SUPN — Supernus Pharmaceuticals Inc

Founder-Led

Stock analysis, trade plans, and proprietary indicators by Trend Edge.

Trend Edge Setup Score

Trend Edge rates SUPN Bullish with a Setup Score of 0, net conviction 23, actionability 0. How the Setup Score works →

Total Setup Score0
Directional BiasBullish
Net Conviction23
Actionability0 (in range)

Key signals behind this score

About Supernus Pharmaceuticals Inc

Supernus Pharmaceuticals, Inc., a biopharmaceutical company, engages in the development and commercialization of products for the treatment of central nervous system (CNS) diseases in the United States. It offers Qelbree, a non-stimulant indicated for the treatment of attention-deficit hyperactivity disorder (ADHD); GOCOVRI for the treatment of dyskinesia and levodopa/carbidopa in patients with Parkinson's Disease (PD); Oxtellar XR, an extended-r… Read full Trend Edge analysis →

Trend Edge Proprietary Indicators

Key Metrics

Current Price$48.46
Market Cap$2.83B
Float52.1M
Shares Outstanding58.0M
P/E (Forward)20.16
Price/Sales (TTM)3.64
vs. Analyst Target+31.0% to analyst PT
Profit Margin-3.74%
Operating Margin (TTM)-3.58%
Revenue (TTM)$777M
Earnings Growth (YoY)11.10%
Dividend RateNone
Analyst Target Price$63.50 (5 analysts)

Financial History

Annual Revenue & Earnings History

YearRevenueNet IncomeGross ProfitEBITDA
2020 $520M $127M $468M $211M
2021 $580M $53.4M $505M $129M
2022 $667M $60.7M $580M $153M
2023 $608M $1.3M $524M $90.0M
2024 $662M $73.9M $584M $178M
2025 $719M -$38.5M $644M $42.5M

Recent Quarterly Revenue & Net Income

QuarterRevenueNet Income
Jun 2025 $165M $22.5M
Sep 2025 $192M -$45.1M
Dec 2025 $212M -$4.1M
Mar 2026 $208M -$2.3M

Ownership & Float

Insider Ownership4.5%
Institutional Ownership102.8%
Short Float11.7%
% of All Funds Holding3.65%
Number of Funds Holding300

Current Moving Averages

Trend Edge tracks near-term, medium-term, cyclical, and secular moving averages across weekly and monthly timeframes to identify trend structure at every horizon.

TimeframeSMAValueTrend Context
Weekly10-Week SMA$47.22Near-term / short-term trend
Weekly40-Week SMA$49.09Medium-term trend
Weekly80-Week SMA$42.68Cyclical trend (business cycle)
Weekly200-Week SMA$36.47Secular trend (multi-year)
Monthly10-Month SMA$49.41Near-term monthly trend
Monthly20-Month SMA$42.86Medium-term monthly trend
Monthly40-Month SMA$36.74Secular monthly trend

Volume Shelves — Support & Resistance

Trend Edge identifies volume shelves: price zones where historically elevated trading volume creates structural support or resistance. A volume shelf forms when a disproportionate share of cumulative volume was transacted at a specific price level, making it a high-conviction anchor for future price reactions.

Price LevelTypeVolume RatioAge
$55.00 resistance 1.38x 7 months ago
$34.70 support 1.71x 10 months ago
$31.50 support 1.56x 11 months ago
$29.80 support 1.11x 22 months ago
$26.90 support 1.02x 23 months ago

Historical Earnings Reactions (57 events)

TimeframeAvg ReturnMedianWin RateBestWorst
Gap 0.37% 0.10% 54.39% 8.40% -1.84%
1 Day 0.61% 0.81% 63.16% 7.42% -4.82%
1 Week 0.16% 0.39% 54.39% 30.11% -34.86%
2 Weeks 0.93% 0.45% 50.88% 29.91% -27.42%
1 Month 3.26% 0.98% 53.57% 125.00% -35.86%

Next earnings: August 4, 2026 (24 days away)

