TKNO — Alpha Teknova Inc

Stock analysis, trade plans, and proprietary indicators by Trend Edge.

About Alpha Teknova Inc

Alpha Teknova, Inc. produces critical reagents for the discovery, development, and commercialization of novel therapies, vaccines, and molecular diagnostics in the United States and internationally. The company' primary products include pre-poured media plates for cell growth and cloning; liquid microbial culture media and supplements for cellular expansion; and molecular biology reagents for sample manipulation, resuspension, and purification. Read full Trend Edge analysis →

Trend Edge Proprietary Indicators

Key Metrics

Current Price$4.00
Market Cap$204M
Float10.9M
Shares Outstanding53.6M
Price/Sales (TTM)4.87
vs. Analyst Target+125.0% to analyst PT
Profit Margin-41.07%
Operating Margin (TTM)-38.80%
Revenue (TTM)$41.8M
Dividend RateNone
Analyst Target Price$9.00 (5 analysts)

Financial History

Annual Revenue & Earnings History

YearRevenueNet IncomeGross ProfitEBITDA
2020 $31.3M $3.6M $17.8M $6.7M
2021 $36.9M -$9.8M $17.6M -$9.1M
2022 $41.4M -$47.5M $17.5M -$25.7M
2023 $36.7M -$36.8M $10.3M -$25.5M
2024 $37.7M -$26.7M $7.2M -$19.6M
2025 $40.5M -$17.3M $13.4M -$10.1M

Recent Quarterly Revenue & Net Income

QuarterRevenueNet Income
Jun 2025 $10.3M -$3.6M
Sep 2025 $10.5M -$4.3M
Dec 2025 $10.0M -$4.8M
Mar 2026 $11.1M -$4.6M

Ownership & Float

Insider Ownership9.3%
Institutional Ownership84.7%
Short Float12.1%
% of All Funds Holding0.82%
Number of Funds Holding67

Current Moving Averages

Trend Edge tracks near-term, medium-term, cyclical, and secular moving averages across weekly and monthly timeframes to identify trend structure at every horizon.

TimeframeSMAValueTrend Context
Weekly10-Week SMA$3.34Near-term / short-term trend
Weekly40-Week SMA$3.85Medium-term trend
Weekly80-Week SMA$5.13Cyclical trend (business cycle)
Weekly200-Week SMA$4.18Secular trend (multi-year)
Monthly10-Month SMA$3.97Near-term monthly trend
Monthly20-Month SMA$5.24Medium-term monthly trend
Monthly40-Month SMA$4.11Secular monthly trend

Volume Shelves — Support & Resistance

Trend Edge identifies volume shelves: price zones where historically elevated trading volume creates structural support or resistance. A volume shelf forms when a disproportionate share of cumulative volume was transacted at a specific price level, making it a high-conviction anchor for future price reactions.

Price LevelTypeVolume RatioAge
$6.70 resistance 1.52x 13 months ago
$1.40 support 8.70x 21 months ago

Historical Earnings Reactions (21 events)

TimeframeAvg ReturnMedianWin RateBestWorst
Gap 2.65% 0.00% 47.62% 26.27% -6.24%
1 Day 3.39% 1.08% 52.38% 29.52% -19.34%
1 Week 0.74% -4.00% 42.86% 56.10% -26.56%
2 Weeks 6.86% -1.87% 42.86% 165.85% -34.21%
1 Month 15.05% -4.29% 40.00% 245.53% -38.37%

Next earnings: July 25, 2026 (58 days away)

Seasonality & Day-of-Week Patterns

Monthly Seasonality

Insufficient historical data for monthly seasonality analysis (requires 7+ years of data).

Day-of-Week Tendencies

DayAvg ReturnWin RateSamples
Monday -0.29% 43.2% 229
Tuesday 0.65% 50.0% 256
Wednesday -0.28% 46.2% 253
Thursday -0.41% 43.5% 246
Friday 0.38% 49.0% 249

Top Institutional Holders

Institutional holder breakdown coming soon.

Total institutional ownership: 84.7%

Insider Transactions — Smart Summary

Total insider ownership: 9.3%

12-Month Insider Activity Summary

Total Filings3
Net Value+$143,417.2
Net Shares Change58,000
% of Float0.5%
C-Suite Filings2
Clusters Detected0

Key Insiders

NameTitleNet ValueFilingsActivity
Lowell Matthew Chief Financial Officer +$87,616 1 1 buy
Gunstream Stephen President and CEO +$55,801.2 1 1 buy
DEMSKI MARTHA J -$40,512 1 N/A

Significant Filings

DateInsiderTitleNet ValuePrice After
2026-03-09 Lowell Matthew Chief Financial Officer +$87,616 Transaction at $2.19, now +82.6%
2026-03-09 Gunstream Stephen President and CEO +$55,801.2 Transaction at $2.15, now +86.4%
2025-07-01 DEMSKI MARTHA J -$40,512 Transaction at $5.06, now -21.0%

View full insider transaction history on Trend Edge →

AI Consult Analysis

Trend Edge's AI Consult feature delivers a comprehensive, multi-layer trade plan for Alpha Teknova Inc (TKNO) powered by Claude Opus — Anthropic's most capable AI model. The analysis covers five layers: technical analysis (near-term, medium-term, cyclical, and secular trend, momentum, volume shelf support and resistance, breakout and breakdown signals), qualitative analysis (business model, competitive moat, sector dynamics), insider sentiment (buy and sell signals from executive and director transactions), share stats analysis (institutional accumulation, fund positioning, short float squeeze potential), and fundamental analysis (valuation, revenue growth, profit margin, earnings quality).

AI Consult synthesizes all five layers into a single bullish or bearish thesis with explicit entry, exit, stop loss, and take profit levels — giving you a complete, AI-powered trade plan with defined risk/reward. Whether you are building a long position, initiating a short, or looking for a reversal setup, AI Consult identifies the highest-probability signal from the current trend.

Get the full AI Consult analysis for TKNO on Trend Edge →