POST — Post Holdings Inc

Stock analysis, trade plans, and proprietary indicators by Trend Edge.

Trend Edge Setup Score

Trend Edge rates POST Bearish with a Setup Score of 48, net conviction 52, actionability 44. How the Setup Score works →

Total Setup Score48
Directional BiasBearish
Net Conviction52
Actionability44 (in range)

Key signals behind this score

About Post Holdings Inc

Post Holdings, Inc. operates as a consumer packaged goods holding company in the United States and internationally. It operates through Post Consumer Brands, Weetabix, Foodservice, and Refrigerated Retail segments. The Post Consumer Brands segment manufactures, markets, and sells branded and private label ready-to-eat (RTE) cereals under Honey Bunches of Oats, Pebbles, and Malt-O-Meal brands; hot cereal; peanut butter under the Peter Pan brand; a… Read full Trend Edge analysis →

Trend Edge Proprietary Indicators

Key Metrics

Current Price$81.06
Market Cap$3.57B
Float34.0M
Shares Outstanding45.3M
P/E (Forward)28.25
P/E (TTM)14.52
Price/Sales (TTM)0.42
vs. Analyst Target+29.7% to analyst PT
Profit Margin3.48%
Operating Margin (TTM)10.28%
Revenue (TTM)$8.41B
Earnings Growth (YoY)-27.90%
Dividend RateNone
Analyst Target Price$105.17 (11 analysts)

Financial History

Annual Revenue & Earnings History

YearRevenueNet IncomeGross ProfitEBITDA
2020 $5.70B $800,000 $1.65B $811M
2021 $4.98B $167M $1.23B $913M
2022 $5.85B $757M $1.26B $1.59B
2023 $6.99B $301M $1.76B $1.10B
2024 $7.92B $367M $2.16B $1.27B
2025 $8.16B $336M $2.15B $1.33B

Recent Quarterly Revenue & Net Income

QuarterRevenueNet Income
Sep 2025 $2.25B $51.0M
Dec 2025 $2.17B $96.8M
Mar 2026 $2.04B $81.8M
Jun 2026 $1.95B $63.4M

Ownership & Float

Insider Ownership15.9%
Institutional Ownership105.1%
Short Float20.8%
% of All Funds Holding4.64%
Number of Funds Holding408

Current Moving Averages

Trend Edge tracks near-term, medium-term, cyclical, and secular moving averages across weekly and monthly timeframes to identify trend structure at every horizon.

TimeframeSMAValueTrend Context
Weekly10-Week SMA$85.89Near-term / short-term trend
Weekly40-Week SMA$96.71Medium-term trend
Weekly80-Week SMA$103.28Cyclical trend (business cycle)
Weekly200-Week SMA$100.05Secular trend (multi-year)
Monthly10-Month SMA$96.79Near-term monthly trend
Monthly20-Month SMA$103.35Medium-term monthly trend
Monthly40-Month SMA$101.46Secular monthly trend

Volume Shelves — Support & Resistance

Trend Edge identifies volume shelves: price zones where historically elevated trading volume creates structural support or resistance. A volume shelf forms when a disproportionate share of cumulative volume was transacted at a specific price level, making it a high-conviction anchor for future price reactions.

Price LevelTypeVolume RatioAge
$91.00 resistance 1.09x 0 months ago
$105.00 resistance 1.10x 2 months ago
$105.00 resistance 1.10x 4 months ago
$113.00 resistance 1.16x 10 months ago
$120.00 resistance 1.35x 19 months ago

Historical Earnings Reactions (58 events)

TimeframeAvg ReturnMedianWin RateBestWorst
Gap 0.28% 0.30% 58.62% 8.85% -18.27%
1 Day 0.60% 0.42% 55.17% 11.14% -15.91%
1 Week 1.34% 1.10% 60.34% 15.00% -14.90%
2 Weeks 1.37% 1.17% 53.45% 18.73% -17.95%
1 Month 1.70% 1.56% 59.65% 22.24% -17.39%

Next earnings: October 25, 2026 (59 days away)

Seasonality & Day-of-Week Patterns

Monthly Seasonality

MonthAvg ReturnWin RateSamples
Jan1.5%57.1%14
Feb4.7%73.3%15
Mar0.8%53.3%15
Apr1.7%66.7%15
May-2.5%33.3%15
Jun2.5%60.0%15
Jul0.8%60.0%15
Aug2.2%64.3%14
Sep-3.1%28.6%14
Oct0.0%35.7%14
Nov5.4%85.7%14
Dec0.3%42.9%14

Day-of-Week Tendencies

DayAvg ReturnWin RateSamples
Monday 0.06% 48.8% 689
Tuesday 0.02% 49.0% 753
Wednesday -0.05% 48.4% 750
Thursday 0.01% 49.0% 737
Friday 0.25% 55.9% 734

Top Institutional Holders

Institutional holder breakdown coming soon.

Total institutional ownership: 105.1%

Insider Transactions — Smart Summary

Total insider ownership: 15.9%

12-Month Insider Activity Summary

Total Filings6
Net Value-$1.2M
Net Shares Change-23,027
% of Float-0.1%
C-Suite Filings2
Clusters Detected1

Key Insiders

NameTitleNet ValueFilingsActivity
STIRITZ WILLIAM P -$18.4M 1 1 sell
CURL GREGORY L -$1.4M 2 2 sell
CATOGGIO NICOLAS PRES & CEO, PCB -$1.0M 1 1 sell
KEMPER DAVID W +$176,274 1 1 buy
HARPER BRADLY A SVP, CHIEF ACCTING OFFICER -$160,303.73 1 1 sell

Transaction Clusters

PeriodFilingsInsidersNet ValueSeniority
2025-11-25 – 2025-12-08 3 3 -$986,138.73 2 C-suite

Significant Filings

DateInsiderTitleNet ValuePrice After
2025-11-25 KEMPER DAVID W +$176,274 Transaction at $97.93, now -17.2%
2026-05-14 CURL GREGORY L -$649,839.3 Transaction at $105.05, now -22.8%
2025-11-26 CATOGGIO NICOLAS PRES & CEO, PCB -$1.0M Transaction at $100.21, now -19.1%
2025-12-08 HARPER BRADLY A SVP, CHIEF ACCTING OFFICER -$160,303.73 Transaction at $96.69, now -16.2%
2026-02-10 CURL GREGORY L -$798,221.144 Transaction at $114.31, now -29.1%
2025-12-19 STIRITZ WILLIAM P -$18.4M Transaction at $101.77, now -20.4%

View full insider transaction history on Trend Edge →

AI Consult Analysis

Trend Edge's AI Consult feature delivers a comprehensive, multi-layer trade plan for Post Holdings Inc (POST) powered by Claude Opus — Anthropic's most capable AI model. The analysis covers five layers: technical analysis (near-term, medium-term, cyclical, and secular trend, momentum, volume shelf support and resistance, breakout and breakdown signals), qualitative analysis (business model, competitive moat, sector dynamics), insider sentiment (buy and sell signals from executive and director transactions), share stats analysis (institutional accumulation, fund positioning, short float squeeze potential), and fundamental analysis (valuation, revenue growth, profit margin, earnings quality).

AI Consult synthesizes all five layers into a single bullish or bearish thesis with explicit entry, exit, stop loss, and take profit levels — giving you a complete, AI-powered trade plan with defined risk/reward. Whether you are building a long position, initiating a short, or looking for a reversal setup, AI Consult identifies the highest-probability signal from the current trend.

Get the full AI Consult analysis for POST on Trend Edge →