SMFG — Sumitomo Mitsui Financial Group Inc

✨ Hidden Gem

Stock analysis, trade plans, and proprietary indicators by Trend Edge.

Trend Edge Setup Score

Trend Edge rates SMFG Bullish with a Setup Score of 34, net conviction 50, actionability 23. How the Setup Score works →

Total Setup Score34
Directional BiasBullish
Net Conviction50
Actionability23 (in range)

Key signals behind this score

About Sumitomo Mitsui Financial Group Inc

Sumitomo Mitsui Financial Group, Inc., together with its subsidiaries, provides banking, leasing, securities, consumer finance, and other services in Japan, the Americas, Europe, the Middle East, Asia, and Oceania. It operates through Wholesale Business Unit, Retail Business Unit, Global Business Unit, and Global Markets Business Unit segments. The Wholesale Business Unit segment offers bilateral loans, syndicated loans, commitment lines, structu… Read full Trend Edge analysis →

Trend Edge Proprietary Indicators

Key Metrics

Current Price$25.42
Market Cap$155.91B
Float6.33B
Shares Outstanding6.35B
P/E (Forward)14.16
P/E (TTM)15.83
Price/Sales (TTM)0.03
vs. Analyst Target+13.5% to analyst PT
Profit Margin27.82%
Operating Margin (TTM)40.90%
Revenue (TTM)$4.72T
Earnings Growth (YoY)35.00%
Dividend Rate0.6%
Analyst Target Price$28.86 (1 analysts)

Financial History

Annual Revenue & Earnings History

YearRevenueNet IncomeGross ProfitEBITDA
2021 $3.57T $512.81B $2.69T $899.42B
2022 $3.80T $706.63B $3.15T $1.17T
2023 $5.78T $805.84B $3.51T $1.37T
2024 $8.77T $962.95B $4.16T $1.64T
2025 $9.66T $1.18T $4.72T $1.98T
2026 $10.82T $1.68T $5.87T $2.70T

Recent Quarterly Revenue & Net Income

QuarterRevenueNet Income
Sep 2025 $2.66T $556.61B
Dec 2025 $7.93T $1.39T
Mar 2026 $2.51T $191.66B
Jun 2026 $2.75T $507.97B

Ownership & Float

Insider Ownership0.0%
Institutional Ownership2.1%
Short Float0.1%
% of All Funds Holding5.18%
Number of Funds Holding456

Current Moving Averages

Trend Edge tracks near-term, medium-term, cyclical, and secular moving averages across weekly and monthly timeframes to identify trend structure at every horizon.

TimeframeSMAValueTrend Context
Weekly10-Week SMA$25.36Near-term / short-term trend
Weekly40-Week SMA$22.17Medium-term trend
Weekly80-Week SMA$18.84Cyclical trend (business cycle)
Weekly200-Week SMA$13.93Secular trend (multi-year)
Monthly10-Month SMA$21.88Near-term monthly trend
Monthly20-Month SMA$18.69Medium-term monthly trend
Monthly40-Month SMA$15.03Secular monthly trend

Volume Shelves — Support & Resistance

Trend Edge identifies volume shelves: price zones where historically elevated trading volume creates structural support or resistance. A volume shelf forms when a disproportionate share of cumulative volume was transacted at a specific price level, making it a high-conviction anchor for future price reactions.

Price LevelTypeVolume RatioAge
$16.40 support 1.04x 8 months ago
$15.40 support 1.21x 11 months ago
$14.00 support 1.38x 14 months ago

Historical Earnings Reactions (76 events)

TimeframeAvg ReturnMedianWin RateBestWorst
Gap -0.66% -0.59% 31.58% 3.55% -13.01%
1 Day -0.44% -0.37% 36.84% 5.50% -5.60%
1 Week -0.57% -0.76% 40.79% 18.53% -14.74%
2 Weeks 0.02% -0.78% 46.05% 19.11% -19.34%
1 Month -0.75% -1.15% 36.00% 18.91% -26.14%

Next earnings: October 19, 2026 (53 days away)

