HLF — Herbalife Nutrition Ltd

Stock analysis, trade plans, and proprietary indicators by Trend Edge.

Trend Edge Setup Score

Trend Edge rates HLF Bullish with a Setup Score of 48, net conviction 37, actionability 62. How the Setup Score works →

Total Setup Score48
Directional BiasBullish
Net Conviction37
Actionability62 (in range)

Key signals behind this score

About Herbalife Nutrition Ltd

Herbalife Ltd., together with its subsidiaries, provides health and wellness products in North America, Mexico, South and Central America, Europe, the Middle East, Africa, China, and the Asia Pacific. It offers weight management products, including meal replacement, protein shakes, drink mixes, weight loss supplements, healthy snacks, and metabolism boosting teas; targeted nutrition products comprising functional beverages and dietary and nutriti… Read full Trend Edge analysis →

Trend Edge Proprietary Indicators

Key Metrics

Current Price$13.15
Market Cap$1.34B
Float78.1M
Shares Outstanding103.7M
P/E (Forward)4.69
P/E (TTM)5.51
Price/Sales (TTM)0.26
vs. Analyst Target+39.4% to analyst PT
Profit Margin4.67%
Operating Margin (TTM)10.69%
Revenue (TTM)$5.13B
Earnings Growth (YoY)16.30%
Dividend RateNone
Analyst Target Price$18.33 (5 analysts)

Financial History

Annual Revenue & Earnings History

YearRevenueNet IncomeGross ProfitEBITDA
2020 $5.54B $373M $4.39B $750M
2021 $5.80B $447M $4.56B $822M
2022 $5.20B $321M $4.03B $680M
2023 $5.06B $142M $3.87B $482M
2024 $4.99B $254M $3.89B $509M
2025 $5.04B $228M $3.81B $611M

Recent Quarterly Revenue & Net Income

QuarterRevenueNet Income
Jun 2025 $1.26B $49.3M
Sep 2025 $1.27B $43.2M
Dec 2025 $1.28B $85.4M
Mar 2026 $1.32B $61.9M

Ownership & Float

Insider Ownership5.1%
Institutional Ownership102.8%
Short Float10.2%
% of All Funds Holding2.88%
Number of Funds Holding237

Current Moving Averages

Trend Edge tracks near-term, medium-term, cyclical, and secular moving averages across weekly and monthly timeframes to identify trend structure at every horizon.

TimeframeSMAValueTrend Context
Weekly10-Week SMA$12.57Near-term / short-term trend
Weekly40-Week SMA$13.67Medium-term trend
Weekly80-Week SMA$10.86Cyclical trend (business cycle)
Weekly200-Week SMA$12.11Secular trend (multi-year)
Monthly10-Month SMA$14.00Near-term monthly trend
Monthly20-Month SMA$11.00Medium-term monthly trend
Monthly40-Month SMA$11.27Secular monthly trend

Volume Shelves — Support & Resistance

Trend Edge identifies volume shelves: price zones where historically elevated trading volume creates structural support or resistance. A volume shelf forms when a disproportionate share of cumulative volume was transacted at a specific price level, making it a high-conviction anchor for future price reactions.

Price LevelTypeVolume RatioAge
$8.10 support 1.08x 7 months ago
$5.40 support 1.54x 16 months ago

Historical Earnings Reactions (86 events)

TimeframeAvg ReturnMedianWin RateBestWorst
Gap 1.34% 0.97% 65.12% 28.65% -22.98%
1 Day 1.41% 0.01% 50.00% 42.70% -31.66%
1 Week 0.47% 0.92% 51.16% 46.98% -35.22%
2 Weeks 0.68% -1.20% 47.67% 56.94% -39.65%
1 Month 1.87% 1.60% 53.49% 52.55% -37.19%

Next earnings: August 5, 2026 (23 days away)

Seasonality & Day-of-Week Patterns

Monthly Seasonality

MonthAvg ReturnWin RateSamples
Jan-0.6%45.5%22
Feb2.6%63.6%22
Mar1.8%59.1%22
Apr2.7%59.1%22
May3.8%59.1%22
Jun3.7%77.3%22
Jul6.4%61.9%21
Aug-0.9%52.4%21
Sep-2.7%38.1%21
Oct1.4%57.1%21
Nov-0.3%52.4%21
Dec-0.4%47.6%21

Day-of-Week Tendencies

DayAvg ReturnWin RateSamples
Monday 0.02% 48.6% 1015
Tuesday 0.06% 51.1% 1113
Wednesday 0.07% 50.3% 1113
Thursday 0.14% 50.8% 1092
Friday 0.07% 52.0% 1086

Top Institutional Holders

Institutional holder breakdown coming soon.

Total institutional ownership: 102.8%

Insider Transactions — Smart Summary

Total insider ownership: 5.1%

12-Month Insider Activity Summary

Total Filings5
Net Value-$2.7M
Net Shares Change-161,252
% of Float-0.2%
C-Suite Filings2
Clusters Detected0

Key Insiders

NameTitleNet ValueFilingsActivity
Lamberti Frank Chief Commercial Officer -$1.9M 1 1 sell
Hicks Troy Chief Operating Officer -$758,389.086 1 1 sell
Cloud Lynda +$152,490 1 1 buy
L'Helias Sophie +$29,019.96 2 2 buy

Significant Filings

DateInsiderTitleNet ValuePrice After
2026-06-04 L'Helias Sophie +$13,572 Transaction at $11.31, now +16.3%
2026-05-12 Lamberti Frank Chief Commercial Officer -$1.9M Transaction at $13.52, now -2.7%
2026-05-20 Hicks Troy Chief Operating Officer -$758,389.086 Transaction at $11.57, now +13.7%
2025-11-20 Cloud Lynda +$152,490 Transaction at $8.97, now +46.6%
2025-12-01 L'Helias Sophie +$15,447.96 Transaction at $12.87, now +2.1%

View full insider transaction history on Trend Edge →

AI Consult Analysis

Trend Edge's AI Consult feature delivers a comprehensive, multi-layer trade plan for Herbalife Nutrition Ltd (HLF) powered by Claude Opus — Anthropic's most capable AI model. The analysis covers five layers: technical analysis (near-term, medium-term, cyclical, and secular trend, momentum, volume shelf support and resistance, breakout and breakdown signals), qualitative analysis (business model, competitive moat, sector dynamics), insider sentiment (buy and sell signals from executive and director transactions), share stats analysis (institutional accumulation, fund positioning, short float squeeze potential), and fundamental analysis (valuation, revenue growth, profit margin, earnings quality).

AI Consult synthesizes all five layers into a single bullish or bearish thesis with explicit entry, exit, stop loss, and take profit levels — giving you a complete, AI-powered trade plan with defined risk/reward. Whether you are building a long position, initiating a short, or looking for a reversal setup, AI Consult identifies the highest-probability signal from the current trend.

Get the full AI Consult analysis for HLF on Trend Edge →