OGC — OceanaGold Corporation

Stock analysis, trade plans, and proprietary indicators by Trend Edge.

Trend Edge Setup Score

Trend Edge rates OGC Bullish with a Setup Score of 43, net conviction 21, actionability 89. How the Setup Score works →

Total Setup Score43
Directional BiasBullish
Net Conviction21
Actionability89 (in range)

Key signals behind this score

About OceanaGold Corporation

OceanaGold Corporation engages in the exploration, development, and operation of gold and gold/copper mines in the United States, the Philippines, and New Zealand. It explores for gold, copper, and silver deposits. The company was founded in 1990 and is headquartered in Vancouver, Canada. Read full Trend Edge analysis →

Trend Edge Proprietary Indicators

Key Metrics

Current Price$25.27
Market Cap$5.62B
Float221.5M
Shares Outstanding222.4M
P/E (Forward)8.60
P/E (TTM)6.70
Price/Sales (TTM)2.28
Profit Margin35.14%
Operating Margin (TTM)50.02%
Revenue (TTM)$2.46B
Earnings Growth (YoY)102.00%
Dividend Rate0.3%

Financial History

Annual Revenue & Earnings History

YearRevenueNet IncomeGross ProfitEBITDA
2022 $967M $133M $260M N/A
2023 $1.03B $83.1M $299M N/A
2024 $1.29B $187M $372M N/A
2025 $1.89B $629M $878M $1.17B

Recent Quarterly Revenue & Net Income

QuarterRevenueNet Income
Sep 2025 $443M $86.2M
Dec 2025 $652M $328M
Mar 2026 $715M $228M
Jun 2026 $647M $222M

Ownership & Float

Insider Ownership0.3%
Institutional Ownership82.1%
Short Float1.3%
% of All Funds Holding1.73%
Number of Funds Holding152

Current Moving Averages

Trend Edge tracks near-term, medium-term, cyclical, and secular moving averages across weekly and monthly timeframes to identify trend structure at every horizon.

TimeframeSMAValueTrend Context
Weekly10-Week SMA$27.92Near-term / short-term trend
Weekly40-Week SMA$29.94Medium-term trend
Weekly80-Week SMA$24.98Cyclical trend (business cycle)
Weekly200-Week SMA$14.24Secular trend (multi-year)
Monthly10-Month SMA$29.88Near-term monthly trend
Monthly20-Month SMA$23.81Medium-term monthly trend
Monthly40-Month SMA$15.40Secular monthly trend

Volume Shelves — Support & Resistance

Trend Edge identifies volume shelves: price zones where historically elevated trading volume creates structural support or resistance. A volume shelf forms when a disproportionate share of cumulative volume was transacted at a specific price level, making it a high-conviction anchor for future price reactions.

Price LevelTypeVolume RatioAge
$24.20 support 2.63x 1 months ago
$18.30 support 1.65x 12 months ago
$13.20 support 1.38x 14 months ago
$10.50 support 1.42x 17 months ago
$8.30 support 1.46x 18 months ago

Historical Earnings Reactions (43 events)

TimeframeAvg ReturnMedianWin RateBestWorst
Gap 0.29% 0.00% 46.51% 8.16% -6.06%
1 Day 0.54% 0.33% 51.16% 8.67% -4.59%
1 Week 1.78% 0.99% 51.16% 17.71% -10.40%
2 Weeks 2.43% -1.29% 44.19% 35.42% -13.03%
1 Month 0.68% -1.00% 45.24% 62.50% -16.46%

Next earnings: November 4, 2026 (5 days away)

Seasonality & Day-of-Week Patterns

Monthly Seasonality

MonthAvg ReturnWin RateSamples
Jan9.9%66.7%18
Feb7.6%44.4%18
Mar3.8%72.2%18
Apr7.3%61.1%18
May6.8%44.4%18
Jun-1.5%44.4%18
Jul-1.0%42.1%19
Aug2.3%47.4%19
Sep-2.2%42.1%19
Oct-2.4%44.4%18
Nov2.3%44.4%18
Dec1.5%50.0%18

Day-of-Week Tendencies

DayAvg ReturnWin RateSamples
Monday 0.11% 44.2% 866
Tuesday 0.17% 46.7% 949
Wednesday 0.17% 43.7% 946
Thursday 0.06% 42.7% 928
Friday 0.15% 44.7% 923

Top Institutional Holders

Institutional holder breakdown coming soon.

Total institutional ownership: 82.1%

Insider Transactions — Smart Summary

Total insider ownership: 0.3%

Full insider transaction history and smart buy/sell sentiment summary available on Trend Edge.

AI Consult Analysis

Trend Edge's AI Consult feature delivers a comprehensive, multi-layer trade plan for OceanaGold Corporation (OGC) powered by Claude Opus — Anthropic's most capable AI model. The analysis covers five layers: technical analysis (near-term, medium-term, cyclical, and secular trend, momentum, volume shelf support and resistance, breakout and breakdown signals), qualitative analysis (business model, competitive moat, sector dynamics), insider sentiment (buy and sell signals from executive and director transactions), share stats analysis (institutional accumulation, fund positioning, short float squeeze potential), and fundamental analysis (valuation, revenue growth, profit margin, earnings quality).

AI Consult synthesizes all five layers into a single bullish or bearish thesis with explicit entry, exit, stop loss, and take profit levels — giving you a complete, AI-powered trade plan with defined risk/reward. Whether you are building a long position, initiating a short, or looking for a reversal setup, AI Consult identifies the highest-probability signal from the current trend.

Get the full AI Consult analysis for OGC on Trend Edge →