POWL — Powell Industries Inc

Stock analysis, trade plans, and proprietary indicators by Trend Edge.

About Powell Industries Inc

Powell Industries, Inc., together with its subsidiaries, designs, develops, manufactures, sells, and services custom-engineered equipment and systems. The company's products portfolio includes integrated power control room substations, custom-engineered modules, and electrical houses; and traditional and arc-resistant distribution switchgears and control gears, medium-voltage circuit breakers, monitoring and control communications systems, motor … Read full Trend Edge analysis →

Trend Edge Proprietary Indicators

Key Metrics

Current Price$261.58
Market Cap$10.82B
Float29.1M
Shares Outstanding36.4M
P/E (Forward)58.14
P/E (TTM)57.89
Price/Sales (TTM)9.56
vs. Analyst Target+20.9% to analyst PT
Profit Margin16.51%
Operating Margin (TTM)19.41%
Revenue (TTM)$1.13B
Earnings Growth (YoY)-1.60%
Dividend Rate0.4%
Analyst Target Price$316.25 (3 analysts)

Financial History

Annual Revenue & Earnings History

YearRevenueNet IncomeGross ProfitEBITDA
2020 $518M $16.7M $94.4M $31.1M
2021 $471M $631,000 $75.1M $11.4M
2022 $533M $13.7M $85.0M $16.6M
2023 $699M $54.5M $148M $62.5M
2024 $1.01B $150M $273M $186M
2025 $1.10B $181M $324M $241M

Recent Quarterly Revenue & Net Income

QuarterRevenueNet Income
Jun 2025 $286M $48.2M
Sep 2025 $298M $51.4M
Dec 2025 $251M $41.4M
Mar 2026 $297M $45.9M

Ownership & Float

Insider Ownership20.9%
Institutional Ownership98.2%
Short Float11.9%
% of All Funds Holding5.38%
Number of Funds Holding442

Current Moving Averages

Trend Edge tracks near-term, medium-term, cyclical, and secular moving averages across weekly and monthly timeframes to identify trend structure at every horizon.

TimeframeSMAValueTrend Context
Weekly10-Week SMA$239.76Near-term / short-term trend
Weekly40-Week SMA$153.58Medium-term trend
Weekly80-Week SMA$112.57Cyclical trend (business cycle)
Weekly200-Week SMA$64.04Secular trend (multi-year)
Monthly10-Month SMA$157.37Near-term monthly trend
Monthly20-Month SMA$114.09Medium-term monthly trend
Monthly40-Month SMA$75.43Secular monthly trend

Volume Shelves — Support & Resistance

Trend Edge identifies volume shelves: price zones where historically elevated trading volume creates structural support or resistance. A volume shelf forms when a disproportionate share of cumulative volume was transacted at a specific price level, making it a high-conviction anchor for future price reactions.

Price LevelTypeVolume RatioAge
$147.00 support 1.11x 2 months ago
$56.00 support 1.12x 19 months ago
$49.00 support 1.57x 21 months ago

Historical Earnings Reactions (124 events)

TimeframeAvg ReturnMedianWin RateBestWorst
Gap 1.35% 0.25% 50.81% 27.97% -19.12%
1 Day 2.47% 0.37% 53.23% 45.27% -18.00%
1 Week 2.85% 1.47% 61.29% 61.91% -24.26%
2 Weeks 3.05% 1.80% 56.10% 87.39% -31.03%
1 Month 4.18% 2.29% 58.54% 126.53% -34.20%

Next earnings: May 4, 2026

Seasonality & Day-of-Week Patterns

Monthly Seasonality

MonthAvg ReturnWin RateSamples
Jan4.8%52.2%46
Feb3.7%50.0%46
Mar2.4%60.9%46
Apr0.3%40.4%47
May8.4%58.7%46
Jun1.3%54.3%46
Jul0.3%39.1%46
Aug-0.0%37.0%46
Sep-1.0%45.7%46
Oct0.3%45.7%46
Nov0.3%43.5%46
Dec4.7%56.5%46

Day-of-Week Tendencies

DayAvg ReturnWin RateSamples
Monday -0.06% 42.5% 2200
Tuesday 0.13% 41.5% 2387
Wednesday 0.23% 42.6% 2385
Thursday 0.14% 40.6% 2339
Friday 0.14% 40.5% 2325

Top Institutional Holders

Institutional holder breakdown coming soon.

Total institutional ownership: 98.2%

Insider Transactions — Smart Summary

Total insider ownership: 20.9%

12-Month Insider Activity Summary

Total Filings24
Net Value-$18.0M
Net Shares Change-140,129
% of Float-0.5%
C-Suite Filings20
Clusters Detected3

Key Insiders

NameTitleNet ValueFilingsActivity
POWELL THOMAS W -$25.8M 2 2 sell
McKertcher Terry B Vice President, Operations -$2.4M 2 2 sell
Mauney William Marshall Jr Vice President, RandD -$1.8M 2 2 sell
MUDGE FREDERICK N Vice President, Operations -$1.8M 1 1 sell
Birchall John Managing Director -$1.4M 1 1 sell
Eckenrode David L Assistant Secretary/Treasurer -$168,150 1 1 sell
Ni Ping Corp Controller -$41,300 1 1 sell

Transaction Clusters

PeriodFilingsInsidersNet ValueSeniority
2025-06-18 – 2025-06-30 5 3 -$3.6M 5 C-suite
2026-02-09 – 2026-02-13 5 5 -$18.4M 4 C-suite
2026-05-12 – 2026-05-15 3 3 -$3.7M 2 C-suite

Significant Filings

DateInsiderTitleNet ValuePrice After
2026-05-12 Mauney William Marshall Jr Vice President, RandD -$809,217.5 Transaction at $323.69, now -19.2%
2026-03-23 POWELL THOMAS W -$25.0M Transaction at $502.23, now -47.9%
2026-02-26 POWELL THOMAS W -$828,905.841 Transaction at $561.21, now -53.4%
2026-02-10 Birchall John Managing Director -$1.4M Transaction at $582.50, now -55.1%
2026-02-09 McKertcher Terry B Vice President, Operations -$1.7M Transaction at $557.44, now -53.1%
2025-12-22 Mauney William Marshall Jr Vice President, RandD -$995,190 Transaction at $331.73, now -21.1%

View full insider transaction history on Trend Edge →

AI Consult Analysis

Trend Edge's AI Consult feature delivers a comprehensive, multi-layer trade plan for Powell Industries Inc (POWL) powered by Claude Opus — Anthropic's most capable AI model. The analysis covers five layers: technical analysis (near-term, medium-term, cyclical, and secular trend, momentum, volume shelf support and resistance, breakout and breakdown signals), qualitative analysis (business model, competitive moat, sector dynamics), insider sentiment (buy and sell signals from executive and director transactions), share stats analysis (institutional accumulation, fund positioning, short float squeeze potential), and fundamental analysis (valuation, revenue growth, profit margin, earnings quality).

AI Consult synthesizes all five layers into a single bullish or bearish thesis with explicit entry, exit, stop loss, and take profit levels — giving you a complete, AI-powered trade plan with defined risk/reward. Whether you are building a long position, initiating a short, or looking for a reversal setup, AI Consult identifies the highest-probability signal from the current trend.

Get the full AI Consult analysis for POWL on Trend Edge →