TH — Target Hospitality Corp

Stock analysis, trade plans, and proprietary indicators by Trend Edge.

Trend Edge Setup Score

Trend Edge rates TH Bullish with a Setup Score of 58, net conviction 38, actionability 90. How the Setup Score works →

Total Setup Score58
Directional BiasBullish
Net Conviction38
Actionability90 (in range)

Key signals behind this score

About Target Hospitality Corp

Target Hospitality Corp. operates as a specialty rental and hospitality services company in North America. It operates through Hospitality & Facilities Services " South, Workforce Hospitality Solutions, and Government segments. The company owns a network of specialty rental accommodation units. It also provides catering and food, maintenance, housekeeping, grounds-keeping, security, health and recreation facilities, workforce community management… Read full Trend Edge analysis →

Trend Edge Proprietary Indicators

Key Metrics

Current Price$18.44
Market Cap$1.84B
Float50.4M
Shares Outstanding99.6M
P/E (Forward)20.16
Price/Sales (TTM)5.69
vs. Analyst Target+19.3% to analyst PT
Profit Margin-13.47%
Operating Margin (TTM)-19.69%
Revenue (TTM)$324M
Earnings Growth (YoY)-59.10%
Dividend RateNone
Analyst Target Price$22.00 (3 analysts)

Financial History

Annual Revenue & Earnings History

YearRevenueNet IncomeGross ProfitEBITDA
2020 $225M -$25.1M $57.2M $68.1M
2021 $291M -$4.6M $101M $102M
2022 $502M $73.9M $247M $224M
2023 $564M $174M $313M $333M
2024 $386M $71.3M $178M $125M
2025 $321M -$37.1M $13.0M $54.9M

Recent Quarterly Revenue & Net Income

QuarterRevenueNet Income
Jun 2025 $61.6M -$14.9M
Sep 2025 $99.4M -$795,000
Dec 2025 $89.8M -$14.9M
Mar 2026 $72.8M -$12.9M

Ownership & Float

Insider Ownership3.5%
Institutional Ownership78.7%
Short Float6.3%
% of All Funds Holding1.41%
Number of Funds Holding116

Current Moving Averages

Trend Edge tracks near-term, medium-term, cyclical, and secular moving averages across weekly and monthly timeframes to identify trend structure at every horizon.

TimeframeSMAValueTrend Context
Weekly10-Week SMA$18.11Near-term / short-term trend
Weekly40-Week SMA$11.16Medium-term trend
Weekly80-Week SMA$9.49Cyclical trend (business cycle)
Weekly200-Week SMA$10.96Secular trend (multi-year)
Monthly10-Month SMA$11.82Near-term monthly trend
Monthly20-Month SMA$9.80Medium-term monthly trend
Monthly40-Month SMA$10.48Secular monthly trend

Volume Shelves — Support & Resistance

Trend Edge identifies volume shelves: price zones where historically elevated trading volume creates structural support or resistance. A volume shelf forms when a disproportionate share of cumulative volume was transacted at a specific price level, making it a high-conviction anchor for future price reactions.

Price LevelTypeVolume RatioAge
$17.30 support 2.02x 0 months ago
$14.60 support 2.38x 1 months ago
$12.80 support 2.74x 2 months ago
$7.80 support 1.33x 3 months ago
$5.70 support 1.25x 15 months ago

Historical Earnings Reactions (33 events)

TimeframeAvg ReturnMedianWin RateBestWorst
Gap -0.11% -0.20% 36.36% 4.30% -6.73%
1 Day 0.16% 0.30% 51.52% 19.19% -16.86%
1 Week 2.21% 0.00% 48.48% 59.66% -35.90%
2 Weeks 3.98% 2.33% 51.52% 84.23% -65.38%
1 Month 2.87% -1.20% 43.75% 66.10% -68.80%

Next earnings: August 6, 2026 (26 days away)

Seasonality & Day-of-Week Patterns

Monthly Seasonality

MonthAvg ReturnWin RateSamples
Jan0.2%50.0%8
Feb-7.1%25.0%8
Mar14.3%62.5%8
Apr9.4%88.9%9
May10.6%77.8%9
Jun-7.5%11.1%9
Jul15.6%50.0%8
Aug3.6%75.0%8
Sep-5.2%25.0%8
Oct-8.3%25.0%8
Nov8.6%62.5%8
Dec2.0%62.5%8

Day-of-Week Tendencies

DayAvg ReturnWin RateSamples
Monday 0.23% 47.3% 393
Tuesday -0.10% 41.3% 431
Wednesday 0.42% 45.2% 427
Thursday -0.17% 37.9% 420
Friday 0.34% 47.4% 418

Top Institutional Holders

Institutional holder breakdown coming soon.

Total institutional ownership: 78.7%

Insider Transactions — Smart Summary

Total insider ownership: 3.5%

12-Month Insider Activity Summary

Total Filings8
Net Value-$834,667.28
Net Shares Change167,944
% of Float0.3%
C-Suite Filings6
Clusters Detected0

Key Insiders

NameTitleNet ValueFilingsActivity
Robertson Stephen +$2.0M 2 2 buy
Schrenk Troy C. SEVP, Operations & CCO -$423,371.52 1 N/A
Lewis Heidi Diane EVP, General Counsel & Sec -$411,295.76 5 N/A

Significant Filings

DateInsiderTitleNet ValuePrice After
2025-12-04 Robertson Stephen +$992,500 Transaction at $7.94, now +132.2%
2025-11-19 Robertson Stephen +$993,250 Transaction at $6.85, now +169.2%
2025-09-22 Schrenk Troy C. SEVP, Operations & CCO -$423,371.52 Transaction at $8.58, now +114.9%
2026-01-22 Lewis Heidi Diane EVP, General Counsel & Sec -$66,060 Transaction at $7.34, now +151.2%
2025-12-17 Lewis Heidi Diane EVP, General Counsel & Sec -$114,376 Transaction at $8.50, now +116.9%
2025-11-19 Lewis Heidi Diane EVP, General Counsel & Sec -$60,300 Transaction at $6.70, now +175.2%

View full insider transaction history on Trend Edge →

AI Consult Analysis

Trend Edge's AI Consult feature delivers a comprehensive, multi-layer trade plan for Target Hospitality Corp (TH) powered by Claude Opus — Anthropic's most capable AI model. The analysis covers five layers: technical analysis (near-term, medium-term, cyclical, and secular trend, momentum, volume shelf support and resistance, breakout and breakdown signals), qualitative analysis (business model, competitive moat, sector dynamics), insider sentiment (buy and sell signals from executive and director transactions), share stats analysis (institutional accumulation, fund positioning, short float squeeze potential), and fundamental analysis (valuation, revenue growth, profit margin, earnings quality).

AI Consult synthesizes all five layers into a single bullish or bearish thesis with explicit entry, exit, stop loss, and take profit levels — giving you a complete, AI-powered trade plan with defined risk/reward. Whether you are building a long position, initiating a short, or looking for a reversal setup, AI Consult identifies the highest-probability signal from the current trend.

Get the full AI Consult analysis for TH on Trend Edge →