SIGA — SIGA Technologies Inc

Stock analysis, trade plans, and proprietary indicators by Trend Edge.

About SIGA Technologies Inc

SIGA Technologies, Inc., a commercial-stage pharmaceutical company, focuses on the health security market in the United States. The company's lead product is TPOXX, an antiviral drug for the treatment of human smallpox disease caused by variola virus. SIGA Technologies, Inc. was incorporated in 1995 and is headquartered in New York, New York. Read full Trend Edge analysis →

Trend Edge Proprietary Indicators

Key Metrics

Current Price$4.73
Market Cap$337M
Float41.1M
Shares Outstanding71.7M
P/E (Forward)33.67
P/E (TTM)16.80
Price/Sales (TTM)3.60
vs. Analyst Target+270.6% to analyst PT
Profit Margin21.58%
Operating Margin (TTM)-85.24%
Revenue (TTM)$93.8M
Earnings Growth (YoY)1802.50%
Dividend RateNone
Analyst Target Price$17.53

Financial History

Annual Revenue & Earnings History

YearRevenueNet IncomeGross ProfitEBITDA
2020 $125M $56.3M $99.2M $77.1M
2021 $134M $69.5M $117M $89.6M
2022 $111M $33.9M $100M $43.2M
2023 $140M $68.1M $122M $84.2M
2024 $139M $59.2M $107M $70.5M
2025 $94.6M $23.3M $64.9M $24.3M

Recent Quarterly Revenue & Net Income

QuarterRevenueNet Income
Jun 2025 $81.1M $35.5M
Sep 2025 $2.6M -$6.4M
Dec 2025 $3.8M -$5.4M
Mar 2026 $6.2M -$3.5M

Ownership & Float

Insider Ownership42.7%
Institutional Ownership49.6%
Short Float8.1%
% of All Funds Holding2.04%
Number of Funds Holding168

Current Moving Averages

Trend Edge tracks near-term, medium-term, cyclical, and secular moving averages across weekly and monthly timeframes to identify trend structure at every horizon.

TimeframeSMAValueTrend Context
Weekly10-Week SMA$4.72Near-term / short-term trend
Weekly40-Week SMA$6.46Medium-term trend
Weekly80-Week SMA$6.40Cyclical trend (business cycle)
Weekly200-Week SMA$7.05Secular trend (multi-year)
Monthly10-Month SMA$6.58Near-term monthly trend
Monthly20-Month SMA$6.40Medium-term monthly trend
Monthly40-Month SMA$6.42Secular monthly trend

Volume Shelves — Support & Resistance

Trend Edge identifies volume shelves: price zones where historically elevated trading volume creates structural support or resistance. A volume shelf forms when a disproportionate share of cumulative volume was transacted at a specific price level, making it a high-conviction anchor for future price reactions.

Price LevelTypeVolume RatioAge
$5.40 resistance 1.31x 0 months ago
$6.40 resistance 1.82x 1 months ago

Historical Earnings Reactions (110 events)

TimeframeAvg ReturnMedianWin RateBestWorst
Gap -0.43% 0.00% 37.27% 30.53% -20.83%
1 Day -0.10% 0.00% 46.36% 50.00% -28.30%
1 Week 0.12% -1.19% 45.45% 69.00% -43.94%
2 Weeks 1.29% -1.27% 47.27% 107.55% -43.94%
1 Month 0.22% -4.10% 37.61% 122.00% -47.73%

Next earnings: July 26, 2026 (59 days away)

Seasonality & Day-of-Week Patterns

Monthly Seasonality

MonthAvg ReturnWin RateSamples
Jan3.6%44.8%29
Feb9.0%51.7%29
Mar-0.1%27.6%29
Apr4.4%44.8%29
May3.8%57.1%28
Jun-4.3%46.4%28
Jul4.9%50.0%28
Aug-4.6%39.3%28
Sep2.5%67.9%28
Oct5.5%37.9%29
Nov3.0%48.3%29
Dec-0.6%48.3%29

Day-of-Week Tendencies

DayAvg ReturnWin RateSamples
Monday -0.00% 41.1% 1356
Tuesday -0.15% 41.3% 1483
Wednesday 0.30% 43.9% 1482
Thursday 0.34% 44.6% 1452
Friday 0.34% 45.4% 1447

Top Institutional Holders

Institutional holder breakdown coming soon.

Total institutional ownership: 49.6%

Insider Transactions — Smart Summary

Total insider ownership: 42.7%

12-Month Insider Activity Summary

Total Filings6
Net Value+N/A
Net Shares Change80,154
% of Float0.2%
C-Suite Filings0
Clusters Detected1

Key Insiders

NameTitleNet ValueFilingsActivity
Phillips Holly L. -$35,609.5 1 1 sell
Nemirovsky Julian -$35,609.5 1 1 sell
Nabel Gary J. -$35,609.5 1 1 sell
Ford Harold Eugene Jr. -$35,609.5 1 1 sell
DURNAN JAYMIE A -$35,609.5 1 1 sell
Marshall Joseph W III -$35,609.5 1 1 sell

Transaction Clusters

PeriodFilingsInsidersNet ValueSeniority
2025-06-11 – 2025-06-11 6 6 -$213,657

Significant Filings

DateInsiderTitleNet ValuePrice After
2025-06-11 Phillips Holly L. -$35,609.5 Transaction at $6.22, now -24.0%
2025-06-11 Nemirovsky Julian -$35,609.5 Transaction at $6.22, now -24.0%
2025-06-11 Nabel Gary J. -$35,609.5 Transaction at $6.22, now -24.0%
2025-06-11 Ford Harold Eugene Jr. -$35,609.5 Transaction at $6.22, now -24.0%
2025-06-11 DURNAN JAYMIE A -$35,609.5 Transaction at $6.22, now -24.0%
2025-06-11 Marshall Joseph W III -$35,609.5 Transaction at $6.22, now -24.0%

View full insider transaction history on Trend Edge →

AI Consult Analysis

Trend Edge's AI Consult feature delivers a comprehensive, multi-layer trade plan for SIGA Technologies Inc (SIGA) powered by Claude Opus — Anthropic's most capable AI model. The analysis covers five layers: technical analysis (near-term, medium-term, cyclical, and secular trend, momentum, volume shelf support and resistance, breakout and breakdown signals), qualitative analysis (business model, competitive moat, sector dynamics), insider sentiment (buy and sell signals from executive and director transactions), share stats analysis (institutional accumulation, fund positioning, short float squeeze potential), and fundamental analysis (valuation, revenue growth, profit margin, earnings quality).

AI Consult synthesizes all five layers into a single bullish or bearish thesis with explicit entry, exit, stop loss, and take profit levels — giving you a complete, AI-powered trade plan with defined risk/reward. Whether you are building a long position, initiating a short, or looking for a reversal setup, AI Consult identifies the highest-probability signal from the current trend.

Get the full AI Consult analysis for SIGA on Trend Edge →