Short Squeeze Setup — velZ +1.24 · age 16w×1.00 · 14.52%
Founder-Led — founder/CEO led
Hidden Gem — stWatch 657
About Penske Automotive Group Inc
Penske Automotive Group, Inc., a diversified transportation services company, operates automotive and commercial truck dealerships in the United States, the United Kingdom, Germany, Italy, Japan, Canada, Australia, New Zealand, and internationally. It operates through four segments: Retail Automotive, Retail Commercial Truck, Other, and Non-Automotive Investments. Read full Trend Edge analysis →
Sector: Consumer Cyclical
Industry: Auto & Truck Dealerships
Exchange: NYSE
IPO Date: October 23, 1996
Headquarters: 2555 Telegraph Road, Bloomfield Hills, MI, United States, 48302-0954
Hidden Gem: Yes — undiscovered relative to its market cap tier
Founder-Led: Yes — Roger Penske (Chairman & CEO)
Key Metrics
Current Price
$217.24
Market Cap
$14.22B
Float
17.5M
Shares Outstanding
65.7M
P/E (Forward)
16.03
P/E (TTM)
15.73
Price/Sales (TTM)
0.44
vs. Analyst Target
-2.5% to analyst PT
Profit Margin
2.81%
Operating Margin (TTM)
3.97%
Revenue (TTM)
$32.20B
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-1.70%
Dividend Rate
5.8%
Analyst Target Price
$211.88 (11 analysts)
Financial History
Annual Revenue & Earnings History
Year
Revenue
Net Income
Gross Profit
EBITDA
2020
$20.44B
$544M
$3.18B
$980M
2021
$25.55B
$1.19B
$4.44B
$1.82B
2022
$27.81B
$1.38B
$4.84B
$2.11B
2023
$30.92B
$1.11B
$5.15B
$1.85B
2024
$31.86B
$969M
$5.22B
$1.73B
2025
$31.81B
$935M
$5.22B
$1.70B
Recent Quarterly Revenue & Net Income
Quarter
Revenue
Net Income
Sep 2025
$7.70B
$213M
Dec 2025
$8.85B
$228M
Mar 2026
$7.86B
$235M
Jun 2026
$8.51B
$260M
Ownership & Float
Insider Ownership
21.2%
Institutional Ownership
81.0%
Short Float
11.0%
% of All Funds Holding
4.41%
Number of Funds Holding
388
Current Moving Averages
Trend Edge tracks near-term, medium-term, cyclical, and secular moving averages across weekly and monthly timeframes to identify trend structure at every horizon.
Timeframe
SMA
Value
Trend Context
Weekly
10-Week SMA
$206.36
Near-term / short-term trend
Weekly
40-Week SMA
$173.50
Medium-term trend
Weekly
80-Week SMA
$169.98
Cyclical trend (business cycle)
Weekly
200-Week SMA
$158.55
Secular trend (multi-year)
Monthly
10-Month SMA
$173.62
Near-term monthly trend
Monthly
20-Month SMA
$169.60
Medium-term monthly trend
Monthly
40-Month SMA
$163.42
Secular monthly trend
Volume Shelves — Support & Resistance
Trend Edge identifies volume shelves: price zones where historically elevated trading volume
creates structural support or resistance. A volume shelf forms when a disproportionate share of cumulative
volume was transacted at a specific price level, making it a high-conviction anchor for future price reactions.
Price Level
Type
Volume Ratio
Age
$177.00
support
1.76x
0 months ago
$167.00
support
1.12x
1 months ago
$149.00
support
1.04x
3 months ago
$144.00
support
1.59x
15 months ago
Historical Earnings Reactions (119 events)
Timeframe
Avg Return
Median
Win Rate
Best
Worst
Gap
0.16%
0.13%
56.30%
4.23%
-7.40%
1 Day
-0.19%
-0.04%
47.90%
14.44%
-19.19%
1 Week
0.19%
-0.03%
48.74%
28.64%
-19.94%
2 Weeks
0.18%
0.10%
51.26%
22.58%
-27.97%
1 Month
1.19%
0.49%
52.54%
46.40%
-27.71%
Next earnings: October 17, 2026 (51 days away)
Seasonality & Day-of-Week Patterns
Monthly Seasonality
Month
Avg Return
Win Rate
Samples
Jan
0.2%
46.7%
30
Feb
0.9%
46.7%
30
Mar
0.3%
43.3%
30
Apr
10.4%
73.3%
30
May
0.8%
50.0%
30
Jun
1.3%
60.0%
30
Jul
5.8%
56.7%
30
Aug
-0.7%
55.2%
29
Sep
-0.1%
55.2%
29
Oct
-1.5%
44.8%
29
Nov
-1.0%
53.3%
30
Dec
2.5%
56.7%
30
Day-of-Week Tendencies
Day
Avg Return
Win Rate
Samples
Monday
0.10%
50.9%
1412
Tuesday
0.17%
50.0%
1541
Wednesday
0.01%
49.2%
1539
Thursday
0.06%
48.5%
1510
Friday
0.03%
48.1%
1502
Top Institutional Holders
Institutional holder breakdown coming soon.
Total institutional ownership: 81.0%
Insider Transactions — Smart Summary
Total insider ownership: 21.2%
Founder-led management: Roger Penske (Chairman & CEO)
Trend Edge's AI Consult feature delivers a comprehensive, multi-layer trade plan for Penske Automotive Group Inc
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The analysis covers five layers:
technical analysis (near-term, medium-term, cyclical, and secular trend, momentum,
volume shelf support and resistance, breakout and breakdown signals),
qualitative analysis (business model, competitive moat, sector dynamics),
insider sentiment (buy and sell signals from executive and director transactions),
share stats analysis (institutional accumulation, fund positioning, short float squeeze potential), and
fundamental analysis (valuation, revenue growth, profit margin, earnings quality).
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