $2.61B
2023 $8.95B $1.26B $4.38B $2.54B
2024 $8.70B -$1.67B $4.20B -$747M
2025 $8.56B $805M $4.03B $2.10B

Recent Quarterly Revenue & Net Income

QuarterRevenueNet Income
Jun 2025 $2.14B $205M
Sep 2025 $2.16B $297M
Dec 2025 $2.19B $99.0M
Mar 2026 $2.09B $245M

Ownership & Float

Insider Ownership47.5%
Institutional Ownership44.2%
Short Float9.6%
% of All Funds Holding6.33%
Number of Funds Holding520

Current Moving Averages

Trend Edge tracks near-term, medium-term, cyclical, and secular moving averages across weekly and monthly timeframes to identify trend structure at every horizon.

TimeframeSMAValueTrend Context
Weekly10-Week SMA$26.51Near-term / short-term trend
Weekly40-Week SMA$22.89Medium-term trend
Weekly80-Week SMA$22.93Cyclical trend (business cycle)
Weekly200-Week SMA$35.44Secular trend (multi-year)
Monthly10-Month SMA$23.51Near-term monthly trend
Monthly20-Month SMA$23.32Medium-term monthly trend
Monthly40-Month SMA$31.18Secular monthly trend

Volume Shelves — Support & Resistance

Trend Edge identifies volume shelves: price zones where historically elevated trading volume creates structural support or resistance. A volume shelf forms when a disproportionate share of cumulative volume was transacted at a specific price level, making it a high-conviction anchor for future price reactions.

Price LevelTypeVolume RatioAge
$23.10 support 1.48x 1 months ago
$32.90 resistance 2.44x 20 months ago
$39.20 resistance 1.32x 25 months ago

Historical Earnings Reactions (113 events)

TimeframeAvg ReturnMedianWin RateBestWorst
Gap 0.08% 0.40% 58.41% 9.63% -28.89%
1 Day 0.80% 0.50% 54.87% 25.62% -43.70%
1 Week -0.30% -0.65% 45.13% 106.25% -48.15%
2 Weeks 1.47% -2.28% 42.48% 143.75% -37.04%
1 Month 2.59% 0.00% 49.11% 127.60% -68.13%

Next earnings: August 6, 2026 (58 days away)

Seasonality & Day-of-Week Patterns

Monthly Seasonality

MonthAvg ReturnWin RateSamples
Jan6.1%53.1%32
Feb-1.1%50.0%32
Mar6.0%46.9%32
Apr3.9%43.8%32
May5.6%46.9%32
Jun1.0%54.8%31
Jul-1.7%58.1%31
Aug-0.4%35.5%31
Sep-4.3%38.7%31
Oct1.2%37.5%32
Nov6.6%62.5%32
Dec2.2%37.5%32

Day-of-Week Tendencies

DayAvg ReturnWin RateSamples
Monday -0.01% 44.8% 1500
Tuesday 0.09% 44.9% 1638
Wednesday 0.11% 46.5% 1638
Thursday 0.08% 47.4% 1605
Friday 0.25% 46.1% 1600

Top Institutional Holders

Institutional holder breakdown coming soon.

Total institutional ownership: 44.2%

Insider Transactions — Smart Summary

Total insider ownership: 47.5%

12-Month Insider Activity Summary

Total Filings4
Net Value-$914,733.698
Net Shares Change5,000,680
% of Float1.6%
C-Suite Filings1
Clusters Detected0

Key Insiders

NameTitleNet ValueFilingsActivity
BERKSHIRE HATHAWAY INC +$106M 1 1 buy
Greenstein Scott Andrew Pres. and Chief Content Officer -$914,733.698 1 1 sell
Salen Kristina -$161,074.09 2 N/A

Significant Filings

DateInsiderTitleNet ValuePrice After
2026-05-28 Greenstein Scott Andrew Pres. and Chief Content Officer -$914,733.698 Transaction at $29.36, now -8.0%
2025-08-04 BERKSHIRE HATHAWAY INC +$106M Transaction at $21.16, now +27.6%
2026-06-02 Salen Kristina -$121,148.29 Transaction at $29.57, now -8.7%
2025-11-04 Salen Kristina -$39,925.8 Transaction at $21.64, now +24.8%

View full insider transaction history on Trend Edge →

AI Consult Analysis

Trend Edge's AI Consult feature delivers a comprehensive, multi-layer trade plan for Sirius XM Holding Inc (SIRI) powered by Claude Opus — Anthropic's most capable AI model. The analysis covers five layers: technical analysis (near-term, medium-term, cyclical, and secular trend, momentum, volume shelf support and resistance, breakout and breakdown signals), qualitative analysis (business model, competitive moat, sector dynamics), insider sentiment (buy and sell signals from executive and director transactions), share stats analysis (institutional accumulation, fund positioning, short float squeeze potential), and fundamental analysis (valuation, revenue growth, profit margin, earnings quality).

AI Consult synthesizes all five layers into a single bullish or bearish thesis with explicit entry, exit, stop loss, and take profit levels — giving you a complete, AI-powered trade plan with defined risk/reward. Whether you are building a long position, initiating a short, or looking for a reversal setup, AI Consult identifies the highest-probability signal from the current trend.

Get the full AI Consult analysis for SIRI on Trend Edge →