SMC — Summit Midstream Corporation

✨ Hidden Gem

Stock analysis, trade plans, and proprietary indicators by Trend Edge.

Trend Edge Setup Score

Trend Edge rates SMC Bullish with a Setup Score of 29, net conviction 37, actionability 22. How the Setup Score works →

Total Setup Score29
Directional BiasBullish
Net Conviction37
Actionability22 (in range)

Key signals behind this score

About Summit Midstream Corporation

Summit Midstream Corporation owns, develops, and operates midstream energy infrastructure assets primarily shale formations in the continental United States. It operates through Rockies, Permian, Piceance, Mid-Con, and Northeast segments. The company owns, develops, and operates natural gas, crude oil, produced water gathering systems, and transmission pipelines. Read full Trend Edge analysis →

Trend Edge Proprietary Indicators

Key Metrics

Current Price$34.13
Market Cap$478M
Float2.2M
Shares Outstanding13.8M
P/E (Forward)86.21
Price/Sales (TTM)0.82
vs. Analyst Target+37.7% to analyst PT
Profit Margin-3.55%
Operating Margin (TTM)16.49%
Revenue (TTM)$584M
Dividend RateNone
Analyst Target Price$47.00

Financial History

Annual Revenue & Earnings History

YearRevenueNet IncomeGross ProfitEBITDA
2020 $383M $192M $143M $376M
2021 $402M -$19.9M $245M $187M
2022 $370M -$123M $89.6M $81.2M
2023 $459M -$38.9M $123M $226M
2024 $430M -$113M $113M $251M
2025 $562M -$1.9M $150M $207M

Recent Quarterly Revenue & Net Income

QuarterRevenueNet Income
Sep 2025 $147M $5.6M
Dec 2025 $142M -$11.8M
Mar 2026 $139M -$252,000
Jun 2026 $155M $3.5M

Ownership & Float

Insider Ownership29.9%
Institutional Ownership42.2%
Short Float12.1%
% of All Funds Holding0.83%
Number of Funds Holding73

Current Moving Averages

Trend Edge tracks near-term, medium-term, cyclical, and secular moving averages across weekly and monthly timeframes to identify trend structure at every horizon.

TimeframeSMAValueTrend Context
Weekly10-Week SMA$31.41Near-term / short-term trend
Weekly40-Week SMA$29.50Medium-term trend
Weekly80-Week SMA$28.16Cyclical trend (business cycle)
Weekly200-Week SMA$25.85Secular trend (multi-year)
Monthly10-Month SMA$29.19Near-term monthly trend
Monthly20-Month SMA$29.04Medium-term monthly trend
Monthly40-Month SMA$27.35Secular monthly trend

Volume Shelves — Support & Resistance

Trend Edge identifies volume shelves: price zones where historically elevated trading volume creates structural support or resistance. A volume shelf forms when a disproportionate share of cumulative volume was transacted at a specific price level, making it a high-conviction anchor for future price reactions.

Price LevelTypeVolume RatioAge
$44.00 resistance 1.64x 16 months ago

Historical Earnings Reactions (56 events)

TimeframeAvg ReturnMedianWin RateBestWorst
Gap 0.44% 0.00% 48.21% 29.49% -16.60%
1 Day 0.50% 0.52% 60.71% 17.25% -30.63%
1 Week 0.78% 1.24% 55.36% 49.59% -39.47%
2 Weeks -0.59% -0.26% 47.27% 54.31% -41.23%
1 Month -1.10% -1.19% 49.09% 62.35% -73.25%

Next earnings: October 29, 2026 (64 days away)

Seasonality & Day-of-Week Patterns

Monthly Seasonality

MonthAvg ReturnWin RateSamples
Jan6.7%71.4%14
Feb-6.3%42.9%14
Mar-1.3%50.0%14
Apr10.5%64.3%14
May0.1%42.9%14
Jun0.8%57.1%14
Jul3.2%64.3%14
Aug-6.5%30.8%13
Sep-6.8%30.8%13
Oct4.9%50.0%14
Nov0.5%50.0%14
Dec-4.6%50.0%14

Day-of-Week Tendencies

DayAvg ReturnWin RateSamples
Monday -0.27% 46.0% 656
Tuesday 0.30% 46.7% 718
Wednesday -0.11% 46.2% 716
Thursday -0.09% 49.4% 702
Friday 0.22% 47.3% 700

Top Institutional Holders

Institutional holder breakdown coming soon.

Total institutional ownership: 42.2%

Insider Transactions — Smart Summary

Total insider ownership: 29.9%

12-Month Insider Activity Summary

Total Filings5
Net Value-$77,272
Net Shares Change1,354,797
% of Float61.5%
C-Suite Filings1
Clusters Detected0

Key Insiders

NameTitleNet ValueFilingsActivity
Connect Midstream, LLC +$41.0M 3 3 buy
PETERS JERRY L -$320,000 1 1 sell
Johnston James David Executive VP, GC, CCO and Secy -$77,272 1 N/A

Significant Filings

DateInsiderTitleNet ValuePrice After
2026-04-13 Connect Midstream, LLC +$37.9M Transaction at $31.08, now +9.8%
2025-08-28 Connect Midstream, LLC +$2.5M Transaction at $20.48, now +66.7%
2025-09-02 Connect Midstream, LLC +$549,803.91 Transaction at $20.89, now +63.4%
2026-05-21 PETERS JERRY L -$320,000 Transaction at $32.00, now +6.7%
2026-07-06 Johnston James David Executive VP, GC, CCO and Secy -$77,272 Transaction at $29.72, now +14.8%

View full insider transaction history on Trend Edge →

AI Consult Analysis

Trend Edge's AI Consult feature delivers a comprehensive, multi-layer trade plan for Summit Midstream Corporation (SMC) powered by Claude Opus — Anthropic's most capable AI model. The analysis covers five layers: technical analysis (near-term, medium-term, cyclical, and secular trend, momentum, volume shelf support and resistance, breakout and breakdown signals), qualitative analysis (business model, competitive moat, sector dynamics), insider sentiment (buy and sell signals from executive and director transactions), share stats analysis (institutional accumulation, fund positioning, short float squeeze potential), and fundamental analysis (valuation, revenue growth, profit margin, earnings quality).

AI Consult synthesizes all five layers into a single bullish or bearish thesis with explicit entry, exit, stop loss, and take profit levels — giving you a complete, AI-powered trade plan with defined risk/reward. Whether you are building a long position, initiating a short, or looking for a reversal setup, AI Consult identifies the highest-probability signal from the current trend.

Get the full AI Consult analysis for SMC on Trend Edge →