RGLD — Royal Gold Inc

Stock analysis, trade plans, and proprietary indicators by Trend Edge.

About Royal Gold Inc

Royal Gold, Inc., together with its subsidiaries, acquires and manages precious metal streams, royalties, and related interests in North America, South and Central America, Europe, the Middle East, Africa, and the Australia Pacific. It operates through Acquisition and Management of Stream Interests and Acquisition and Management of Royalty Interests segments. Read full Trend Edge analysis →

Trend Edge Proprietary Indicators

Key Metrics

Current Price$218.33
Market Cap$18.87B
Float84.6M
Shares Outstanding84.9M
P/E (Forward)17.48
P/E (TTM)26.95
Price/Sales (TTM)14.56
vs. Analyst Target+53.9% to analyst PT
Profit Margin48.91%
Operating Margin (TTM)63.78%
Revenue (TTM)$1.30B
Earnings Growth (YoY)91.90%
Dividend Rate1.9%
Analyst Target Price$336.08 (11 analysts)

Financial History

Annual Revenue & Earnings History

YearRevenueNet IncomeGross ProfitEBITDA
2020 $616M $303M $333M $530M
2021 $645M $274M $547M $517M
2022 $596M $239M $502M $467M
2023 $598M $239M $508M $468M
2024 $713M $332M $615M $574M
2025 $1.03B $466M $714M $774M

Recent Quarterly Revenue & Net Income

QuarterRevenueNet Income
Jun 2025 $210M $132M
Sep 2025 $252M $127M
Dec 2025 $375M $93.6M
Mar 2026 $469M $281M

Ownership & Float

Insider Ownership0.3%
Institutional Ownership85.2%
Short Float2.5%
% of All Funds Holding9.16%
Number of Funds Holding753

Current Moving Averages

Trend Edge tracks near-term, medium-term, cyclical, and secular moving averages across weekly and monthly timeframes to identify trend structure at every horizon.

TimeframeSMAValueTrend Context
Weekly10-Week SMA$242.39Near-term / short-term trend
Weekly40-Week SMA$228.06Medium-term trend
Weekly80-Week SMA$193.76Cyclical trend (business cycle)
Weekly200-Week SMA$149.20Secular trend (multi-year)
Monthly10-Month SMA$225.04Near-term monthly trend
Monthly20-Month SMA$190.75Medium-term monthly trend
Monthly40-Month SMA$156.28Secular monthly trend

Volume Shelves — Support & Resistance

Trend Edge identifies volume shelves: price zones where historically elevated trading volume creates structural support or resistance. A volume shelf forms when a disproportionate share of cumulative volume was transacted at a specific price level, making it a high-conviction anchor for future price reactions.

Price LevelTypeVolume RatioAge
$300.00 resistance 1.42x 1 months ago
$205.00 support 1.15x 4 months ago
$175.00 support 1.06x 5 months ago
$155.00 support 1.39x 8 months ago
$149.00 support 1.38x 13 months ago

Historical Earnings Reactions (97 events)

TimeframeAvg ReturnMedianWin RateBestWorst
Gap 0.35% 0.15% 54.64% 7.28% -3.07%
1 Day 0.69% 0.29% 56.70% 12.28% -11.80%
1 Week 1.26% 0.93% 60.82% 20.02% -22.93%
2 Weeks 1.71% 1.31% 53.61% 24.93% -49.77%
1 Month 2.41% 2.01% 56.25% 37.73% -45.40%

Next earnings: July 25, 2026 (57 days away)

Seasonality & Day-of-Week Patterns

Monthly Seasonality

MonthAvg ReturnWin RateSamples
Jan2.7%51.1%45
Feb2.0%51.1%45
Mar5.0%55.6%45
Apr4.7%53.3%45
May3.9%59.1%44
Jun12.1%43.2%44
Jul0.4%46.7%45
Aug6.1%60.0%45
Sep3.7%55.6%45
Oct-4.7%33.3%45
Nov-1.3%42.2%45
Dec2.4%46.7%45

Day-of-Week Tendencies

DayAvg ReturnWin RateSamples
Monday 0.08% 40.3% 2140
Tuesday 0.04% 42.2% 2325
Wednesday 0.06% 41.6% 2322
Thursday 0.14% 41.0% 2279
Friday 0.50% 44.9% 2265

Top Institutional Holders

Institutional holder breakdown coming soon.

Total institutional ownership: 85.2%

Insider Transactions — Smart Summary

Total insider ownership: 0.3%

12-Month Insider Activity Summary

Total Filings9
Net Value-$2.1M
Net Shares Change-13,412
% of Float-0.0%
C-Suite Filings5
Clusters Detected1

Key Insiders

NameTitleNet ValueFilingsActivity
Libner Paul SVP and CFO -$1.3M 2 N/A
Hayes William M. -$1.2M 1 1 sell
Breeze Daniel SVP Corp Dev of RGLD Gold AG -$617,374.1 2 2 sell
Isto Mark -$549,660 1 1 sell
Shefman Randy SVP and General Counsel -$243,740 1 1 sell
Vance Ronald J -$174,704 2 2 sell

Transaction Clusters

PeriodFilingsInsidersNet ValueSeniority
2026-02-23 – 2026-03-04 3 3 -$2.5M 2 C-suite

Significant Filings

DateInsiderTitleNet ValuePrice After
2026-05-11 Shefman Randy SVP and General Counsel -$243,740 Transaction at $243.74, now -10.4%
2026-03-02 Breeze Daniel SVP Corp Dev of RGLD Gold AG -$421,211 Transaction at $300.87, now -27.4%
2026-03-12 Isto Mark -$549,660 Transaction at $274.83, now -20.6%
2026-02-23 Hayes William M. -$1.2M Transaction at $277.07, now -21.2%
2025-12-04 Breeze Daniel SVP Corp Dev of RGLD Gold AG -$196,163.1 Transaction at $202.23, now +8.0%
2026-03-04 Libner Paul SVP and CFO -$907,119.04 Transaction at $283.47, now -23.0%

View full insider transaction history on Trend Edge →

AI Consult Analysis

Trend Edge's AI Consult feature delivers a comprehensive, multi-layer trade plan for Royal Gold Inc (RGLD) powered by Claude Opus — Anthropic's most capable AI model. The analysis covers five layers: technical analysis (near-term, medium-term, cyclical, and secular trend, momentum, volume shelf support and resistance, breakout and breakdown signals), qualitative analysis (business model, competitive moat, sector dynamics), insider sentiment (buy and sell signals from executive and director transactions), share stats analysis (institutional accumulation, fund positioning, short float squeeze potential), and fundamental analysis (valuation, revenue growth, profit margin, earnings quality).

AI Consult synthesizes all five layers into a single bullish or bearish thesis with explicit entry, exit, stop loss, and take profit levels — giving you a complete, AI-powered trade plan with defined risk/reward. Whether you are building a long position, initiating a short, or looking for a reversal setup, AI Consult identifies the highest-probability signal from the current trend.

Get the full AI Consult analysis for RGLD on Trend Edge →