SGI — Somnigroup International Inc.

Stock analysis, trade plans, and proprietary indicators by Trend Edge.

Trend Edge Setup Score

Trend Edge rates SGI Bullish with a Setup Score of 45, net conviction 37, actionability 55. How the Setup Score works →

Total Setup Score45
Directional BiasBullish
Net Conviction37
Actionability55 (in range)

Key signals behind this score

About Somnigroup International Inc.

Somnigroup International Inc., together with its subsidiaries, designs, manufactures, distributes, and retails bedding products in the United States and internationally. It provides mattresses, foundations and adjustable foundations, and adjustable bases, as well as other products comprising pillows and other accessories under the Tempur-Pedic, Sealy, Stearns & Foster, and Sleepy's brands. Read full Trend Edge analysis →

Trend Edge Proprietary Indicators

Key Metrics

Current Price$62.19
Market Cap$14.35B
Float187.5M
Shares Outstanding230.2M
P/E (Forward)25.77
P/E (TTM)24.84
Price/Sales (TTM)1.88
vs. Analyst Target+50.3% to analyst PT
Profit Margin7.00%
Operating Margin (TTM)11.13%
Revenue (TTM)$7.62B
Earnings Growth (YoY)10.60%
Dividend Rate0.7%
Analyst Target Price$93.44 (10 analysts)

Financial History

Annual Revenue & Earnings History

YearRevenueNet IncomeGross ProfitEBITDA
2020 $3.68B $349M $1.64B $627M
2021 $4.93B $625M $2.16B $1.00B
2022 $4.92B $456M $2.05B $807M
2023 $4.93B $368M $2.13B $739M
2024 $4.93B $384M $2.18B $804M
2025 $7.48B $384M $3.32B $1.04B

Recent Quarterly Revenue & Net Income

QuarterRevenueNet Income
Sep 2025 $2.12B $177M
Dec 2025 $1.87B $141M
Mar 2026 $1.80B $104M
Jun 2026 $1.82B $111M

Ownership & Float

Insider Ownership3.1%
Institutional Ownership98.1%
Short Float8.3%
% of All Funds Holding6.08%
Number of Funds Holding535

Current Moving Averages

Trend Edge tracks near-term, medium-term, cyclical, and secular moving averages across weekly and monthly timeframes to identify trend structure at every horizon.

TimeframeSMAValueTrend Context
Weekly10-Week SMA$64.85Near-term / short-term trend
Weekly40-Week SMA$75.11Medium-term trend
Weekly80-Week SMA$75.95Cyclical trend (business cycle)
Weekly200-Week SMA$58.94Secular trend (multi-year)
Monthly10-Month SMA$73.07Near-term monthly trend
Monthly20-Month SMA$74.28Medium-term monthly trend
Monthly40-Month SMA$62.71Secular monthly trend

Volume Shelves — Support & Resistance

Trend Edge identifies volume shelves: price zones where historically elevated trading volume creates structural support or resistance. A volume shelf forms when a disproportionate share of cumulative volume was transacted at a specific price level, making it a high-conviction anchor for future price reactions.

Price LevelTypeVolume RatioAge
$87.00 resistance 1.37x 6 months ago
$58.00 support 1.01x 20 months ago

Historical Earnings Reactions (91 events)

TimeframeAvg ReturnMedianWin RateBestWorst
Gap 0.80% 0.40% 61.54% 13.29% -18.45%
1 Day 1.13% 1.07% 58.24% 25.65% -24.38%
1 Week 2.00% 1.87% 61.54% 29.48% -28.79%
2 Weeks 2.01% 1.37% 60.44% 38.76% -32.29%
1 Month 1.46% 2.81% 60.00% 28.37% -74.54%

Next earnings: November 5, 2026 (25 days away)

Seasonality & Day-of-Week Patterns

Monthly Seasonality

MonthAvg ReturnWin RateSamples
Jan1.8%56.5%23
Feb1.4%69.6%23
Mar-1.7%52.2%23
Apr5.0%56.5%23
May-1.2%39.1%23
Jun0.0%65.2%23
Jul7.5%73.9%23
Aug1.4%52.2%23
Sep1.7%56.5%23
Oct-0.6%45.5%22
Nov4.9%72.7%22
Dec3.4%68.2%22

Day-of-Week Tendencies

DayAvg ReturnWin RateSamples
Monday -0.03% 51.4% 1074
Tuesday 0.10% 50.3% 1178
Wednesday 0.14% 53.0% 1178
Thursday 0.14% 49.7% 1154
Friday 0.15% 52.0% 1149

Top Institutional Holders

Institutional holder breakdown coming soon.

Total institutional ownership: 98.1%

Insider Transactions — Smart Summary

Total insider ownership: 3.1%

12-Month Insider Activity Summary

Total Filings3
Net Value+$1.6M
Net Shares Change65,791
% of Float0.0%
C-Suite Filings2
Clusters Detected0

Key Insiders

NameTitleNet ValueFilingsActivity
Dyer Simon +$3.0M 1 1 buy
THOMPSON SCOTT L CEO & PRESIDENT +$1.9M 1 1 buy
Rusing Steven H President & CEO Mattress Firm -$282,445.75 1 1 sell

Significant Filings

DateInsiderTitleNet ValuePrice After
2026-08-27 THOMPSON SCOTT L CEO & PRESIDENT +$1.9M Transaction at $62.84, now -1.0%
2025-12-04 Dyer Simon +$3.0M Transaction at $93.40, now -33.4%
2026-05-26 Rusing Steven H President & CEO Mattress Firm -$282,445.75 Transaction at $41.27, now +50.7%

View full insider transaction history on Trend Edge →

AI Consult Analysis

Trend Edge's AI Consult feature delivers a comprehensive, multi-layer trade plan for Somnigroup International Inc. (SGI) powered by Claude Opus — Anthropic's most capable AI model. The analysis covers five layers: technical analysis (near-term, medium-term, cyclical, and secular trend, momentum, volume shelf support and resistance, breakout and breakdown signals), qualitative analysis (business model, competitive moat, sector dynamics), insider sentiment (buy and sell signals from executive and director transactions), share stats analysis (institutional accumulation, fund positioning, short float squeeze potential), and fundamental analysis (valuation, revenue growth, profit margin, earnings quality).

AI Consult synthesizes all five layers into a single bullish or bearish thesis with explicit entry, exit, stop loss, and take profit levels — giving you a complete, AI-powered trade plan with defined risk/reward. Whether you are building a long position, initiating a short, or looking for a reversal setup, AI Consult identifies the highest-probability signal from the current trend.

Get the full AI Consult analysis for SGI on Trend Edge →