PII — Polaris Industries Inc

Stock analysis, trade plans, and proprietary indicators by Trend Edge.

About Polaris Industries Inc

Polaris Inc. designs, engineers, manufactures, and markets powersports vehicles in the United States, Canada, and internationally. It operates through three segments: Off Road, On Road, and Marine. The company offers off-road vehicles (ORVs), including all-terrain vehicles and side-by-side vehicles; military and commercial ORVs; snowmobiles; motorcycles; moto-roadsters; quadricycles; and pontoon and deck boats. Read full Trend Edge analysis →

Trend Edge Proprietary Indicators

Key Metrics

Current Price$68.72
Market Cap$3.77B
Float53.5M
Shares Outstanding56.9M
P/E (Forward)46.73
Price/Sales (TTM)0.51
vs. Analyst Target-1.0% to analyst PT
Profit Margin-6.07%
Operating Margin (TTM)-0.45%
Revenue (TTM)$7.35B
Earnings Growth (YoY)-89.60%
Dividend Rate2.7%
Analyst Target Price$68.00 (18 analysts)

Financial History

Annual Revenue & Earnings History

YearRevenueNet IncomeGross ProfitEBITDA
2020 $7.03B $125M $1.63B $463M
2021 $7.44B $494M $1.70B $881M
2022 $8.59B $590M $1.91B $1.07B
2023 $8.93B $503M $1.96B $701M
2024 $7.18B $111M $1.40B $569M
2025 $7.15B -$466M $1.32B -$114M

Recent Quarterly Revenue & Net Income

QuarterRevenueNet Income
Jun 2025 $1.85B -$79.3M
Sep 2025 $1.84B -$15.8M
Dec 2025 $1.92B -$304M
Mar 2026 $1.66B -$47.4M

Ownership & Float

Insider Ownership6.3%
Institutional Ownership98.4%
Short Float11.8%
% of All Funds Holding5.10%
Number of Funds Holding419

Current Moving Averages

Trend Edge tracks near-term, medium-term, cyclical, and secular moving averages across weekly and monthly timeframes to identify trend structure at every horizon.

TimeframeSMAValueTrend Context
Weekly10-Week SMA$61.72Near-term / short-term trend
Weekly40-Week SMA$63.01Medium-term trend
Weekly80-Week SMA$55.25Cyclical trend (business cycle)
Weekly200-Week SMA$81.35Secular trend (multi-year)
Monthly10-Month SMA$62.45Near-term monthly trend
Monthly20-Month SMA$56.07Medium-term monthly trend
Monthly40-Month SMA$76.99Secular monthly trend

Volume Shelves — Support & Resistance

Trend Edge identifies volume shelves: price zones where historically elevated trading volume creates structural support or resistance. A volume shelf forms when a disproportionate share of cumulative volume was transacted at a specific price level, making it a high-conviction anchor for future price reactions.

Price LevelTypeVolume RatioAge
$55.00 support 1.59x 0 months ago
$41.00 support 1.27x 9 months ago
$34.10 support 1.26x 11 months ago
$82.00 resistance 1.09x 18 months ago
$100.00 resistance 1.18x 24 months ago

Historical Earnings Reactions (123 events)

TimeframeAvg ReturnMedianWin RateBestWorst
Gap 0.12% 0.02% 50.41% 13.48% -6.96%
1 Day -0.07% -0.16% 47.15% 16.84% -13.61%
1 Week 0.36% 0.14% 52.85% 17.87% -19.49%
2 Weeks 0.75% 0.35% 51.22% 21.58% -16.00%
1 Month 0.73% 1.24% 55.74% 27.51% -27.88%

Next earnings: July 17, 2026 (50 days away)

Seasonality & Day-of-Week Patterns

Monthly Seasonality

MonthAvg ReturnWin RateSamples
Jan-1.2%46.2%39
Feb0.8%69.2%39
Mar1.7%61.5%39
Apr5.1%61.5%39
May2.3%55.3%38
Jun1.0%55.3%38
Jul3.9%63.2%38
Aug-1.1%42.1%38
Sep-1.4%42.1%38
Oct2.1%64.1%39
Nov3.1%71.8%39
Dec-0.9%41.0%39

Day-of-Week Tendencies

DayAvg ReturnWin RateSamples
Monday 0.01% 49.0% 1836
Tuesday 0.11% 47.9% 1999
Wednesday 0.10% 48.5% 1997
Thursday 0.06% 47.5% 1961
Friday 0.05% 49.3% 1951

Top Institutional Holders

Institutional holder breakdown coming soon.

Total institutional ownership: 98.4%

Insider Transactions — Smart Summary

Total insider ownership: 6.3%

12-Month Insider Activity Summary

Total Filings6
Net Value-$5.6M
Net Shares Change-87,577
% of Float-0.2%
C-Suite Filings6
Clusters Detected1

Key Insiders

NameTitleNet ValueFilingsActivity
Speetzen Michael T CEO -$3.0M 1 1 sell
Mack Robert Paul CFO, EVP - Finance + Corp Dev -$1.1M 1 1 sell
Duke Benjamin D President-Marine -$853,188.384 1 1 sell
Williams James P SVP-CHRO -$659,681.16 3 3 sell

Transaction Clusters

PeriodFilingsInsidersNet ValueSeniority
2026-02-04 – 2026-02-13 5 4 -$5.3M 5 C-suite

Significant Filings

DateInsiderTitleNet ValuePrice After
2026-02-12 Speetzen Michael T CEO -$3.0M Transaction at $67.26, now +2.2%
2026-02-12 Mack Robert Paul CFO, EVP - Finance + Corp Dev -$1.1M Transaction at $66.83, now +2.8%
2026-02-12 Duke Benjamin D President-Marine -$853,188.384 Transaction at $67.26, now +2.2%
2026-02-13 Williams James P SVP-CHRO +N/A N/A
2026-02-04 Williams James P SVP-CHRO -$352,172.31 Transaction at $67.17, now +2.3%
2025-12-08 Williams James P SVP-CHRO -$307,508.85 Transaction at $67.53, now +1.8%

View full insider transaction history on Trend Edge →

AI Consult Analysis

Trend Edge's AI Consult feature delivers a comprehensive, multi-layer trade plan for Polaris Industries Inc (PII) powered by Claude Opus — Anthropic's most capable AI model. The analysis covers five layers: technical analysis (near-term, medium-term, cyclical, and secular trend, momentum, volume shelf support and resistance, breakout and breakdown signals), qualitative analysis (business model, competitive moat, sector dynamics), insider sentiment (buy and sell signals from executive and director transactions), share stats analysis (institutional accumulation, fund positioning, short float squeeze potential), and fundamental analysis (valuation, revenue growth, profit margin, earnings quality).

AI Consult synthesizes all five layers into a single bullish or bearish thesis with explicit entry, exit, stop loss, and take profit levels — giving you a complete, AI-powered trade plan with defined risk/reward. Whether you are building a long position, initiating a short, or looking for a reversal setup, AI Consult identifies the highest-probability signal from the current trend.

Get the full AI Consult analysis for PII on Trend Edge →