Stock analysis, trade plans, and proprietary indicators by Trend Edge.
About Penske Automotive Group Inc
Penske Automotive Group, Inc., a diversified transportation services company, operates automotive and commercial truck dealerships in the United States, the United Kingdom, Germany, Italy, Japan, Canada, Australia, New Zealand, and internationally. It operates through four segments: Retail Automotive, Retail Commercial Truck, Other, and Non-Automotive Investments. Read full Trend Edge analysis →
Sector: Consumer Cyclical
Industry: Auto & Truck Dealerships
Exchange: NYSE
IPO Date: October 23, 1996
Headquarters: 2555 Telegraph Road, Bloomfield Hills, MI, United States, 48302-0954
Hidden Gem: Yes — undiscovered relative to its market cap tier
Founder-Led: Yes — Roger Penske (Chairman & CEO)
Key Metrics
Current Price
$169.01
Market Cap
$10.63B
Float
17.6M
Shares Outstanding
65.7M
P/E (Forward)
11.90
P/E (TTM)
11.69
Price/Sales (TTM)
0.34
vs. Analyst Target
+9.9% to analyst PT
Profit Margin
2.88%
Operating Margin (TTM)
3.68%
Revenue (TTM)
$31.72B
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-7.80%
Dividend Rate
5.7%
Analyst Target Price
$185.78 (11 analysts)
Financial History
Annual Revenue & Earnings History
Year
Revenue
Net Income
Gross Profit
EBITDA
2020
$20.44B
$544M
$3.18B
$980M
2021
$25.55B
$1.19B
$4.44B
$1.82B
2022
$27.81B
$1.38B
$4.84B
$2.11B
2023
$30.92B
$1.11B
$5.15B
$1.85B
2024
$31.86B
$969M
$5.22B
$1.73B
2025
$31.81B
$935M
$5.22B
$1.70B
Recent Quarterly Revenue & Net Income
Quarter
Revenue
Net Income
Jun 2025
$7.66B
$250M
Sep 2025
$7.70B
$213M
Dec 2025
$8.85B
$228M
Mar 2026
$7.86B
$235M
Ownership & Float
Insider Ownership
21.2%
Institutional Ownership
79.9%
Short Float
14.7%
% of All Funds Holding
4.27%
Number of Funds Holding
351
Current Moving Averages
Trend Edge tracks near-term, medium-term, cyclical, and secular moving averages across weekly and monthly timeframes to identify trend structure at every horizon.
Timeframe
SMA
Value
Trend Context
Weekly
10-Week SMA
$161.52
Near-term / short-term trend
Weekly
40-Week SMA
$164.08
Medium-term trend
Weekly
80-Week SMA
$163.85
Cyclical trend (business cycle)
Weekly
200-Week SMA
$152.67
Secular trend (multi-year)
Monthly
10-Month SMA
$164.28
Near-term monthly trend
Monthly
20-Month SMA
$162.49
Medium-term monthly trend
Monthly
40-Month SMA
$158.73
Secular monthly trend
Volume Shelves — Support & Resistance
Trend Edge identifies volume shelves: price zones where historically elevated trading volume
creates structural support or resistance. A volume shelf forms when a disproportionate share of cumulative
volume was transacted at a specific price level, making it a high-conviction anchor for future price reactions.
Price Level
Type
Volume Ratio
Age
$149.00
support
1.08x
0 months ago
$173.00
resistance
1.26x
6 months ago
$144.00
support
1.59x
12 months ago
Historical Earnings Reactions (118 events)
Timeframe
Avg Return
Median
Win Rate
Best
Worst
Gap
0.17%
0.14%
56.78%
4.23%
-7.40%
1 Day
-0.18%
-0.03%
48.31%
14.44%
-19.19%
1 Week
0.22%
-0.01%
49.15%
28.64%
-19.94%
2 Weeks
0.20%
0.24%
51.69%
22.58%
-27.97%
1 Month
1.20%
0.57%
52.14%
46.40%
-27.71%
Next earnings: July 18, 2026 (50 days away)
Seasonality & Day-of-Week Patterns
Monthly Seasonality
Month
Avg Return
Win Rate
Samples
Jan
0.2%
46.7%
30
Feb
0.9%
46.7%
30
Mar
0.3%
43.3%
30
Apr
10.4%
73.3%
30
May
0.9%
51.7%
29
Jun
1.1%
58.6%
29
Jul
5.2%
55.2%
29
Aug
-0.7%
55.2%
29
Sep
-0.1%
55.2%
29
Oct
-1.5%
44.8%
29
Nov
-1.0%
53.3%
30
Dec
2.5%
56.7%
30
Day-of-Week Tendencies
Day
Avg Return
Win Rate
Samples
Monday
0.11%
51.0%
1399
Tuesday
0.16%
49.8%
1529
Wednesday
0.01%
49.1%
1526
Thursday
0.06%
48.3%
1497
Friday
0.04%
48.2%
1491
Top Institutional Holders
Institutional holder breakdown coming soon.
Total institutional ownership: 79.9%
Insider Transactions — Smart Summary
Total insider ownership: 21.2%
Founder-led management: Roger Penske (Chairman & CEO)
Trend Edge's AI Consult feature delivers a comprehensive, multi-layer trade plan for Penske Automotive Group Inc
(PAG) powered by Claude Opus — Anthropic's most capable AI model.
The analysis covers five layers:
technical analysis (near-term, medium-term, cyclical, and secular trend, momentum,
volume shelf support and resistance, breakout and breakdown signals),
qualitative analysis (business model, competitive moat, sector dynamics),
insider sentiment (buy and sell signals from executive and director transactions),
share stats analysis (institutional accumulation, fund positioning, short float squeeze potential), and
fundamental analysis (valuation, revenue growth, profit margin, earnings quality).
AI Consult synthesizes all five layers into a single bullish or bearish thesis with explicit entry, exit,
stop loss, and take profit levels — giving you a complete, AI-powered trade plan with defined risk/reward.
Whether you are building a long position, initiating a short, or looking for a reversal setup,
AI Consult identifies the highest-probability signal from the current trend.