Seasonality & Day-of-Week Patterns

Monthly Seasonality

MonthAvg ReturnWin RateSamples
Jan5.4%64.3%14
Feb-0.7%50.0%14
Mar3.6%50.0%14
Apr2.0%57.1%14
May4.3%50.0%14
Jun9.1%66.7%15
Jul3.4%64.3%14
Aug1.6%57.1%14
Sep-2.3%35.7%14
Oct-0.2%50.0%14
Nov-0.6%57.1%14
Dec-0.6%50.0%14

Day-of-Week Tendencies

DayAvg ReturnWin RateSamples
Monday -0.07% 48.6% 669
Tuesday 0.24% 51.4% 732
Wednesday 0.28% 54.9% 730
Thursday -0.12% 47.7% 717
Friday 0.25% 52.3% 715

Top Institutional Holders

Institutional holder breakdown coming soon.

Total institutional ownership: 102.8%

Insider Transactions — Smart Summary

Total insider ownership: 4.5%

Founder-led management: Jack A. Khattar (President and Chief Executive Officer, Director)

12-Month Insider Activity Summary

Total Filings31
Net Value-$13.3M
Net Shares Change87,330
% of Float0.2%
C-Suite Filings22
Clusters Detected3

Key Insiders

NameTitleNet ValueFilingsActivity
NEWHALL CHARLES W III -$1.3M 1 N/A
GEMAYEL GEORGES -$802,814.107 1 1 sell
Horich William Todd SVP, Commercial Operations -$672,889.538 1 1 sell
Mottola Frank SVP, Chief Tech. Ops. Officer -$658,974.84 3 3 sell
Hudson Frederick M. -$586,857.91 2 2 sell
DEC TIMOTHY C Senior Vice-President & CFO -$524,092.2 1 1 sell
Bhatt Padmanabh P. Sr. VP of IP, CSO -$31,552.4 1 1 sell

Transaction Clusters

PeriodFilingsInsidersNet ValueSeniority
2025-08-08 – 2025-08-18 3 3 -$2.8M 1 C-suite
2025-08-26 – 2025-09-09 10 4 -$2.9M 7 C-suite
2026-03-10 – 2026-03-18 5 5 -$4.4M 4 C-suite

Significant Filings

DateInsiderTitleNet ValuePrice After
2026-03-09 GEMAYEL GEORGES -$802,814.107 Transaction at $39.34, now +23.2%
2026-03-10 Mottola Frank SVP, Chief Tech. Ops. Officer -$185,204.84 Transaction at $54.19, now -10.6%
2026-03-10 Horich William Todd SVP, Commercial Operations -$672,889.538 Transaction at $54.62, now -11.3%
2025-08-26 DEC TIMOTHY C Senior Vice-President & CFO -$524,092.2 Transaction at $44.49, now +8.9%
2026-03-16 Hudson Frederick M. -$271,725.09 Transaction at $50.61, now -4.2%
2025-08-18 Hudson Frederick M. -$315,132.82 Transaction at $42.26, now +14.7%

View full insider transaction history on Trend Edge →

AI Consult Analysis

Trend Edge's AI Consult feature delivers a comprehensive, multi-layer trade plan for Supernus Pharmaceuticals Inc (SUPN) powered by Claude Opus — Anthropic's most capable AI model. The analysis covers five layers: technical analysis (near-term, medium-term, cyclical, and secular trend, momentum, volume shelf support and resistance, breakout and breakdown signals), qualitative analysis (business model, competitive moat, sector dynamics), insider sentiment (buy and sell signals from executive and director transactions), share stats analysis (institutional accumulation, fund positioning, short float squeeze potential), and fundamental analysis (valuation, revenue growth, profit margin, earnings quality).

AI Consult synthesizes all five layers into a single bullish or bearish thesis with explicit entry, exit, stop loss, and take profit levels — giving you a complete, AI-powered trade plan with defined risk/reward. Whether you are building a long position, initiating a short, or looking for a reversal setup, AI Consult identifies the highest-probability signal from the current trend.

Get the full AI Consult analysis for SUPN on Trend Edge →