OGN — Organon & Co

Stock analysis, trade plans, and proprietary indicators by Trend Edge.

Trend Edge Setup Score

Trend Edge rates OGN Bearish with a Setup Score of 0, net conviction 32, actionability 0. How the Setup Score works →

Total Setup Score0
Directional BiasBearish
Net Conviction32
Actionability0 (no mans land)

Key signals behind this score

About Organon & Co

Organon & Co. develops and delivers women health solutions through prescription therapies and medical devices in the United States, Europe, Canada, Japan, rest of the Asia Pacific, China, Latin America, the Middle East, Russia, Africa, and internationally. The company's women's health portfolio comprises contraception and fertility brands, such as Nexplanon, a long-acting reversible contraceptive; NuvaRing, a monthly vaginal contraceptive ring; C… Read full Trend Edge analysis →

Trend Edge Proprietary Indicators

Key Metrics

Current Price$13.52
Market Cap$3.54B
Float261.1M
Shares Outstanding262.6M
P/E (Forward)5.09
P/E (TTM)14.51
Price/Sales (TTM)0.57
vs. Analyst Target-16.8% to analyst PT
Profit Margin3.99%
Operating Margin (TTM)18.70%
Revenue (TTM)$6.16B
Earnings Growth (YoY)66.70%
Dividend Rate0.1%
Analyst Target Price$11.25 (7 analysts)

Financial History

Annual Revenue & Earnings History

YearRevenueNet IncomeGross ProfitEBITDA
2020 $6.53B $2.16B $4.41B $2.99B
2021 $6.30B $1.35B $3.92B $1.98B
2022 $6.17B $917M $3.88B $1.76B
2023 $6.26B $1.02B $3.75B $1.44B
2024 $6.40B $864M $3.71B $1.60B
2025 $6.22B $187M $3.36B $1.28B

Recent Quarterly Revenue & Net Income

QuarterRevenueNet Income
Jun 2025 $1.59B $145M
Sep 2025 $1.60B $160M
Dec 2025 $1.51B -$205M
Mar 2026 $1.46B $146M

Ownership & Float

Insider Ownership0.5%
Institutional Ownership78.0%
Short Float7.3%
% of All Funds Holding6.92%
Number of Funds Holding569

Current Moving Averages

Trend Edge tracks near-term, medium-term, cyclical, and secular moving averages across weekly and monthly timeframes to identify trend structure at every horizon.

TimeframeSMAValueTrend Context
Weekly10-Week SMA$13.43Near-term / short-term trend
Weekly40-Week SMA$9.36Medium-term trend
Weekly80-Week SMA$10.57Cyclical trend (business cycle)
Weekly200-Week SMA$16.48Secular trend (multi-year)
Monthly10-Month SMA$9.71Near-term monthly trend
Monthly20-Month SMA$10.95Medium-term monthly trend
Monthly40-Month SMA$14.93Secular monthly trend

Volume Shelves — Support & Resistance

Trend Edge identifies volume shelves: price zones where historically elevated trading volume creates structural support or resistance. A volume shelf forms when a disproportionate share of cumulative volume was transacted at a specific price level, making it a high-conviction anchor for future price reactions.

Price LevelTypeVolume RatioAge
$6.10 support 2.84x 2 months ago
$14.80 resistance 1.56x 14 months ago
$18.50 resistance 1.43x 19 months ago

Historical Earnings Reactions (21 events)

TimeframeAvg ReturnMedianWin RateBestWorst
Gap 0.09% 0.00% 47.62% 2.56% -1.55%
1 Day -0.18% 0.30% 52.38% 4.67% -6.37%
1 Week -1.42% -0.84% 42.86% 12.18% -15.18%
2 Weeks -2.07% -3.02% 42.86% 12.76% -19.97%
1 Month -3.26% -3.04% 40.00% 24.64% -18.21%

Next earnings: August 4, 2026 (24 days away)

Seasonality & Day-of-Week Patterns

Monthly Seasonality

Insufficient historical data for monthly seasonality analysis (requires 7+ years of data).

Day-of-Week Tendencies

DayAvg ReturnWin RateSamples
Monday -0.27% 44.2% 240
Tuesday -0.06% 45.7% 267
Wednesday 0.04% 49.8% 265
Thursday 0.03% 47.7% 258
Friday 0.13% 49.4% 259

Top Institutional Holders

Institutional holder breakdown coming soon.

Total institutional ownership: 78.0%

Insider Transactions — Smart Summary

Total insider ownership: 0.5%

12-Month Insider Activity Summary

Total Filings2
Net Value+$148,674.944
Net Shares Change38,998
% of Float0.0%
C-Suite Filings2
Clusters Detected0

Key Insiders

NameTitleNet ValueFilingsActivity
COX CARRIE SMITH Executive Chair +$501,755.34 1 1 buy
Holzbaur Lynette SVP and Corporate Controller -$353,080.396 1 1 sell

Significant Filings

DateInsiderTitleNet ValuePrice After
2026-05-07 Holzbaur Lynette SVP and Corporate Controller -$353,080.396 Transaction at $13.35, now +1.3%
2025-11-13 COX CARRIE SMITH Executive Chair +$501,755.34 Transaction at $7.67, now +76.2%

View full insider transaction history on Trend Edge →

AI Consult Analysis

Trend Edge's AI Consult feature delivers a comprehensive, multi-layer trade plan for Organon & Co (OGN) powered by Claude Opus — Anthropic's most capable AI model. The analysis covers five layers: technical analysis (near-term, medium-term, cyclical, and secular trend, momentum, volume shelf support and resistance, breakout and breakdown signals), qualitative analysis (business model, competitive moat, sector dynamics), insider sentiment (buy and sell signals from executive and director transactions), share stats analysis (institutional accumulation, fund positioning, short float squeeze potential), and fundamental analysis (valuation, revenue growth, profit margin, earnings quality).

AI Consult synthesizes all five layers into a single bullish or bearish thesis with explicit entry, exit, stop loss, and take profit levels — giving you a complete, AI-powered trade plan with defined risk/reward. Whether you are building a long position, initiating a short, or looking for a reversal setup, AI Consult identifies the highest-probability signal from the current trend.

Get the full AI Consult analysis for OGN on Trend Edge →