OGN — Organon & Co

Stock analysis, trade plans, and proprietary indicators by Trend Edge.

Trend Edge Setup Score

Trend Edge rates OGN Bearish with a Setup Score of 0, net conviction 26, actionability 0. How the Setup Score works →

Total Setup Score0
Directional BiasBearish
Net Conviction26
Actionability0 (in range)

Key signals behind this score

About Organon & Co

Organon & Co. develops and delivers women health solutions through prescription therapies and medical devices in the United States, Europe, Canada, Japan, rest of the Asia Pacific, China, Latin America, the Middle East, Russia, Africa, and internationally. The company's women's health portfolio comprises contraception and fertility brands, such as Nexplanon, a long-acting reversible contraceptive; NuvaRing, a monthly vaginal contraceptive ring; C… Read full Trend Edge analysis →

Trend Edge Proprietary Indicators

Key Metrics

Current Price$13.75
Market Cap$3.61B
Float243.0M
Shares Outstanding262.6M
P/E (Forward)5.09
P/E (TTM)17.60
Price/Sales (TTM)0.59
vs. Analyst Target-18.2% to analyst PT
Profit Margin3.41%
Operating Margin (TTM)20.73%
Revenue (TTM)$6.13B
Earnings Growth (YoY)-28.30%
Dividend Rate0.1%
Analyst Target Price$11.25 (7 analysts)

Financial History

Annual Revenue & Earnings History

YearRevenueNet IncomeGross ProfitEBITDA
2020 $6.53B $2.16B $4.41B $2.99B
2021 $6.30B $1.35B $3.92B $1.98B
2022 $6.17B $917M $3.88B $1.76B
2023 $6.26B $1.02B $3.75B $1.44B
2024 $6.40B $864M $3.71B $1.60B
2025 $6.22B $187M $3.36B $1.28B

Recent Quarterly Revenue & Net Income

QuarterRevenueNet Income
Sep 2025 $1.60B $160M
Dec 2025 $1.51B -$205M
Mar 2026 $1.46B $146M
Jun 2026 $1.56B $108M

Ownership & Float

Insider Ownership0.5%
Institutional Ownership84.0%
Short Float6.9%
% of All Funds Holding7.09%
Number of Funds Holding624

Current Moving Averages

Trend Edge tracks near-term, medium-term, cyclical, and secular moving averages across weekly and monthly timeframes to identify trend structure at every horizon.

TimeframeSMAValueTrend Context
Weekly10-Week SMA$13.60Near-term / short-term trend
Weekly40-Week SMA$10.33Medium-term trend
Weekly80-Week SMA$10.40Cyclical trend (business cycle)
Weekly200-Week SMA$16.08Secular trend (multi-year)
Monthly10-Month SMA$10.41Near-term monthly trend
Monthly20-Month SMA$10.89Medium-term monthly trend
Monthly40-Month SMA$14.66Secular monthly trend

Volume Shelves — Support & Resistance

Trend Edge identifies volume shelves: price zones where historically elevated trading volume creates structural support or resistance. A volume shelf forms when a disproportionate share of cumulative volume was transacted at a specific price level, making it a high-conviction anchor for future price reactions.

Price LevelTypeVolume RatioAge
$6.10 support 2.84x 3 months ago
$14.80 resistance 1.56x 15 months ago
$18.50 resistance 1.43x 20 months ago

Historical Earnings Reactions (22 events)

TimeframeAvg ReturnMedianWin RateBestWorst
Gap 0.09% 0.00% 45.45% 2.56% -1.55%
1 Day -0.18% 0.15% 50.00% 4.67% -6.37%
1 Week -1.34% -0.42% 45.45% 12.18% -15.18%
2 Weeks -1.92% -2.80% 45.45% 12.76% -19.97%
1 Month -3.05% -2.83% 42.86% 24.64% -18.21%

Next earnings: August 4, 2026

Seasonality & Day-of-Week Patterns

Monthly Seasonality

Insufficient historical data for monthly seasonality analysis (requires 7+ years of data).

Day-of-Week Tendencies

DayAvg ReturnWin RateSamples
Monday -0.26% 44.3% 246
Tuesday -0.06% 45.3% 274
Wednesday 0.04% 50.4% 272
Thursday 0.03% 48.3% 265
Friday 0.13% 49.6% 266

Top Institutional Holders

Institutional holder breakdown coming soon.

Total institutional ownership: 84.0%

Insider Transactions — Smart Summary

Total insider ownership: 0.5%

12-Month Insider Activity Summary

Total Filings3
Net Value-$51,631.826
Net Shares Change24,237
% of Float0.0%
C-Suite Filings3
Clusters Detected0

Key Insiders

NameTitleNet ValueFilingsActivity
COX CARRIE SMITH Executive Chair +$501,755.34 1 1 buy
Holzbaur Lynette SVP and Corporate Controller -$353,080.396 1 1 sell
Drinane Juliana Papa Head of Mfg & Supply -$200,306.77 1 1 sell

Significant Filings

DateInsiderTitleNet ValuePrice After
2026-08-05 Drinane Juliana Papa Head of Mfg & Supply -$200,306.77 Transaction at $13.57, now +1.3%
2025-11-13 COX CARRIE SMITH Executive Chair +$501,755.34 Transaction at $7.67, now +79.2%
2026-05-07 Holzbaur Lynette SVP and Corporate Controller -$353,080.396 Transaction at $13.35, now +3.0%

View full insider transaction history on Trend Edge →

AI Consult Analysis

Trend Edge's AI Consult feature delivers a comprehensive, multi-layer trade plan for Organon & Co (OGN) powered by Claude Opus — Anthropic's most capable AI model. The analysis covers five layers: technical analysis (near-term, medium-term, cyclical, and secular trend, momentum, volume shelf support and resistance, breakout and breakdown signals), qualitative analysis (business model, competitive moat, sector dynamics), insider sentiment (buy and sell signals from executive and director transactions), share stats analysis (institutional accumulation, fund positioning, short float squeeze potential), and fundamental analysis (valuation, revenue growth, profit margin, earnings quality).

AI Consult synthesizes all five layers into a single bullish or bearish thesis with explicit entry, exit, stop loss, and take profit levels — giving you a complete, AI-powered trade plan with defined risk/reward. Whether you are building a long position, initiating a short, or looking for a reversal setup, AI Consult identifies the highest-probability signal from the current trend.

Get the full AI Consult analysis for OGN on Trend Edge →