GPN — Global Payments Inc

Stock analysis, trade plans, and proprietary indicators by Trend Edge.

Trend Edge Setup Score

Trend Edge rates GPN Bearish with a Setup Score of 48, net conviction 24, actionability 97. How the Setup Score works →

Total Setup Score48
Directional BiasBearish
Net Conviction24
Actionability97 (in range)

Key signals behind this score

About Global Payments Inc

Global Payments Inc. provides payment technology and software solutions for card, check, and digital-based payments in the Americas, Europe, and the Asia-Pacific. It offers authorization, settlement and funding, customer support, chargeback resolution, reconciliation and dispute management, terminal rental, sales and deployment, payment security, and consolidated billing and reporting services. Read full Trend Edge analysis →

Trend Edge Proprietary Indicators

Key Metrics

Current Price$92.96
Market Cap$24.42B
Float219.6M
Shares Outstanding264.6M
P/E (Forward)6.74
P/E (TTM)43.53
Price/Sales (TTM)2.39
vs. Analyst Target+9.4% to analyst PT
Profit Margin-9.15%
Operating Margin (TTM)16.11%
Revenue (TTM)$10.21B
Earnings Growth (YoY)-95.20%
Dividend Rate1.0%
Analyst Target Price$101.71 (33 analysts)

Financial History

Annual Revenue & Earnings History

YearRevenueNet IncomeGross ProfitEBITDA
2020 $7.42B $585M $3.77B $2.69B
2021 $8.52B $965M $4.75B $3.23B
2022 $8.98B $111M $5.20B $2.43B
2023 $9.65B $986M $5.93B $3.74B
2024 $10.11B $1.57B $6.35B $4.52B
2025 $7.71B $1.40B $5.59B $3.45B

Recent Quarterly Revenue & Net Income

QuarterRevenueNet Income
Sep 2025 $2.01B $635M
Dec 2025 $1.90B $218M
Mar 2026 $2.97B -$1.80B
Jun 2026 $3.32B -$8.7M

Ownership & Float

Insider Ownership0.9%
Institutional Ownership112.9%
Short Float8.0%
% of All Funds Holding8.94%
Number of Funds Holding786

Current Moving Averages

Trend Edge tracks near-term, medium-term, cyclical, and secular moving averages across weekly and monthly timeframes to identify trend structure at every horizon.

TimeframeSMAValueTrend Context
Weekly10-Week SMA$83.29Near-term / short-term trend
Weekly40-Week SMA$75.37Medium-term trend
Weekly80-Week SMA$79.56Cyclical trend (business cycle)
Weekly200-Week SMA$98.71Secular trend (multi-year)
Monthly10-Month SMA$76.57Near-term monthly trend
Monthly20-Month SMA$82.17Medium-term monthly trend
Monthly40-Month SMA$97.73Secular monthly trend

Volume Shelves — Support & Resistance

Trend Edge identifies volume shelves: price zones where historically elevated trading volume creates structural support or resistance. A volume shelf forms when a disproportionate share of cumulative volume was transacted at a specific price level, making it a high-conviction anchor for future price reactions.

Price LevelTypeVolume RatioAge
$74.00 support 1.05x 0 months ago
$97.00 resistance 2.06x 15 months ago
$105.00 resistance 1.22x 16 months ago

Historical Earnings Reactions (94 events)

TimeframeAvg ReturnMedianWin RateBestWorst
Gap 0.33% 0.12% 53.19% 15.44% -14.47%
1 Day 0.13% -0.02% 47.87% 19.17% -15.57%
1 Week 0.50% 0.35% 53.19% 25.59% -15.26%
2 Weeks 0.98% 0.85% 57.45% 28.49% -18.38%
1 Month 2.14% 2.33% 56.99% 27.94% -17.38%

Next earnings: October 24, 2026 (58 days away)

Seasonality & Day-of-Week Patterns

Monthly Seasonality

MonthAvg ReturnWin RateSamples
Jan0.4%64.0%25
Feb-0.0%53.8%26
Mar1.0%65.4%26
Apr2.1%69.2%26
May1.7%53.8%26
Jun-1.6%38.5%26
Jul1.8%57.7%26
Aug2.4%60.0%25
Sep0.3%48.0%25
Oct2.9%64.0%25
Nov2.1%64.0%25
Dec2.5%72.0%25

Day-of-Week Tendencies

DayAvg ReturnWin RateSamples
Monday -0.06% 50.6% 1210
Tuesday 0.14% 52.6% 1321
Wednesday 0.12% 51.8% 1321
Thursday 0.08% 53.2% 1296
Friday 0.07% 52.9% 1290

Top Institutional Holders

Institutional holder breakdown coming soon.

Total institutional ownership: 112.9%

Insider Transactions — Smart Summary

Total insider ownership: 0.9%

12-Month Insider Activity Summary

Total Filings6
Net Value-$1.1M
Net Shares Change-10,255
% of Float-0.0%
C-Suite Filings2
Clusters Detected1

Key Insiders

NameTitleNet ValueFilingsActivity
BALDWIN ROBERT H B JR +$1.1M 1 1 buy
Green David Lawrence Chief Administrative Officer -$927,884 1 1 sell
SHEFFIELD DAVID M EVP, Chief Accounting Officer -$164,122.56 1 1 sell
Watson Patricia A +$99,904.86 1 1 buy
JOHNSON JOIA M +$99,344.7 1 1 buy
MCDANIEL CONNIE D -$118.09 1 1 sell

Transaction Clusters

PeriodFilingsInsidersNet ValueSeniority
2025-12-05 – 2025-12-12 3 3 -$5,139.963 2 C-suite

Significant Filings

DateInsiderTitleNet ValuePrice After
2026-02-23 JOHNSON JOIA M +$99,344.7 Transaction at $81.90, now +13.5%
2025-11-10 Watson Patricia A +$99,904.86 Transaction at $75.06, now +23.8%
2025-12-12 BALDWIN ROBERT H B JR +$1.1M Transaction at $81.16, now +14.5%
2025-12-12 SHEFFIELD DAVID M EVP, Chief Accounting Officer -$164,122.56 Transaction at $81.41, now +14.2%
2025-12-05 Green David Lawrence Chief Administrative Officer -$927,884 Transaction at $79.99, now +16.2%
2025-11-14 MCDANIEL CONNIE D -$118.09 Transaction at $71.78, now +29.5%

View full insider transaction history on Trend Edge →

AI Consult Analysis

Trend Edge's AI Consult feature delivers a comprehensive, multi-layer trade plan for Global Payments Inc (GPN) powered by Claude Opus — Anthropic's most capable AI model. The analysis covers five layers: technical analysis (near-term, medium-term, cyclical, and secular trend, momentum, volume shelf support and resistance, breakout and breakdown signals), qualitative analysis (business model, competitive moat, sector dynamics), insider sentiment (buy and sell signals from executive and director transactions), share stats analysis (institutional accumulation, fund positioning, short float squeeze potential), and fundamental analysis (valuation, revenue growth, profit margin, earnings quality).

AI Consult synthesizes all five layers into a single bullish or bearish thesis with explicit entry, exit, stop loss, and take profit levels — giving you a complete, AI-powered trade plan with defined risk/reward. Whether you are building a long position, initiating a short, or looking for a reversal setup, AI Consult identifies the highest-probability signal from the current trend.

Get the full AI Consult analysis for GPN on Trend Edge →