SPG — Simon Property Group Inc

Stock analysis, trade plans, and proprietary indicators by Trend Edge.

Trend Edge Setup Score

Trend Edge rates SPG Bullish with a Setup Score of 0, net conviction 35, actionability 0. How the Setup Score works →

Total Setup Score0
Directional BiasBullish
Net Conviction35
Actionability0 (no mans land)

Key signals behind this score

About Simon Property Group Inc

Simon Property Group, Inc. is a self-administered and self-managed real estate investment trust (REIT). Simon Property Group, L.P., or the Operating Partnership, is our majority-owned partnership subsidiary that owns all of our real estate properties and other assets. In this package, the terms Simon, we, our, or the Company refer to Simon Property Group, Inc., the Operating Partnership, and its subsidiaries. Read full Trend Edge analysis →

Trend Edge Proprietary Indicators

Key Metrics

Current Price$218.99
Market Cap$83.48B
Float319.9M
Shares Outstanding323.6M
P/E (Forward)33.67
P/E (TTM)15.75
Price/Sales (TTM)12.03
vs. Analyst Target+7.7% to analyst PT
Profit Margin66.57%
Operating Margin (TTM)46.02%
Revenue (TTM)$6.94B
Earnings Growth (YoY)-12.50%
Dividend Rate8.9%
Analyst Target Price$235.95 (19 analysts)

Financial History

Annual Revenue & Earnings History

YearRevenueNet IncomeGross ProfitEBITDA
2020 $4.61B $1.11B $3.72B $3.41B
2021 $5.12B $2.25B $4.15B $4.46B
2022 $5.29B $2.14B $4.29B $4.46B
2023 $5.66B $2.62B $4.73B $4.07B
2024 $5.96B $2.37B $4.92B $5.02B
2025 $6.36B $4.61B $5.46B $7.86B

Recent Quarterly Revenue & Net Income

QuarterRevenueNet Income
Sep 2025 $1.60B $594M
Dec 2025 $1.79B $3.05B
Mar 2026 $1.76B $480M
Jun 2026 $1.79B $624M

Ownership & Float

Insider Ownership1.8%
Institutional Ownership96.2%
Short Float3.1%
% of All Funds Holding15.33%
Number of Funds Holding1,348

Current Moving Averages

Trend Edge tracks near-term, medium-term, cyclical, and secular moving averages across weekly and monthly timeframes to identify trend structure at every horizon.

TimeframeSMAValueTrend Context
Weekly10-Week SMA$223.93Near-term / short-term trend
Weekly40-Week SMA$202.30Medium-term trend
Weekly80-Week SMA$185.70Cyclical trend (business cycle)
Weekly200-Week SMA$157.05Secular trend (multi-year)
Monthly10-Month SMA$203.38Near-term monthly trend
Monthly20-Month SMA$187.44Medium-term monthly trend
Monthly40-Month SMA$164.87Secular monthly trend

Volume Shelves — Support & Resistance

Trend Edge identifies volume shelves: price zones where historically elevated trading volume creates structural support or resistance. A volume shelf forms when a disproportionate share of cumulative volume was transacted at a specific price level, making it a high-conviction anchor for future price reactions.

Price LevelTypeVolume RatioAge
$204.00 support 1.61x 1 months ago
$163.00 support 1.01x 11 months ago

Historical Earnings Reactions (114 events)

TimeframeAvg ReturnMedianWin RateBestWorst
Gap 0.36% 0.16% 63.16% 9.55% -6.12%
1 Day 0.55% 0.22% 56.14% 10.70% -6.16%
1 Week 0.88% 0.59% 52.63% 12.14% -12.46%
2 Weeks 0.80% 1.15% 59.29% 20.27% -28.73%
1 Month 0.56% 0.17% 50.44% 37.94% -35.41%

Next earnings: October 29, 2026 (63 days away)

Seasonality & Day-of-Week Patterns

Monthly Seasonality

MonthAvg ReturnWin RateSamples
Jan0.7%60.6%33
Feb0.6%54.5%33
Mar-0.4%54.5%33
Apr3.0%60.6%33
May-0.0%57.6%33
Jun0.4%51.5%33
Jul2.5%66.7%33
Aug0.3%46.9%32
Sep-0.5%56.3%32
Oct0.7%59.4%32
Nov2.4%65.6%32
Dec1.8%59.4%32

Day-of-Week Tendencies

DayAvg ReturnWin RateSamples
Monday 0.02% 49.8% 1547
Tuesday 0.17% 51.9% 1689
Wednesday -0.05% 48.1% 1688
Thursday 0.03% 50.8% 1656
Friday 0.08% 51.1% 1647

Top Institutional Holders

Institutional holder breakdown coming soon.

Total institutional ownership: 96.2%

Insider Transactions — Smart Summary

Total insider ownership: 1.8%

12-Month Insider Activity Summary

Total Filings44
Net Value-$2.0M
Net Shares Change80
% of Float0.0%
C-Suite Filings1
Clusters Detected4

Key Insiders

NameTitleNet ValueFilingsActivity
LEIBOWITZ REUBEN S +$113,475.313 1 1 buy
GLASSCOCK LARRY C +$88,682.178 1 1 buy
Smith Daniel C. +$83,069.758 1 1 buy
RODKIN GARY M +$57,174.579 1 1 buy
SELIG STEFAN M +$49,119.51 1 1 buy
STEWART MARTA R +$40,614.301 1 1 buy
Roe Peggy +$19,860.751 1 1 buy
LEWIS RANDALL J +$13,836.162 1 1 buy

Transaction Clusters

PeriodFilingsInsidersNet ValueSeniority
2025-10-01 – 2025-10-01 10 10 +$394,399.95
2026-01-05 – 2026-01-05 10 10 +$407,712
2026-04-01 – 2026-04-01 10 10 +$412,998.6
2026-07-01 – 2026-07-01 11 11 +$533,051.218

Significant Filings

DateInsiderTitleNet ValuePrice After
2026-07-01 Smith Daniel C. +$83,069.758 Transaction at $223.31, now -1.9%
2026-07-01 STEWART MARTA R +$40,614.301 Transaction at $223.16, now -1.9%
2026-07-01 SELIG STEFAN M +$49,119.51 Transaction at $223.27, now -1.9%
2026-07-01 Roe Peggy +$19,860.751 Transaction at $223.15, now -1.9%
2026-07-01 RODKIN GARY M +$57,174.579 Transaction at $223.34, now -1.9%
2026-07-01 LEWIS RANDALL J +$13,836.162 Transaction at $223.16, now -1.9%

View full insider transaction history on Trend Edge →

AI Consult Analysis

Trend Edge's AI Consult feature delivers a comprehensive, multi-layer trade plan for Simon Property Group Inc (SPG) powered by Claude Opus — Anthropic's most capable AI model. The analysis covers five layers: technical analysis (near-term, medium-term, cyclical, and secular trend, momentum, volume shelf support and resistance, breakout and breakdown signals), qualitative analysis (business model, competitive moat, sector dynamics), insider sentiment (buy and sell signals from executive and director transactions), share stats analysis (institutional accumulation, fund positioning, short float squeeze potential), and fundamental analysis (valuation, revenue growth, profit margin, earnings quality).

AI Consult synthesizes all five layers into a single bullish or bearish thesis with explicit entry, exit, stop loss, and take profit levels — giving you a complete, AI-powered trade plan with defined risk/reward. Whether you are building a long position, initiating a short, or looking for a reversal setup, AI Consult identifies the highest-probability signal from the current trend.

Get the full AI Consult analysis for SPG on Trend Edge →