RDNW — RideNow Group, Inc.

Stock analysis, trade plans, and proprietary indicators by Trend Edge.

Trend Edge Setup Score

Trend Edge rates RDNW Bullish with a Setup Score of 42, net conviction 29, actionability 62. How the Setup Score works →

Total Setup Score42
Directional BiasBullish
Net Conviction29
Actionability62 (in range)

Key signals behind this score

About RideNow Group, Inc.

RideNow Group, Inc. provides powersports dealership and vehicle transportation services in the United States. It operates in two segments: Powersports and Vehicle Transportation Services. The Powersports segment provides new and pre-owned motorcycles, all-terrain vehicles, utility terrain or side-by-side vehicles, personal watercrafts, snowmobiles, and other powersports products. Read full Trend Edge analysis →

Trend Edge Proprietary Indicators

Key Metrics

Current Price$7.81
Market Cap$300M
Float13.6M
Shares Outstanding38.5M
Price/Sales (TTM)0.27
Profit Margin-4.28%
Operating Margin (TTM)2.92%
Revenue (TTM)$1.10B
Dividend RateNone

Financial History

Annual Revenue & Earnings History

YearRevenueNet IncomeGross ProfitEBITDA
2020 $416M -$25.0M $31.6M -$16.2M
2021 $935M -$9.7M $158M -$8.9M
2022 $1.46B -$262M $442M -$230M
2023 $1.37B -$216M $360M -$55.9M
2024 $1.21B -$78.6M $314M $38.9M
2025 $1.08B -$52.4M $289M $41.7M

Recent Quarterly Revenue & Net Income

QuarterRevenueNet Income
Jun 2025 $300M -$32.2M
Sep 2025 $281M -$4.1M
Dec 2025 $257M -$6.4M
Mar 2026 $260M -$4.3M

Ownership & Float

Insider Ownership42.1%
Institutional Ownership43.4%
Short Float5.1%
% of All Funds Holding0.56%
Number of Funds Holding46

Current Moving Averages

Trend Edge tracks near-term, medium-term, cyclical, and secular moving averages across weekly and monthly timeframes to identify trend structure at every horizon.

TimeframeSMAValueTrend Context
Weekly10-Week SMA$7.53Near-term / short-term trend
Weekly40-Week SMA$5.91Medium-term trend
Weekly80-Week SMA$4.60Cyclical trend (business cycle)
Weekly200-Week SMA$6.58Secular trend (multi-year)
Monthly10-Month SMA$6.00Near-term monthly trend
Monthly20-Month SMA$4.80Medium-term monthly trend
Monthly40-Month SMA$5.74Secular monthly trend

Volume Shelves — Support & Resistance

Trend Edge identifies volume shelves: price zones where historically elevated trading volume creates structural support or resistance. A volume shelf forms when a disproportionate share of cumulative volume was transacted at a specific price level, making it a high-conviction anchor for future price reactions.

Price LevelTypeVolume RatioAge
$2.10 support 6.44x 9 months ago
$1.60 support 1.83x 11 months ago

Historical Earnings Reactions (37 events)

TimeframeAvg ReturnMedianWin RateBestWorst
Gap 1.61% 0.54% 54.05% 19.76% -29.72%
1 Day 1.30% -0.16% 43.24% 60.50% -26.28%
1 Week 1.65% -1.39% 37.84% 59.58% -29.38%
2 Weeks 0.77% -2.80% 43.24% 74.00% -33.29%
1 Month 3.33% -2.03% 41.67% 128.95% -50.66%

Next earnings: August 2, 2026 (47 days away)

Seasonality & Day-of-Week Patterns

Monthly Seasonality

MonthAvg ReturnWin RateSamples
Jan-4.7%33.3%9
Feb-3.6%33.3%9
Mar-9.0%30.0%10
Apr2.4%40.0%10
May11.3%60.0%10
Jun8.1%66.7%9
Jul14.0%77.8%9
Aug18.8%66.7%9
Sep0.2%55.6%9
Oct-7.7%44.4%9
Nov-1.4%55.6%9
Dec-5.1%33.3%9

Day-of-Week Tendencies

DayAvg ReturnWin RateSamples
Monday 0.15% 41.8% 440
Tuesday 0.16% 43.2% 484
Wednesday -0.01% 42.4% 481
Thursday -0.03% 46.9% 473
Friday 0.21% 41.8% 474

Top Institutional Holders

Institutional holder breakdown coming soon.

Total institutional ownership: 43.4%

Insider Transactions — Smart Summary

Total insider ownership: 42.1%

12-Month Insider Activity Summary

Total Filings1
Net Value-$127,744.157
Net Shares Change-22,826
% of Float-0.2%
C-Suite Filings1
Clusters Detected0

Key Insiders

NameTitleNet ValueFilingsActivity
Tkach Cameron Executive Vice President, COO -$127,744.157 1 1 sell

Significant Filings

DateInsiderTitleNet ValuePrice After
2026-01-15 Tkach Cameron Executive Vice President, COO -$127,744.157 Transaction at $4.70, now +66.2%

View full insider transaction history on Trend Edge →

AI Consult Analysis

Trend Edge's AI Consult feature delivers a comprehensive, multi-layer trade plan for RideNow Group, Inc. (RDNW) powered by Claude Opus — Anthropic's most capable AI model. The analysis covers five layers: technical analysis (near-term, medium-term, cyclical, and secular trend, momentum, volume shelf support and resistance, breakout and breakdown signals), qualitative analysis (business model, competitive moat, sector dynamics), insider sentiment (buy and sell signals from executive and director transactions), share stats analysis (institutional accumulation, fund positioning, short float squeeze potential), and fundamental analysis (valuation, revenue growth, profit margin, earnings quality).

AI Consult synthesizes all five layers into a single bullish or bearish thesis with explicit entry, exit, stop loss, and take profit levels — giving you a complete, AI-powered trade plan with defined risk/reward. Whether you are building a long position, initiating a short, or looking for a reversal setup, AI Consult identifies the highest-probability signal from the current trend.

Get the full AI Consult analysis for RDNW on Trend Edge →