PACS — PACS Group, Inc.

Founder-Led

Stock analysis, trade plans, and proprietary indicators by Trend Edge.

Trend Edge Setup Score

Trend Edge rates PACS Bullish with a Setup Score of 56, net conviction 50, actionability 62. How the Setup Score works →

Total Setup Score56
Directional BiasBullish
Net Conviction50
Actionability62 (in range)

Key signals behind this score

About PACS Group, Inc.

PACS Group, Inc., through its subsidiaries, operates skilled nursing facilities and assisted living facilities in the United States. It also provides senior care and independent living facilities. The company engages in the acquisition, ownership, and leasing of health care-related properties. PACS Group, Inc. was founded in 2013 and is headquartered in Salt Lake City, Utah.… Read full Trend Edge analysis →

Trend Edge Proprietary Indicators

Key Metrics

Current Price$43.94
Market Cap$6.90B
Float47.9M
Shares Outstanding158.3M
P/E (Forward)17.89
P/E (TTM)25.49
Price/Sales (TTM)1.24
vs. Analyst Target+34.7% to analyst PT
Profit Margin4.85%
Operating Margin (TTM)7.66%
Revenue (TTM)$5.55B
Earnings Growth (YoY)51.60%
Dividend RateNone
Analyst Target Price$59.20 (4 analysts)

Financial History

Annual Revenue & Earnings History

YearRevenueNet IncomeGross ProfitEBITDA
2021 $1.17B $47.9M $187M $93.9M
2022 $2.42B $150M $401M $255M
2023 $3.11B $113M $447M $233M
2024 $4.09B $55.8M $508M N/A
2025 $5.29B $192M $1.16B $366M

Recent Quarterly Revenue & Net Income

QuarterRevenueNet Income
Sep 2025 $1.34B $52.4M
Dec 2025 $1.36B $59.7M
Mar 2026 $1.42B $80.7M
Jun 2026 $1.43B $76.4M

Ownership & Float

Insider Ownership69.5%
Institutional Ownership31.5%
Short Float8.0%
% of All Funds Holding2.69%
Number of Funds Holding237

Current Moving Averages

Trend Edge tracks near-term, medium-term, cyclical, and secular moving averages across weekly and monthly timeframes to identify trend structure at every horizon.

TimeframeSMAValueTrend Context
Weekly10-Week SMA$44.96Near-term / short-term trend
Weekly40-Week SMA$38.03Medium-term trend
Weekly80-Week SMA$24.96Cyclical trend (business cycle)
Weekly200-Week SMA$0.00Secular trend (multi-year)
Monthly10-Month SMA$37.70Near-term monthly trend
Monthly20-Month SMA$24.84Medium-term monthly trend
Monthly40-Month SMA$0.00Secular monthly trend

Volume Shelves — Support & Resistance

Trend Edge identifies volume shelves: price zones where historically elevated trading volume creates structural support or resistance. A volume shelf forms when a disproportionate share of cumulative volume was transacted at a specific price level, making it a high-conviction anchor for future price reactions.

Price LevelTypeVolume RatioAge
$12.20 support 2.91x 8 months ago
$11.60 support 2.47x 10 months ago

Historical Earnings Reactions (10 events)

TimeframeAvg ReturnMedianWin RateBestWorst
Gap 8.10% 0.54% 60.00% 52.64% -7.85%
1 Day 10.82% 4.57% 70.00% 55.32% -12.38%
1 Week 14.58% 6.18% 70.00% 98.51% -17.73%
2 Weeks 15.14% 8.09% 50.00% 82.77% -16.39%
1 Month 19.62% 16.63% 66.67% 121.27% -22.92%

Next earnings: October 23, 2026 (57 days away)

Seasonality & Day-of-Week Patterns

Monthly Seasonality

Insufficient historical data for monthly seasonality analysis (requires 7+ years of data).

Day-of-Week Tendencies

DayAvg ReturnWin RateSamples
Monday 0.48% 56.5% 115
Tuesday 0.26% 48.8% 123
Wednesday -0.22% 47.5% 120
Thursday 0.72% 48.3% 116
Friday -0.02% 43.7% 119

Top Institutional Holders

Institutional holder breakdown coming soon.

Total institutional ownership: 31.5%

Insider Transactions — Smart Summary

Total insider ownership: 69.5%

Founder-led management: Jason Murray (Co-Founder, CEO and Chairman), Mark Hancock (Co-Founder, Executive Vice Chairman, and Interim Chief Financial Officer)

12-Month Insider Activity Summary

Total Filings16
Net Value-$49.9M
Net Shares Change-1,451,698
% of Float-3.0%
C-Suite Filings12
Clusters Detected1

Key Insiders

NameTitleNet ValueFilingsActivity
Murray Jason Hulse Co-Founder, CEO & Chairman -$17.0M 2 N/A
Hancock Mark Co Fndr; Exec V Chair -$16.6M 2 N/A
MITCHELL JOHN TODD Chief Legal Officer & Sec. -$7.8M 2 1 sell
Lewis Michelle Renee Chief Accounting Officer -$1.3M 2 N/A
Jergensen Joshua President & COO -$1.2M 1 1 sell
Dilsaver Evelyn S +$499,997.428 1 1 buy

Transaction Clusters

PeriodFilingsInsidersNet ValueSeniority
2026-07-06 – 2026-07-16 5 3 -$11.5M 2 C-suite

Significant Filings

DateInsiderTitleNet ValuePrice After
2025-11-26 Dilsaver Evelyn S +$499,997.428 Transaction at $29.90, now +47.0%
2026-03-17 Jergensen Joshua President & COO -$1.2M Transaction at $34.28, now +28.2%
2025-11-26 MITCHELL JOHN TODD Chief Legal Officer & Sec. -$4.8M Transaction at $29.89, now +47.0%
2026-05-19 MITCHELL JOHN TODD Chief Legal Officer & Sec. -$3.0M Transaction at $37.72, now +16.5%
2026-07-06 Lewis Michelle Renee Chief Accounting Officer -$675,424.5 Transaction at $45.03, now -2.4%
2026-06-26 Lewis Michelle Renee Chief Accounting Officer -$600,178.5 Transaction at $40.01, now +9.8%

View full insider transaction history on Trend Edge →

AI Consult Analysis

Trend Edge's AI Consult feature delivers a comprehensive, multi-layer trade plan for PACS Group, Inc. (PACS) powered by Claude Opus — Anthropic's most capable AI model. The analysis covers five layers: technical analysis (near-term, medium-term, cyclical, and secular trend, momentum, volume shelf support and resistance, breakout and breakdown signals), qualitative analysis (business model, competitive moat, sector dynamics), insider sentiment (buy and sell signals from executive and director transactions), share stats analysis (institutional accumulation, fund positioning, short float squeeze potential), and fundamental analysis (valuation, revenue growth, profit margin, earnings quality).

AI Consult synthesizes all five layers into a single bullish or bearish thesis with explicit entry, exit, stop loss, and take profit levels — giving you a complete, AI-powered trade plan with defined risk/reward. Whether you are building a long position, initiating a short, or looking for a reversal setup, AI Consult identifies the highest-probability signal from the current trend.

Get the full AI Consult analysis for PACS on Trend Edge →