RMCF — Rocky Mountain Chocolate Factory

Stock analysis, trade plans, and proprietary indicators by Trend Edge.

Trend Edge Setup Score

Trend Edge rates RMCF Bearish with a Setup Score of 35, net conviction 65, actionability 19. How the Setup Score works →

Total Setup Score35
Directional BiasBearish
Net Conviction65
Actionability19 (in range)

Key signals behind this score

About Rocky Mountain Chocolate Factory

Rocky Mountain Chocolate Factory, Inc., together with its subsidiaries, produces and sells chocolate and other confectionery products in the United States. It operates through Rocky Mountain Chocolate Factory, Inc. Franchising; Manufacturing; and Retail Stores segments. The company offers chocolate candies; and other confectionery products, such as clusters, caramels, creams, toffees, mints, truffles, and gourmet caramel apples. Read full Trend Edge analysis →

Trend Edge Proprietary Indicators

Key Metrics

Current Price$1.11
Market Cap$11.3M
Float6.1M
Shares Outstanding9.4M
P/E (Forward)15.90
Price/Sales (TTM)0.42
vs. Analyst Target+1521.6% to analyst PT
Profit Margin-19.84%
Operating Margin (TTM)-16.46%
Revenue (TTM)$27.2M
Earnings Growth (YoY)-86.00%
Dividend RateNone
Analyst Target Price$18.00

Financial History

Annual Revenue & Earnings History

YearRevenueNet IncomeGross ProfitEBITDA
2021 $21.8M -$899,777 $4.5M -$282,873
2022 $29.5M -$341,697 $9.0M $223,646
2023 $30.4M -$5.7M $8.2M -$4.1M
2024 $28.0M -$4.2M $4.7M -$3.9M
2025 $29.6M -$6.1M $3.2M -$4.7M
2026 $27.5M -$4.6M $2.8M -$2.1M

Recent Quarterly Revenue & Net Income

QuarterRevenueNet Income
Aug 2025 $6.8M -$662,000
Nov 2025 $7.5M -$155,000
Feb 2026 $6.8M -$3.4M
May 2026 $6.1M -$1.2M

Ownership & Float

Insider Ownership32.5%
Institutional Ownership35.0%
Short Float1.6%
% of All Funds Holding0.28%
Number of Funds Holding25

Current Moving Averages

Trend Edge tracks near-term, medium-term, cyclical, and secular moving averages across weekly and monthly timeframes to identify trend structure at every horizon.

TimeframeSMAValueTrend Context
Weekly10-Week SMA$1.04Near-term / short-term trend
Weekly40-Week SMA$1.84Medium-term trend
Weekly80-Week SMA$1.66Cyclical trend (business cycle)
Weekly200-Week SMA$3.08Secular trend (multi-year)
Monthly10-Month SMA$1.80Near-term monthly trend
Monthly20-Month SMA$1.64Medium-term monthly trend
Monthly40-Month SMA$2.64Secular monthly trend

Volume Shelves — Support & Resistance

Trend Edge identifies volume shelves: price zones where historically elevated trading volume creates structural support or resistance. A volume shelf forms when a disproportionate share of cumulative volume was transacted at a specific price level, making it a high-conviction anchor for future price reactions.

Price LevelTypeVolume RatioAge
$0.90 support 9.51x 0 months ago
$1.80 resistance 1.11x 1 months ago
$2.80 resistance 1.64x 25 months ago

Historical Earnings Reactions (119 events)

TimeframeAvg ReturnMedianWin RateBestWorst
Gap 0.19% 0.00% 47.90% 8.99% -12.72%
1 Day -0.28% 0.00% 45.38% 21.31% -15.42%
1 Week 0.88% 0.00% 49.58% 32.63% -26.09%
2 Weeks -0.28% 0.00% 47.06% 37.93% -26.37%
1 Month 0.67% 0.00% 48.31% 36.39% -40.64%

Next earnings: October 12, 2026 (47 days away)

Seasonality & Day-of-Week Patterns

Monthly Seasonality

MonthAvg ReturnWin RateSamples
Jan0.4%52.5%40
Feb0.3%40.0%40
Mar1.7%39.0%41
Apr-0.4%51.2%41
May1.5%39.0%41
Jun5.5%56.1%41
Jul-0.4%48.8%41
Aug-3.1%32.5%40
Sep3.5%47.5%40
Oct-1.9%37.5%40
Nov0.8%45.0%40
Dec2.3%50.0%40

Day-of-Week Tendencies

DayAvg ReturnWin RateSamples
Monday 0.03% 36.3% 1926
Tuesday 0.09% 36.7% 2095
Wednesday 0.13% 35.8% 2094
Thursday 0.08% 36.5% 2054
Friday -0.04% 34.1% 2041

Top Institutional Holders

Institutional holder breakdown coming soon.

Total institutional ownership: 35.0%

Insider Transactions — Smart Summary

Total insider ownership: 32.5%

12-Month Insider Activity Summary

Total Filings14
Net Value+$417,751.483
Net Shares Change-47,010
% of Float-0.8%
C-Suite Filings10
Clusters Detected0

Key Insiders

NameTitleNet ValueFilingsActivity
GLOBAL VALUE INVESTMENT CORP. Interim CEO +$208,875.742 5 5 buy
GEYGAN JEFFREY RICHART Interim CEO +$208,875.742 5 5 buy

Significant Filings

DateInsiderTitleNet ValuePrice After
2025-10-21 GLOBAL VALUE INVESTMENT CORP. Interim CEO +$119,967.824 Transaction at $1.59, now -30.2%
2025-10-21 GEYGAN JEFFREY RICHART Interim CEO +$119,967.824 Transaction at $1.59, now -30.2%
2026-01-22 GLOBAL VALUE INVESTMENT CORP. Interim CEO +$22,352.53 Transaction at $1.98, now -43.9%
2026-01-22 GEYGAN JEFFREY RICHART Interim CEO +$22,352.53 Transaction at $1.98, now -43.9%
2025-11-06 GLOBAL VALUE INVESTMENT CORP. Interim CEO +$14,643.572 Transaction at $1.64, now -32.3%
2025-11-06 GEYGAN JEFFREY RICHART Interim CEO +$14,643.572 Transaction at $1.64, now -32.3%

View full insider transaction history on Trend Edge →

AI Consult Analysis

Trend Edge's AI Consult feature delivers a comprehensive, multi-layer trade plan for Rocky Mountain Chocolate Factory (RMCF) powered by Claude Opus — Anthropic's most capable AI model. The analysis covers five layers: technical analysis (near-term, medium-term, cyclical, and secular trend, momentum, volume shelf support and resistance, breakout and breakdown signals), qualitative analysis (business model, competitive moat, sector dynamics), insider sentiment (buy and sell signals from executive and director transactions), share stats analysis (institutional accumulation, fund positioning, short float squeeze potential), and fundamental analysis (valuation, revenue growth, profit margin, earnings quality).

AI Consult synthesizes all five layers into a single bullish or bearish thesis with explicit entry, exit, stop loss, and take profit levels — giving you a complete, AI-powered trade plan with defined risk/reward. Whether you are building a long position, initiating a short, or looking for a reversal setup, AI Consult identifies the highest-probability signal from the current trend.

Get the full AI Consult analysis for RMCF on Trend Edge →