ORN — Orion Group Holdings Inc

Stock analysis, trade plans, and proprietary indicators by Trend Edge.

Trend Edge Setup Score

Trend Edge rates ORN Bullish with a Setup Score of 0, net conviction 33, actionability 0. How the Setup Score works →

Total Setup Score0
Directional BiasBullish
Net Conviction33
Actionability0 (no mans land)

Key signals behind this score

About Orion Group Holdings Inc

Orion Group Holdings, Inc. operates as a specialty construction company for the infrastructure, industrial, and building sectors in the United States, Canada, and the Caribbean Basin. It operates through two segments, Marine and Concrete. The company engages in the building, rehabilitation, and maintenance of a range of marine transportation facilities, including terminals, cruise ship berths, private terminals, U.S. Read full Trend Edge analysis →

Trend Edge Proprietary Indicators

Key Metrics

Current Price$9.33
Market Cap$372M
Float38.2M
Shares Outstanding40.5M
P/E (Forward)36.23
P/E (TTM)114.75
Price/Sales (TTM)0.41
vs. Analyst Target+64.2% to analyst PT
Profit Margin0.40%
Operating Margin (TTM)-0.66%
Revenue (TTM)$896M
Earnings Growth (YoY)-33.30%
Dividend RateNone
Analyst Target Price$15.32 (4 analysts)

Financial History

Annual Revenue & Earnings History

YearRevenueNet IncomeGross ProfitEBITDA
2020 $710M $20.2M $84.7M $44.8M
2021 $601M -$14.6M $41.0M $4.7M
2022 $748M -$12.6M $50.7M $11.1M
2023 $712M -$17.9M $61.7M $15.7M
2024 $796M -$1.6M $91.2M $31.4M
2025 $852M $2.5M $106M $42.3M

Recent Quarterly Revenue & Net Income

QuarterRevenueNet Income
Sep 2025 $225M $3.3M
Dec 2025 $233M -$240,000
Mar 2026 $216M $4.7M
Jun 2026 $222M -$4.1M

Ownership & Float

Insider Ownership5.8%
Institutional Ownership88.0%
Short Float5.7%
% of All Funds Holding2.05%
Number of Funds Holding180

Current Moving Averages

Trend Edge tracks near-term, medium-term, cyclical, and secular moving averages across weekly and monthly timeframes to identify trend structure at every horizon.

TimeframeSMAValueTrend Context
Weekly10-Week SMA$11.91Near-term / short-term trend
Weekly40-Week SMA$12.23Medium-term trend
Weekly80-Week SMA$10.00Cyclical trend (business cycle)
Weekly200-Week SMA$7.28Secular trend (multi-year)
Monthly10-Month SMA$12.01Near-term monthly trend
Monthly20-Month SMA$9.90Medium-term monthly trend
Monthly40-Month SMA$8.06Secular monthly trend

Volume Shelves — Support & Resistance

Trend Edge identifies volume shelves: price zones where historically elevated trading volume creates structural support or resistance. A volume shelf forms when a disproportionate share of cumulative volume was transacted at a specific price level, making it a high-conviction anchor for future price reactions.

Price LevelTypeVolume RatioAge
$16.50 resistance 1.78x 0 months ago
$6.40 support 1.17x 14 months ago

Historical Earnings Reactions (75 events)

TimeframeAvg ReturnMedianWin RateBestWorst
Gap 0.65% 0.27% 57.33% 27.86% -19.87%
1 Day 0.51% 0.39% 54.67% 13.41% -24.68%
1 Week 0.68% -0.37% 45.33% 45.76% -23.08%
2 Weeks 1.19% -0.73% 45.33% 43.36% -45.50%
1 Month 2.98% -1.47% 41.89% 58.67% -42.25%

Next earnings: October 27, 2026 (62 days away)

Seasonality & Day-of-Week Patterns

Monthly Seasonality

MonthAvg ReturnWin RateSamples
Jan0.4%52.6%19
Feb-0.4%52.6%19
Mar-2.2%42.1%19
Apr1.0%42.1%19
May7.5%57.9%19
Jun1.8%52.6%19
Jul1.5%47.4%19
Aug-3.1%33.3%18
Sep-1.4%55.6%18
Oct-2.4%55.6%18
Nov8.6%61.1%18
Dec1.3%50.0%18

Day-of-Week Tendencies

DayAvg ReturnWin RateSamples
Monday -0.04% 45.9% 882
Tuesday 0.09% 48.1% 965
Wednesday 0.14% 48.1% 964
Thursday 0.02% 47.7% 945
Friday 0.06% 47.2% 940

Top Institutional Holders

Institutional holder breakdown coming soon.

Total institutional ownership: 88.0%

Insider Transactions — Smart Summary

Total insider ownership: 5.8%

12-Month Insider Activity Summary

Total Filings9
Net Value+$149,032.05
Net Shares Change-104,147
% of Float-0.3%
C-Suite Filings3
Clusters Detected2

Key Insiders

NameTitleNet ValueFilingsActivity
SHANFELTER AUSTIN J -$1.1M 1 1 sell
FORAN MARGARET M -$606,511.5 2 2 sell
LEDFORD ROBERT +$192,430 1 1 buy
Smith Quentin P. Jr. -$131,013.75 1 1 sell
Vasquez Alison Gaut EVP AND CFO +$99,982.05 2 2 buy
Earle Edward Chipman EVP & GENERAL COUNSEL +$49,050 1 1 buy
Sullivan Mary E +$29,361.6 1 1 buy

Transaction Clusters

PeriodFilingsInsidersNet ValueSeniority
2026-03-09 – 2026-03-10 3 3 -$1.2M 1 C-suite
2026-08-04 – 2026-08-04 4 4 +$320,840.35 2 C-suite

Significant Filings

DateInsiderTitleNet ValuePrice After
2026-08-04 Vasquez Alison Gaut EVP AND CFO +$49,998.75 Transaction at $9.95, now -6.2%
2026-08-04 Earle Edward Chipman EVP & GENERAL COUNSEL +$49,050 Transaction at $9.81, now -4.9%
2026-08-04 LEDFORD ROBERT +$192,430 Transaction at $9.62, now -3.0%
2026-08-04 Sullivan Mary E +$29,361.6 Transaction at $9.79, now -4.7%
2026-03-09 Vasquez Alison Gaut EVP AND CFO +$49,983.3 Transaction at $11.85, now -21.3%
2026-03-10 SHANFELTER AUSTIN J -$1.1M Transaction at $12.17, now -23.3%

View full insider transaction history on Trend Edge →

AI Consult Analysis

Trend Edge's AI Consult feature delivers a comprehensive, multi-layer trade plan for Orion Group Holdings Inc (ORN) powered by Claude Opus — Anthropic's most capable AI model. The analysis covers five layers: technical analysis (near-term, medium-term, cyclical, and secular trend, momentum, volume shelf support and resistance, breakout and breakdown signals), qualitative analysis (business model, competitive moat, sector dynamics), insider sentiment (buy and sell signals from executive and director transactions), share stats analysis (institutional accumulation, fund positioning, short float squeeze potential), and fundamental analysis (valuation, revenue growth, profit margin, earnings quality).

AI Consult synthesizes all five layers into a single bullish or bearish thesis with explicit entry, exit, stop loss, and take profit levels — giving you a complete, AI-powered trade plan with defined risk/reward. Whether you are building a long position, initiating a short, or looking for a reversal setup, AI Consult identifies the highest-probability signal from the current trend.

Get the full AI Consult analysis for ORN on Trend Edge →