SEAT — Vivid Seats Inc

Founder-Led

Stock analysis, trade plans, and proprietary indicators by Trend Edge.

About Vivid Seats Inc

Vivid Seats Inc. operates as an online ticket marketplace in the United States, Canada, and Japan. It operates in two segments, Marketplace and Resale. The Marketplace segment acts as an intermediary between event ticket buyers and sellers through its website and mobile applications, including Vivid Seats; Vegas.com, an online ticket marketplace for shows, attractions, tours, flights, and hotels in Las Vegas; Wavedash, an online ticket marketplac… Read full Trend Edge analysis →

Trend Edge Proprietary Indicators

Key Metrics

Current Price$8.26
Market Cap$85.9M
Float3.7M
Shares Outstanding11.0M
P/E (Forward)22.73
Price/Sales (TTM)0.16
vs. Analyst Target+23.3% to analyst PT
Profit Margin-82.25%
Operating Margin (TTM)-6.99%
Revenue (TTM)$533M
Earnings Growth (YoY)-41.90%
Dividend RateNone
Analyst Target Price$10.18 (12 analysts)

Financial History

Annual Revenue & Earnings History

YearRevenueNet IncomeGross ProfitEBITDA
2020 $35.1M -$774M $10.4M -$668M
2021 $443M -$16.1M $352M $41.7M
2022 $600M $28.7M $460M $91.9M
2023 $713M $74.5M $531M $102M
2024 $776M $9.4M $574M $91.8M
2025 $571M -$429M $397M -$577M

Recent Quarterly Revenue & Net Income

QuarterRevenueNet Income
Jun 2025 $144M -$140M
Sep 2025 $136M -$8.5M
Dec 2025 $127M -$275M
Mar 2026 $126M -$14.6M

Ownership & Float

Insider Ownership84.3%
Institutional Ownership87.0%
Short Float30.1%
% of All Funds Holding0.80%
Number of Funds Holding66

Current Moving Averages

Trend Edge tracks near-term, medium-term, cyclical, and secular moving averages across weekly and monthly timeframes to identify trend structure at every horizon.

TimeframeSMAValueTrend Context
Weekly10-Week SMA$7.49Near-term / short-term trend
Weekly40-Week SMA$9.09Medium-term trend
Weekly80-Week SMA$32.57Cyclical trend (business cycle)
Weekly200-Week SMA$92.77Secular trend (multi-year)
Monthly10-Month SMA$9.58Near-term monthly trend
Monthly20-Month SMA$36.08Medium-term monthly trend
Monthly40-Month SMA$81.66Secular monthly trend

Volume Shelves — Support & Resistance

Trend Edge identifies volume shelves: price zones where historically elevated trading volume creates structural support or resistance. A volume shelf forms when a disproportionate share of cumulative volume was transacted at a specific price level, making it a high-conviction anchor for future price reactions.

Price LevelTypeVolume RatioAge
$12.40 resistance 1.19x 5 months ago
$16.30 resistance 1.41x 6 months ago
$30.20 resistance 2.85x 8 months ago
$56.00 resistance 1.61x 11 months ago
$83.00 resistance 1.56x 13 months ago

Historical Earnings Reactions (18 events)

TimeframeAvg ReturnMedianWin RateBestWorst
Gap 0.28% 0.57% 55.56% 6.02% -7.93%
1 Day -0.32% -1.81% 33.33% 25.88% -13.29%
1 Week -0.96% -0.88% 44.44% 28.53% -25.09%
2 Weeks -3.90% -0.20% 50.00% 11.05% -25.00%
1 Month -2.59% -2.44% 38.89% 31.33% -26.80%

Next earnings: July 24, 2026 (57 days away)

Seasonality & Day-of-Week Patterns

Monthly Seasonality

Insufficient historical data for monthly seasonality analysis (requires 7+ years of data).

Day-of-Week Tendencies

DayAvg ReturnWin RateSamples
Monday -0.01% 48.1% 214
Tuesday 0.04% 52.1% 238
Wednesday -0.44% 41.9% 236
Thursday -0.58% 43.0% 230
Friday -0.01% 46.8% 233

Top Institutional Holders

Institutional holder breakdown coming soon.

Total institutional ownership: 87.0%

Insider Transactions — Smart Summary

Total insider ownership: 84.3%

Founder-led management: Eric Vassilatos (Co-Founder)

12-Month Insider Activity Summary

Total Filings10
Net Value-$32,220.469
Net Shares Change6,999
% of Float0.2%
C-Suite Filings10
Clusters Detected0

Key Insiders

NameTitleNet ValueFilingsActivity
Epstein Emily T General Counsel -$16,680.279 2 2 sell
Arnett Austin General Counsel -$10,683.44 4 4 sell
Bakal Riva Chief Supply/Customer Officer -$3,695.79 2 2 sell
Pickus Edward Chief Accounting Officer -$1,160.96 2 2 sell

Significant Filings

DateInsiderTitleNet ValuePrice After
2026-03-13 Arnett Austin General Counsel -$10,349.86 Transaction at $5.59, now +47.8%
2026-05-14 Arnett Austin General Counsel -$85.3 Transaction at $8.53, now -3.2%
2026-02-17 Arnett Austin General Counsel -$81.96 Transaction at $6.83, now +20.9%
2025-12-15 Arnett Austin General Counsel -$166.32 Transaction at $7.56, now +9.3%
2025-11-14 Epstein Emily T General Counsel -$6,091.106 Transaction at $9.00, now -8.2%
2025-10-21 Pickus Edward Chief Accounting Officer -$308.84 Transaction at $11.03, now -25.1%

View full insider transaction history on Trend Edge →

AI Consult Analysis

Trend Edge's AI Consult feature delivers a comprehensive, multi-layer trade plan for Vivid Seats Inc (SEAT) powered by Claude Opus — Anthropic's most capable AI model. The analysis covers five layers: technical analysis (near-term, medium-term, cyclical, and secular trend, momentum, volume shelf support and resistance, breakout and breakdown signals), qualitative analysis (business model, competitive moat, sector dynamics), insider sentiment (buy and sell signals from executive and director transactions), share stats analysis (institutional accumulation, fund positioning, short float squeeze potential), and fundamental analysis (valuation, revenue growth, profit margin, earnings quality).

AI Consult synthesizes all five layers into a single bullish or bearish thesis with explicit entry, exit, stop loss, and take profit levels — giving you a complete, AI-powered trade plan with defined risk/reward. Whether you are building a long position, initiating a short, or looking for a reversal setup, AI Consult identifies the highest-probability signal from the current trend.

Get the full AI Consult analysis for SEAT on Trend Edge →