Stock analysis, trade plans, and proprietary indicators by Trend Edge.
Trend Edge Setup Score
Trend Edge rates LOVE Bearish with a Setup Score of 51, net conviction 24, actionability 110. How the Setup Score works →
Total Setup Score
51
Directional Bias
Bearish
Net Conviction
24
Actionability
110 (in range)
Key signals behind this score
40wk Downtrend — trend only (sma 14.52 vs px 16.77)
80wk Downtrend — falling+below (sma 17.13 vs px 16.77)
200wk Downtrend — falling+below (sma 21.57 vs px 16.77)
Funds Distributing — momZ +1.31 · 1.40→1.19
RS Breakdown — momZ +0.26 · low 17w×0.93 · vs industry
About The Lovesac Company
The Lovesac Company designs, manufactures, and sells furniture. It offers sactionals, such as seats and sides; sacs, including foam beanbag chairs; and other products comprising drink holders, footsac blankets, decorative pillows, fitted seat tables, and ottomans. The company also provides StealthTech, a home theater system; and PillowSac, an accent chair. Read full Trend Edge analysis →
Sector: Consumer Cyclical
Industry: Furnishings, Fixtures & Appliances
Exchange: NASDAQ
IPO Date: June 26, 2018
Headquarters: 421 Atlantic Street, Stamford, CT, United States, 06901
Founder-Led: Yes — Shawn Nelson (Chief Executive Officer)
Key Metrics
Current Price
$16.77
Market Cap
$250M
Float
10.5M
Shares Outstanding
14.6M
P/E (Forward)
14.45
P/E (TTM)
68.24
Price/Sales (TTM)
0.36
vs. Analyst Target
+44.1% to analyst PT
Profit Margin
0.55%
Operating Margin (TTM)
-12.57%
Revenue (TTM)
$697M
Earnings Growth (YoY)
2.70%
Dividend Rate
None
Analyst Target Price
$24.17 (6 analysts)
Financial History
Annual Revenue & Earnings History
Year
Revenue
Net Income
Gross Profit
EBITDA
2021
$321M
$14.7M
$175M
$21.5M
2022
$498M
$47.5M
$274M
$48.4M
2023
$652M
$26.5M
$346M
$49.9M
2024
$700M
$23.9M
$401M
$44.4M
2025
$681M
$11.6M
$398M
$31.2M
2026
$697M
$4.1M
$378M
$21.9M
Recent Quarterly Revenue & Net Income
Quarter
Revenue
Net Income
Jul 2025
$161M
-$6.7M
Oct 2025
$150M
-$10.6M
Jan 2026
$248M
$32.1M
Apr 2026
$138M
-$11.1M
Ownership & Float
Insider Ownership
5.4%
Institutional Ownership
102.9%
Short Float
30.9%
% of All Funds Holding
1.19%
Number of Funds Holding
98
Current Moving Averages
Trend Edge tracks near-term, medium-term, cyclical, and secular moving averages across weekly and monthly timeframes to identify trend structure at every horizon.
Timeframe
SMA
Value
Trend Context
Weekly
10-Week SMA
$16.05
Near-term / short-term trend
Weekly
40-Week SMA
$14.52
Medium-term trend
Weekly
80-Week SMA
$17.13
Cyclical trend (business cycle)
Weekly
200-Week SMA
$21.57
Secular trend (multi-year)
Monthly
10-Month SMA
$14.85
Near-term monthly trend
Monthly
20-Month SMA
$17.38
Medium-term monthly trend
Monthly
40-Month SMA
$21.12
Secular monthly trend
Volume Shelves — Support & Resistance
Trend Edge identifies volume shelves: price zones where historically elevated trading volume
creates structural support or resistance. A volume shelf forms when a disproportionate share of cumulative
volume was transacted at a specific price level, making it a high-conviction anchor for future price reactions.
Price Level
Type
Volume Ratio
Age
$16.80
resistance
1.45x
8 months ago
$20.90
resistance
1.49x
15 months ago
$38.50
resistance
1.55x
18 months ago
Historical Earnings Reactions (33 events)
Timeframe
Avg Return
Median
Win Rate
Best
Worst
Gap
1.09%
0.79%
57.58%
17.58%
-5.72%
1 Day
0.85%
-0.06%
48.48%
35.15%
-10.98%
1 Week
2.03%
1.87%
63.64%
49.80%
-16.79%
2 Weeks
6.29%
6.19%
57.58%
60.19%
-21.39%
1 Month
9.07%
8.51%
62.50%
81.89%
-27.25%
Next earnings: August 30, 2026 (48 days away)
Seasonality & Day-of-Week Patterns
Monthly Seasonality
Month
Avg Return
Win Rate
Samples
Jan
-0.8%
50.0%
8
Feb
-3.3%
37.5%
8
Mar
-1.9%
37.5%
8
Apr
20.0%
62.5%
8
May
5.0%
37.5%
8
Jun
2.0%
37.5%
8
Jul
0.6%
50.0%
8
Aug
-9.0%
25.0%
8
Sep
2.0%
62.5%
8
Oct
-5.0%
37.5%
8
Nov
7.1%
62.5%
8
Dec
6.1%
75.0%
8
Day-of-Week Tendencies
Day
Avg Return
Win Rate
Samples
Monday
0.02%
49.3%
379
Tuesday
0.38%
54.5%
415
Wednesday
-0.16%
47.7%
411
Thursday
-0.03%
49.1%
405
Friday
0.29%
49.0%
404
Top Institutional Holders
Institutional holder breakdown coming soon.
Total institutional ownership: 102.9%
Insider Transactions — Smart Summary
Total insider ownership: 5.4%
Founder-led management: Shawn Nelson (Chief Executive Officer)
Trend Edge's AI Consult feature delivers a comprehensive, multi-layer trade plan for The Lovesac Company
(LOVE) powered by Claude Opus — Anthropic's most capable AI model.
The analysis covers five layers:
technical analysis (near-term, medium-term, cyclical, and secular trend, momentum,
volume shelf support and resistance, breakout and breakdown signals),
qualitative analysis (business model, competitive moat, sector dynamics),
insider sentiment (buy and sell signals from executive and director transactions),
share stats analysis (institutional accumulation, fund positioning, short float squeeze potential), and
fundamental analysis (valuation, revenue growth, profit margin, earnings quality).
AI Consult synthesizes all five layers into a single bullish or bearish thesis with explicit entry, exit,
stop loss, and take profit levels — giving you a complete, AI-powered trade plan with defined risk/reward.
Whether you are building a long position, initiating a short, or looking for a reversal setup,
AI Consult identifies the highest-probability signal from the current trend.