PATK — Patrick Industries Inc

Stock analysis, trade plans, and proprietary indicators by Trend Edge.

Trend Edge Setup Score

Trend Edge rates PATK Bearish with a Setup Score of 0, net conviction 35, actionability 0. How the Setup Score works →

Total Setup Score0
Directional BiasBearish
Net Conviction35
Actionability0 (extended)

Key signals behind this score

About Patrick Industries Inc

Patrick Industries, Inc. manufactures and distributes component and materials for recreational vehicle, marine, powersports, manufactured housing, and industrial markets in the United States, Mexico, China, and Canada. The company operates through Manufacturing and Distribution segments. Its Manufacturing segment manufactures and sells laminated for furniture, shelving, wall, countertop, and cabinet products; cabinet doors, fiberglass bath fixtur… Read full Trend Edge analysis →

Trend Edge Proprietary Indicators

Key Metrics

Current Price$63.46
Market Cap$2.09B
Float30.7M
Shares Outstanding32.1M
P/E (Forward)13.33
P/E (TTM)15.49
Price/Sales (TTM)0.53
vs. Analyst Target+66.3% to analyst PT
Profit Margin3.74%
Operating Margin (TTM)7.40%
Revenue (TTM)$3.94B
Earnings Growth (YoY)33.30%
Dividend Rate1.9%
Analyst Target Price$105.55 (11 analysts)

Financial History

Annual Revenue & Earnings History

YearRevenueNet IncomeGross ProfitEBITDA
2020 $2.49B $97.1M $459M $247M
2021 $4.08B $225M $801M $457M
2022 $4.88B $328M $1.06B $627M
2023 $3.47B $143M $782M $260M
2024 $3.72B $138M $836M $425M
2025 $3.95B $135M $913M $422M

Recent Quarterly Revenue & Net Income

QuarterRevenueNet Income
Sep 2025 $976M $35.3M
Dec 2025 $924M $29.1M
Mar 2026 $997M $39.5M
Jun 2026 $1.04B $43.4M

Ownership & Float

Insider Ownership4.1%
Institutional Ownership114.5%
Short Float14.0%
% of All Funds Holding3.76%
Number of Funds Holding331

Current Moving Averages

Trend Edge tracks near-term, medium-term, cyclical, and secular moving averages across weekly and monthly timeframes to identify trend structure at every horizon.

TimeframeSMAValueTrend Context
Weekly10-Week SMA$76.58Near-term / short-term trend
Weekly40-Week SMA$98.20Medium-term trend
Weekly80-Week SMA$98.50Cyclical trend (business cycle)
Weekly200-Week SMA$79.77Secular trend (multi-year)
Monthly10-Month SMA$92.98Near-term monthly trend
Monthly20-Month SMA$95.15Medium-term monthly trend
Monthly40-Month SMA$84.85Secular monthly trend

Volume Shelves — Support & Resistance

Trend Edge identifies volume shelves: price zones where historically elevated trading volume creates structural support or resistance. A volume shelf forms when a disproportionate share of cumulative volume was transacted at a specific price level, making it a high-conviction anchor for future price reactions.

Price LevelTypeVolume RatioAge
$81.00 resistance 1.25x 0 months ago
$110.00 resistance 1.77x 5 months ago
$122.00 resistance 1.11x 6 months ago

Historical Earnings Reactions (127 events)

TimeframeAvg ReturnMedianWin RateBestWorst
Gap -0.11% 0.00% 40.16% 7.70% -10.01%
1 Day -1.15% -0.77% 38.58% 13.64% -28.45%
1 Week 0.53% 0.00% 48.82% 24.32% -12.31%
2 Weeks -0.65% -0.81% 45.67% 29.44% -36.67%
1 Month 0.85% -0.17% 46.46% 82.20% -67.45%

Next earnings: October 29, 2026 (17 days away)

Seasonality & Day-of-Week Patterns

Monthly Seasonality

MonthAvg ReturnWin RateSamples
Jan6.3%58.7%46
Feb3.3%58.7%46
Mar1.0%43.5%46
Apr3.8%44.7%47
May1.8%44.7%47
Jun5.3%46.8%47
Jul1.8%51.1%47
Aug2.4%44.7%47
Sep0.0%53.2%47
Oct-2.5%50.0%46
Nov1.3%56.5%46
Dec2.6%56.5%46

Day-of-Week Tendencies

DayAvg ReturnWin RateSamples
Monday 0.02% 36.7% 2218
Tuesday 0.15% 38.7% 2407
Wednesday -0.00% 38.1% 2405
Thursday 0.15% 38.4% 2359
Friday 0.36% 40.5% 2343

Top Institutional Holders

Institutional holder breakdown coming soon.

Total institutional ownership: 114.5%

Insider Transactions — Smart Summary

Total insider ownership: 4.1%

12-Month Insider Activity Summary

Total Filings17
Net Value-$3.8M
Net Shares Change-9,971
% of Float-0.0%
C-Suite Filings7
Clusters Detected2

Key Insiders

NameTitleNet ValueFilingsActivity
WELCH M SCOTT +$2.0M 5 5 buy
NEMETH ANDY L Chief Executive Officer +$880,000 1 1 buy
Roeder Charles R President - RV +$505,018.475 1 1 buy
Petkovich Jacob R President - Marine +$124,246.85 1 1 buy
Filer Matthew S +$85,500 1 1 buy
Augsburger Blake +$34,076 1 1 buy

Transaction Clusters

PeriodFilingsInsidersNet ValueSeniority
2026-02-09 – 2026-02-18 4 4 -$1.2M 2 C-suite
2026-05-06 – 2026-05-06 5 5 +$2.4M 2 C-suite

Significant Filings

DateInsiderTitleNet ValuePrice After
2026-05-06 Roeder Charles R President - RV +$505,018.475 Transaction at $87.83, now -27.7%
2026-06-24 Petkovich Jacob R President - Marine +$124,246.85 Transaction at $95.57, now -33.6%
2026-05-06 NEMETH ANDY L Chief Executive Officer +$880,000 Transaction at $88.00, now -27.9%
2026-05-06 WELCH M SCOTT +$886,670.295 Transaction at $88.23, now -28.1%
2026-06-11 WELCH M SCOTT +$8,385 Transaction at $83.85, now -24.3%
2026-05-21 WELCH M SCOTT +$8,944 Transaction at $89.44, now -29.0%

View full insider transaction history on Trend Edge →

AI Consult Analysis

Trend Edge's AI Consult feature delivers a comprehensive, multi-layer trade plan for Patrick Industries Inc (PATK) powered by Claude Opus — Anthropic's most capable AI model. The analysis covers five layers: technical analysis (near-term, medium-term, cyclical, and secular trend, momentum, volume shelf support and resistance, breakout and breakdown signals), qualitative analysis (business model, competitive moat, sector dynamics), insider sentiment (buy and sell signals from executive and director transactions), share stats analysis (institutional accumulation, fund positioning, short float squeeze potential), and fundamental analysis (valuation, revenue growth, profit margin, earnings quality).

AI Consult synthesizes all five layers into a single bullish or bearish thesis with explicit entry, exit, stop loss, and take profit levels — giving you a complete, AI-powered trade plan with defined risk/reward. Whether you are building a long position, initiating a short, or looking for a reversal setup, AI Consult identifies the highest-probability signal from the current trend.

Get the full AI Consult analysis for PATK on Trend Edge →