PRMB — Primo Brands Corporation

Stock analysis, trade plans, and proprietary indicators by Trend Edge.

Trend Edge Setup Score

Trend Edge rates PRMB Bullish with a Setup Score of 38, net conviction 23, actionability 62. How the Setup Score works →

Total Setup Score38
Directional BiasBullish
Net Conviction23
Actionability62 (in range)

Key signals behind this score

About Primo Brands Corporation

Primo Brands Corporation operates as a branded beverage company in North America. It offers bottle water solutions and water filtration services; and premium spring and sparkling water, purified water, self-service refill drinking water, flavored and enhanced beverages, water dispensers, and filtration equipment. The company has a portfolio of packaged branded beverages under the Poland Spring, Pure Life, Saratoga, Mountain Valley, Arrowhead, Dee… Read full Trend Edge analysis →

Trend Edge Proprietary Indicators

Key Metrics

Current Price$20.75
Market Cap$7.44B
Float262.2M
Shares Outstanding361.9M
P/E (Forward)13.99
P/E (TTM)68.53
Price/Sales (TTM)1.10
vs. Analyst Target+46.3% to analyst PT
Profit Margin1.49%
Operating Margin (TTM)11.50%
Revenue (TTM)$6.74B
Earnings Growth (YoY)162.80%
Dividend Rate0.5%
Analyst Target Price$30.36 (9 analysts)

Financial History

Annual Revenue & Earnings History

YearRevenueNet IncomeGross ProfitEBITDA
2020 $1.95B -$185M $1.11B $131M
2021 $2.07B -$3.2M $1.16B $294M
2022 $1.69B $29.6M $1.02B $328M
2023 $4.70B $92.8M $1.35B $712M
2024 $5.15B -$16.4M $1.62B $694M
2025 $6.66B $60.1M $2.14B $1.08B

Recent Quarterly Revenue & Net Income

QuarterRevenueNet Income
Sep 2025 $1.77B $16.8M
Dec 2025 $1.55B -$13.0M
Mar 2026 $1.63B $27.3M
Jun 2026 $1.80B $69.2M

Ownership & Float

Insider Ownership1.3%
Institutional Ownership105.9%
Short Float10.1%
% of All Funds Holding4.29%
Number of Funds Holding377

Current Moving Averages

Trend Edge tracks near-term, medium-term, cyclical, and secular moving averages across weekly and monthly timeframes to identify trend structure at every horizon.

TimeframeSMAValueTrend Context
Weekly10-Week SMA$23.13Near-term / short-term trend
Weekly40-Week SMA$21.16Medium-term trend
Weekly80-Week SMA$23.96Cyclical trend (business cycle)
Weekly200-Week SMA$21.03Secular trend (multi-year)
Monthly10-Month SMA$21.27Near-term monthly trend
Monthly20-Month SMA$24.49Medium-term monthly trend
Monthly40-Month SMA$22.19Secular monthly trend

Volume Shelves — Support & Resistance

Trend Edge identifies volume shelves: price zones where historically elevated trading volume creates structural support or resistance. A volume shelf forms when a disproportionate share of cumulative volume was transacted at a specific price level, making it a high-conviction anchor for future price reactions.

Price LevelTypeVolume RatioAge
$25.10 resistance 1.04x 11 months ago
$27.70 resistance 1.49x 12 months ago
$32.90 resistance 2.40x 14 months ago

Historical Earnings Reactions (98 events)

TimeframeAvg ReturnMedianWin RateBestWorst
Gap 0.36% 0.00% 47.96% 19.01% -5.13%
1 Day 0.21% 0.14% 51.02% 25.22% -18.31%
1 Week 0.38% 0.36% 52.04% 32.26% -18.29%
2 Weeks -0.22% 0.67% 53.06% 41.35% -56.28%
1 Month 0.33% 0.84% 52.58% 79.77% -67.30%

Next earnings: November 5, 2026 (51 days away)

Seasonality & Day-of-Week Patterns

Monthly Seasonality

MonthAvg ReturnWin RateSamples
Jan1.5%47.1%34
Feb0.3%55.9%34
Mar2.8%61.8%34
Apr5.0%55.9%34
May7.8%55.9%34
Jun1.2%50.0%34
Jul1.2%48.6%35
Aug-1.3%42.9%35
Sep-0.3%47.1%34
Oct-1.7%41.2%34
Nov0.9%52.9%34
Dec1.0%50.0%34

Day-of-Week Tendencies

DayAvg ReturnWin RateSamples
Monday -0.01% 46.3% 1621
Tuesday -0.02% 46.5% 1770
Wednesday -0.01% 45.6% 1768
Thursday 0.13% 47.1% 1734
Friday 0.24% 49.3% 1723

Top Institutional Holders

Institutional holder breakdown coming soon.

Total institutional ownership: 105.9%

Insider Transactions — Smart Summary

Total insider ownership: 1.3%

12-Month Insider Activity Summary

Total Filings7
Net Value+$4.2M
Net Shares Change-40,533,211
% of Float-15.5%
C-Suite Filings3
Clusters Detected2

Key Insiders

NameTitleNet ValueFilingsActivity
ORCP III DE TopCo GP, LLC -$497M 1 1 sell
Lee Tony W -$497M 1 1 sell
FOSS ERIC J Exec. Chair and CEO +$4.0M 2 2 buy
STANBROOK STEVEN P +$895,944.942 1 1 buy
Hass David W. Chief Financial Officer +$249,907.916 1 1 buy
Cramer Michael John +$78,651 1 1 buy

Transaction Clusters

PeriodFilingsInsidersNet ValueSeniority
2025-11-12 – 2025-11-14 4 4 +$3.2M 2 C-suite
2026-08-10 – 2026-08-12 3 3 -$993M 1 C-suite

Significant Filings

DateInsiderTitleNet ValuePrice After
2026-08-12 FOSS ERIC J Exec. Chair and CEO +$2.0M Transaction at $23.80, now -12.8%
2026-08-10 ORCP III DE TopCo GP, LLC -$497M Transaction at $24.37, now -14.9%
2026-08-10 Lee Tony W -$497M Transaction at $24.37, now -14.9%
2025-11-13 FOSS ERIC J Exec. Chair and CEO +$2.0M Transaction at $15.55, now +33.4%
2025-11-12 Hass David W. Chief Financial Officer +$249,907.916 Transaction at $15.71, now +32.1%
2025-11-14 STANBROOK STEVEN P +$895,944.942 Transaction at $16.43, now +26.3%

View full insider transaction history on Trend Edge →

AI Consult Analysis

Trend Edge's AI Consult feature delivers a comprehensive, multi-layer trade plan for Primo Brands Corporation (PRMB) powered by Claude Opus — Anthropic's most capable AI model. The analysis covers five layers: technical analysis (near-term, medium-term, cyclical, and secular trend, momentum, volume shelf support and resistance, breakout and breakdown signals), qualitative analysis (business model, competitive moat, sector dynamics), insider sentiment (buy and sell signals from executive and director transactions), share stats analysis (institutional accumulation, fund positioning, short float squeeze potential), and fundamental analysis (valuation, revenue growth, profit margin, earnings quality).

AI Consult synthesizes all five layers into a single bullish or bearish thesis with explicit entry, exit, stop loss, and take profit levels — giving you a complete, AI-powered trade plan with defined risk/reward. Whether you are building a long position, initiating a short, or looking for a reversal setup, AI Consult identifies the highest-probability signal from the current trend.

Get the full AI Consult analysis for PRMB on Trend Edge →