OPAL — OPAL Fuels Inc

Stock analysis, trade plans, and proprietary indicators by Trend Edge.

About OPAL Fuels Inc

OPAL Fuels Inc. together with its subsidiaries, engages in the production and distribution of renewable natural gas (RNG) for use as a vehicle fuel for heavy and medium-duty trucking fleets throughout the United States. It operates through three segments, RNG Fuel, Fuel Station Services and Renewable Power. The company also designs, develops, constructs, operates, and services fueling stations for trucking fleets that use natural gas to displace … Read full Trend Edge analysis →

Trend Edge Proprietary Indicators

Key Metrics

Current Price$2.16
Market Cap$351M
Float17.1M
Shares Outstanding30.4M
P/E (Forward)4.19
P/E (TTM)28.71
Price/Sales (TTM)1.04
vs. Analyst Target+49.3% to analyst PT
Profit Margin5.72%
Operating Margin (TTM)-4.21%
Revenue (TTM)$337M
Earnings Growth (YoY)-41.30%
Dividend RateNone
Analyst Target Price$3.23 (8 analysts)

Financial History

Annual Revenue & Earnings History

YearRevenueNet IncomeGross ProfitEBITDA
2020 $118M -$25.4M $27.5M $7.1M
2021 $166M $210,000 $51.1M $58.2M
2022 $236M $11.3M $72.7M $53.3M
2023 $256M $29.9M $72.2M $151M
2024 $300M $11.0M $100M $41.0M
2025 $349M $14.8M $83.8M $28.1M

Recent Quarterly Revenue & Net Income

QuarterRevenueNet Income
Jun 2025 $77.7M $3.4M
Sep 2025 $83.4M $4.1M
Dec 2025 $99.8M $4.9M
Mar 2026 $73.9M $6.9M

Ownership & Float

Insider Ownership25.8%
Institutional Ownership57.1%
Short Float7.0%
% of All Funds Holding0.84%
Number of Funds Holding69

Current Moving Averages

Trend Edge tracks near-term, medium-term, cyclical, and secular moving averages across weekly and monthly timeframes to identify trend structure at every horizon.

TimeframeSMAValueTrend Context
Weekly10-Week SMA$2.27Near-term / short-term trend
Weekly40-Week SMA$2.33Medium-term trend
Weekly80-Week SMA$2.50Cyclical trend (business cycle)
Weekly200-Week SMA$4.75Secular trend (multi-year)
Monthly10-Month SMA$2.30Near-term monthly trend
Monthly20-Month SMA$2.57Medium-term monthly trend
Monthly40-Month SMA$4.19Secular monthly trend

Volume Shelves — Support & Resistance

Trend Edge identifies volume shelves: price zones where historically elevated trading volume creates structural support or resistance. A volume shelf forms when a disproportionate share of cumulative volume was transacted at a specific price level, making it a high-conviction anchor for future price reactions.

Price LevelTypeVolume RatioAge
$2.10 support 1.23x 1 months ago
$3.50 resistance 1.86x 10 months ago
$1.80 support 2.26x 11 months ago
$3.80 resistance 1.57x 16 months ago
$4.10 resistance 1.42x 20 months ago

Historical Earnings Reactions (20 events)

TimeframeAvg ReturnMedianWin RateBestWorst
Gap -0.60% 0.05% 50.00% 2.87% -5.39%
1 Day -1.41% -0.72% 40.00% 9.09% -10.62%
1 Week -3.02% 0.04% 50.00% 8.93% -19.05%
2 Weeks -1.73% 0.51% 63.16% 15.93% -25.59%
1 Month -1.96% -3.10% 47.37% 28.22% -33.07%

Next earnings: July 30, 2026 (64 days away)

Seasonality & Day-of-Week Patterns

Monthly Seasonality

Insufficient historical data for monthly seasonality analysis (requires 7+ years of data).

Day-of-Week Tendencies

DayAvg ReturnWin RateSamples
Monday 0.13% 40.9% 232
Tuesday -0.04% 40.8% 260
Wednesday -0.11% 39.9% 258
Thursday -0.42% 39.8% 251
Friday 0.19% 45.7% 254

Top Institutional Holders

Institutional holder breakdown coming soon.

Total institutional ownership: 57.1%

Insider Transactions — Smart Summary

Total insider ownership: 25.8%

12-Month Insider Activity Summary

Total Filings10
Net Value+$185,761.78
Net Shares Change223,332
% of Float1.3%
C-Suite Filings3
Clusters Detected1

Key Insiders

NameTitleNet ValueFilingsActivity
Dols Scott V. +$230,518.55 3 3 buy
Nisar Nadeem +$121,450 4 4 buy
Comora Adam Co-Chief Executive Officer +$117,261.78 2 2 buy
Maurer Jonathan Gilbert Co-Chief Executive Officer +$68,500 1 1 buy

Transaction Clusters

PeriodFilingsInsidersNet ValueSeniority
2025-05-27 – 2025-05-27 3 3 +$236,999.639 1 C-suite

Significant Filings

DateInsiderTitleNet ValuePrice After
2026-05-20 Dols Scott V. +$76,924.32 Transaction at $2.04, now +5.9%
2026-05-21 Dols Scott V. +$24,844.59 Transaction at $2.02, now +6.9%
2026-05-18 Nisar Nadeem +$39,900 Transaction at $2.00, now +8.3%
2026-05-20 Nisar Nadeem +$10,100 Transaction at $2.02, now +6.9%
2025-08-19 Comora Adam Co-Chief Executive Officer +$92,364 Transaction at $2.31, now -6.5%
2025-05-27 Maurer Jonathan Gilbert Co-Chief Executive Officer +$68,500 Transaction at $2.74, now -21.2%

View full insider transaction history on Trend Edge →

AI Consult Analysis

Trend Edge's AI Consult feature delivers a comprehensive, multi-layer trade plan for OPAL Fuels Inc (OPAL) powered by Claude Opus — Anthropic's most capable AI model. The analysis covers five layers: technical analysis (near-term, medium-term, cyclical, and secular trend, momentum, volume shelf support and resistance, breakout and breakdown signals), qualitative analysis (business model, competitive moat, sector dynamics), insider sentiment (buy and sell signals from executive and director transactions), share stats analysis (institutional accumulation, fund positioning, short float squeeze potential), and fundamental analysis (valuation, revenue growth, profit margin, earnings quality).

AI Consult synthesizes all five layers into a single bullish or bearish thesis with explicit entry, exit, stop loss, and take profit levels — giving you a complete, AI-powered trade plan with defined risk/reward. Whether you are building a long position, initiating a short, or looking for a reversal setup, AI Consult identifies the highest-probability signal from the current trend.

Get the full AI Consult analysis for OPAL on Trend Edge →