Seasonality & Day-of-Week Patterns

Monthly Seasonality

MonthAvg ReturnWin RateSamples
Jan2.8%65.0%20
Feb-0.4%38.1%21
Mar-3.7%38.1%21
Apr2.1%42.9%21
May1.2%57.1%21
Jun0.7%52.4%21
Jul2.6%66.7%21
Aug-2.7%25.0%20
Sep-1.6%45.0%20
Oct-1.0%60.0%20
Nov2.5%60.0%20
Dec2.1%55.0%20

Day-of-Week Tendencies

DayAvg ReturnWin RateSamples
Monday 0.03% 48.9% 972
Tuesday -0.02% 46.6% 1062
Wednesday 0.05% 48.3% 1062
Thursday 0.03% 48.2% 1042
Friday 0.03% 50.4% 1036

Top Institutional Holders

Institutional holder breakdown coming soon.

Total institutional ownership: 2.1%

Insider Transactions — Smart Summary

Total insider ownership: 0.0%

12-Month Insider Activity Summary

Total Filings19
Net Value-$2.2M
Net Shares Change6,736,832
% of Float0.1%
C-Suite Filings15
Clusters Detected1

Key Insiders

NameTitleNet ValueFilingsActivity
Nakashima Toru President and Group CEO -$391,511 1 1 sell
Kudo Teiko Deputy President and Corp. EO -$167,162 1 1 sell
Nakamura Keiichiro Senior Managing Corporate EO -$145,167 1 1 sell
Kobayashi Takashi Senior Managing Corporate EO -$145,167 1 1 sell
Samejima Natsuhiro Senior Managing Corporate EO -$123,172 1 1 sell
Mabuchi Yukihiro Senior Managing Corporate EO -$123,172 1 1 sell
Uemura Akio Senior Managing Corporate EO -$114,374 1 1 sell
Nagata Arihiro Senior Managing Corporate EO -$114,374 1 1 sell

Transaction Clusters

PeriodFilingsInsidersNet ValueSeniority
2026-07-28 – 2026-07-28 17 17 -$2.7M 14 C-suite

Significant Filings

DateInsiderTitleNet ValuePrice After
2026-07-28 Yoshikawa Haruyuki Senior Managing Corporate EO -$101,177 Transaction at $43.99, now -42.2%
2026-07-28 Uemura Akio Senior Managing Corporate EO -$114,374 Transaction at $43.99, now -42.2%
2026-07-28 Takamatsu Hideki Senior Managing Corporate EO -$92,379 Transaction at $43.99, now -42.2%
2026-07-28 Samejima Natsuhiro Senior Managing Corporate EO -$123,172 Transaction at $43.99, now -42.2%
2026-07-28 Nakashima Toru President and Group CEO -$391,511 Transaction at $43.99, now -42.2%
2026-07-28 Nakamura Keiichiro Senior Managing Corporate EO -$145,167 Transaction at $43.99, now -42.2%

View full insider transaction history on Trend Edge →

AI Consult Analysis

Trend Edge's AI Consult feature delivers a comprehensive, multi-layer trade plan for Sumitomo Mitsui Financial Group Inc (SMFG) powered by Claude Opus — Anthropic's most capable AI model. The analysis covers five layers: technical analysis (near-term, medium-term, cyclical, and secular trend, momentum, volume shelf support and resistance, breakout and breakdown signals), qualitative analysis (business model, competitive moat, sector dynamics), insider sentiment (buy and sell signals from executive and director transactions), share stats analysis (institutional accumulation, fund positioning, short float squeeze potential), and fundamental analysis (valuation, revenue growth, profit margin, earnings quality).

AI Consult synthesizes all five layers into a single bullish or bearish thesis with explicit entry, exit, stop loss, and take profit levels — giving you a complete, AI-powered trade plan with defined risk/reward. Whether you are building a long position, initiating a short, or looking for a reversal setup, AI Consult identifies the highest-probability signal from the current trend.

Get the full AI Consult analysis for SMFG on Trend Edge →