RKDA — Arcadia Biosciences Inc

Stock analysis, trade plans, and proprietary indicators by Trend Edge.

Trend Edge Setup Score

Trend Edge rates RKDA Bearish with a Setup Score of 94, net conviction 67, actionability 132. How the Setup Score works →

Total Setup Score94
Directional BiasBearish
Net Conviction67
Actionability132 (in range)

Key signals behind this score

About Arcadia Biosciences Inc

Arcadia Biosciences, Inc. produces and markets plant-based food and beverage products in the United States. The company develops crop improvements primarily in wheat to enhance farm economics by improving the performance of crops in the field, as well as their value as food ingredients. Its food, beverage, and body case products include GoodWheat, Zola coconut water, ProVault topical pain relief, and SoulSpring. Read full Trend Edge analysis →

Trend Edge Proprietary Indicators

Key Metrics

Current Price$0.68
Market Cap$1.5M
Float1.8M
Shares Outstanding2.2M
P/E (Forward)36.63
Price/Sales (TTM)0.31
vs. Analyst Target+1664.7% to analyst PT
Profit Margin-195.94%
Operating Margin (TTM)-70.82%
Revenue (TTM)$4.8M
Earnings Growth (YoY)28.50%
Dividend RateNone
Analyst Target Price$12.00 (1 analysts)

Financial History

Annual Revenue & Earnings History

YearRevenueNet IncomeGross ProfitEBITDA
2020 $8.0M -$4.7M $2.8M -$5.4M
2021 $6.8M -$14.7M -$1.9M -$27.7M
2022 $7.4M -$15.4M $1.3M -$14.7M
2023 $4.5M -$14.0M $2.3M -$5.7M
2024 $5.0M -$7.0M $2.1M -$7.5M
2025 $4.9M -$2.3M $1.8M -$2.3M

Recent Quarterly Revenue & Net Income

QuarterRevenueNet Income
Jun 2025 $1.5M -$4.5M
Sep 2025 $1.3M $856,000
Dec 2025 $901,000 -$1.3M
Mar 2026 $1.1M -$4.4M

Ownership & Float

Insider Ownership0.2%
Institutional Ownership17.0%
Short Float15.4%
% of All Funds Holding0.17%
Number of Funds Holding14

Current Moving Averages

Trend Edge tracks near-term, medium-term, cyclical, and secular moving averages across weekly and monthly timeframes to identify trend structure at every horizon.

TimeframeSMAValueTrend Context
Weekly10-Week SMA$0.89Near-term / short-term trend
Weekly40-Week SMA$2.15Medium-term trend
Weekly80-Week SMA$3.13Cyclical trend (business cycle)
Weekly200-Week SMA$4.80Secular trend (multi-year)
Monthly10-Month SMA$1.81Near-term monthly trend
Monthly20-Month SMA$2.99Medium-term monthly trend
Monthly40-Month SMA$3.15Secular monthly trend

Volume Shelves — Support & Resistance

Trend Edge identifies volume shelves: price zones where historically elevated trading volume creates structural support or resistance. A volume shelf forms when a disproportionate share of cumulative volume was transacted at a specific price level, making it a high-conviction anchor for future price reactions.

Price LevelTypeVolume RatioAge
$0.90 resistance 5.61x 0 months ago

Historical Earnings Reactions (45 events)

TimeframeAvg ReturnMedianWin RateBestWorst
Gap -1.22% -2.14% 28.89% 43.78% -22.01%
1 Day -4.35% -4.83% 20.00% 18.82% -27.21%
1 Week -7.47% -7.34% 20.00% 46.92% -41.34%
2 Weeks -6.05% -10.77% 26.67% 58.82% -43.39%
1 Month -7.01% -7.96% 34.09% 46.23% -49.03%

Next earnings: August 13, 2026 (32 days away)

Seasonality & Day-of-Week Patterns

Monthly Seasonality

MonthAvg ReturnWin RateSamples
Jan-3.4%36.4%11
Feb8.6%36.4%11
Mar26.8%18.2%11
Apr-9.3%18.2%11
May3.3%45.5%11
Jun-10.6%33.3%12
Jul-11.1%18.2%11
Aug23.5%54.5%11
Sep-19.9%9.1%11
Oct-4.0%45.5%11
Nov-8.4%27.3%11
Dec-1.7%36.4%11

Day-of-Week Tendencies

DayAvg ReturnWin RateSamples
Monday -0.08% 42.9% 524
Tuesday -0.58% 39.9% 577
Wednesday 0.61% 43.7% 574
Thursday 0.01% 43.1% 564
Friday -0.19% 41.8% 560

Top Institutional Holders

Institutional holder breakdown coming soon.

Total institutional ownership: 17.0%

Insider Transactions — Smart Summary

Total insider ownership: 0.2%

Full insider transaction history and smart buy/sell sentiment summary available on Trend Edge.

AI Consult Analysis

Trend Edge's AI Consult feature delivers a comprehensive, multi-layer trade plan for Arcadia Biosciences Inc (RKDA) powered by Claude Opus — Anthropic's most capable AI model. The analysis covers five layers: technical analysis (near-term, medium-term, cyclical, and secular trend, momentum, volume shelf support and resistance, breakout and breakdown signals), qualitative analysis (business model, competitive moat, sector dynamics), insider sentiment (buy and sell signals from executive and director transactions), share stats analysis (institutional accumulation, fund positioning, short float squeeze potential), and fundamental analysis (valuation, revenue growth, profit margin, earnings quality).

AI Consult synthesizes all five layers into a single bullish or bearish thesis with explicit entry, exit, stop loss, and take profit levels — giving you a complete, AI-powered trade plan with defined risk/reward. Whether you are building a long position, initiating a short, or looking for a reversal setup, AI Consult identifies the highest-probability signal from the current trend.

Get the full AI Consult analysis for RKDA on Trend Edge →