BMY — Bristol-Myers Squibb Company

Stock analysis, trade plans, and proprietary indicators by Trend Edge.

Trend Edge Setup Score

Trend Edge rates BMY Bearish with a Setup Score of 12, net conviction 14, actionability 10. How the Setup Score works →

Total Setup Score12
Directional BiasBearish
Net Conviction14
Actionability10 (in range)

Key signals behind this score

About Bristol-Myers Squibb Company

Bristol-Myers Squibb Company discovers, develops, licenses, manufactures, markets, distributes, and sells biopharmaceutical products worldwide. The company offers products for oncology, hematology, immunology, cardiovascular, and neuroscience indications. Its products include Opdivo for anti-cancer indications; Opdivo Qvantig, a subcutaneous PD-1 inhibitor for solid tumors; Orencia for active rheumatoid arthritis and psoriatic arthritis; Yervoy f… Read full Trend Edge analysis →

Trend Edge Proprietary Indicators

Key Metrics

Current Price$59.12
Market Cap$121.70B
Float2.04B
Shares Outstanding2.04B
P/E (Forward)9.36
P/E (TTM)13.12
Price/Sales (TTM)2.47
vs. Analyst Target+11.5% to analyst PT
Profit Margin18.87%
Operating Margin (TTM)34.42%
Revenue (TTM)$49.19B
Earnings Growth (YoY)153.10%
Dividend Rate2.5%
Analyst Target Price$65.92 (28 analysts)

Financial History

Annual Revenue & Earnings History

YearRevenueNet IncomeGross ProfitEBITDA
2020 $42.52B -$8.99B $21.70B $4.93B
2021 $46.38B $6.99B $26.76B $20.12B
2022 $46.16B $6.33B $26.49B $19.22B
2023 $45.01B $8.03B $25.36B $19.37B
2024 $48.30B -$8.95B $27.43B $3.17B
2025 $48.20B $7.05B $34.26B $15.23B

Recent Quarterly Revenue & Net Income

QuarterRevenueNet Income
Sep 2025 $12.22B $2.20B
Dec 2025 $12.50B $1.09B
Mar 2026 $11.49B $2.68B
Jun 2026 $12.97B $3.32B

Ownership & Float

Insider Ownership0.1%
Institutional Ownership84.9%
Short Float2.2%
% of All Funds Holding28.37%
Number of Funds Holding2,495

Current Moving Averages

Trend Edge tracks near-term, medium-term, cyclical, and secular moving averages across weekly and monthly timeframes to identify trend structure at every horizon.

TimeframeSMAValueTrend Context
Weekly10-Week SMA$63.88Near-term / short-term trend
Weekly40-Week SMA$59.89Medium-term trend
Weekly80-Week SMA$53.92Cyclical trend (business cycle)
Weekly200-Week SMA$55.64Secular trend (multi-year)
Monthly10-Month SMA$60.71Near-term monthly trend
Monthly20-Month SMA$54.88Medium-term monthly trend
Monthly40-Month SMA$53.79Secular monthly trend

Volume Shelves — Support & Resistance

Trend Edge identifies volume shelves: price zones where historically elevated trading volume creates structural support or resistance. A volume shelf forms when a disproportionate share of cumulative volume was transacted at a specific price level, making it a high-conviction anchor for future price reactions.

Price LevelTypeVolume RatioAge
$50.00 support 1.16x 9 months ago

Historical Earnings Reactions (122 events)

TimeframeAvg ReturnMedianWin RateBestWorst
Gap 0.01% 0.05% 52.46% 2.64% -5.21%
1 Day -0.13% -0.16% 44.26% 6.05% -4.49%
1 Week 0.36% 0.07% 50.82% 13.85% -15.24%
2 Weeks 0.74% 0.57% 54.10% 13.85% -18.79%
1 Month 1.44% 0.95% 56.20% 22.13% -23.33%

Next earnings: October 29, 2026 (18 days away)

Seasonality & Day-of-Week Patterns

Monthly Seasonality

MonthAvg ReturnWin RateSamples
Jan-1.2%47.1%51
Feb0.5%54.9%51
Mar1.0%62.7%51
Apr-0.3%49.0%51
May0.9%52.9%51
Jun1.2%60.8%51
Jul0.2%41.2%51
Aug0.3%54.9%51
Sep0.5%47.1%51
Oct1.7%54.0%50
Nov2.1%62.0%50
Dec2.4%64.7%51

Day-of-Week Tendencies

DayAvg ReturnWin RateSamples
Monday 0.04% 48.9% 2402
Tuesday 0.09% 49.3% 2605
Wednesday 0.05% 47.9% 2606
Thursday -0.03% 46.8% 2556
Friday 0.05% 49.6% 2541

Top Institutional Holders

Institutional holder breakdown coming soon.

Total institutional ownership: 84.9%

Insider Transactions — Smart Summary

Total insider ownership: 0.1%

12-Month Insider Activity Summary

Total Filings3
Net Value-$2.3M
Net Shares Change-36,749
% of Float-0.0%
C-Suite Filings3
Clusters Detected0

Key Insiders

NameTitleNet ValueFilingsActivity
Elkins David V EVP, Chief Financial Officer -$1.9M 1 N/A
Massacesi Cristian EVP,Chief Med Offr,Head of Dev -$403,497.93 1 1 sell
Holzer Phil M SVP and Controller -$33,750 1 1 sell

Significant Filings

DateInsiderTitleNet ValuePrice After
2026-09-10 Massacesi Cristian EVP,Chief Med Offr,Head of Dev -$403,497.93 Transaction at $64.57, now -8.4%
2026-08-26 Holzer Phil M SVP and Controller -$33,750 Transaction at $67.50, now -12.4%
2026-04-02 Elkins David V EVP, Chief Financial Officer -$1.9M Transaction at $61.67, now -4.1%

View full insider transaction history on Trend Edge →

AI Consult Analysis

Trend Edge's AI Consult feature delivers a comprehensive, multi-layer trade plan for Bristol-Myers Squibb Company (BMY) powered by Claude Opus — Anthropic's most capable AI model. The analysis covers five layers: technical analysis (near-term, medium-term, cyclical, and secular trend, momentum, volume shelf support and resistance, breakout and breakdown signals), qualitative analysis (business model, competitive moat, sector dynamics), insider sentiment (buy and sell signals from executive and director transactions), share stats analysis (institutional accumulation, fund positioning, short float squeeze potential), and fundamental analysis (valuation, revenue growth, profit margin, earnings quality).

AI Consult synthesizes all five layers into a single bullish or bearish thesis with explicit entry, exit, stop loss, and take profit levels — giving you a complete, AI-powered trade plan with defined risk/reward. Whether you are building a long position, initiating a short, or looking for a reversal setup, AI Consult identifies the highest-probability signal from the current trend.

Get the full AI Consult analysis for BMY on Trend Edge →