OESX — Orion Energy Systems Inc

Stock analysis, trade plans, and proprietary indicators by Trend Edge.

Trend Edge Setup Score

Trend Edge rates OESX Bearish with a Setup Score of 0, net conviction 26, actionability 0. How the Setup Score works →

Total Setup Score0
Directional BiasBearish
Net Conviction26
Actionability0 (in range)

Key signals behind this score

About Orion Energy Systems Inc

Orion Energy Systems, Inc., together with its subsidiaries, research, designs, develops, manufactures, markets, sells, installs, and implements energy management systems for commercial office and retail, area lighting, industrial applications, and government in North America and Germany. It operates through three segments: Lighting, Maintenance, and Electric Vehicle (EV). Read full Trend Edge analysis →

Trend Edge Proprietary Indicators

Key Metrics

Current Price$10.35
Market Cap$43.0M
Float3.4M
Shares Outstanding4.1M
P/E (Forward)62.50
Price/Sales (TTM)0.50
vs. Analyst Target+112.6% to analyst PT
Profit Margin-3.67%
Operating Margin (TTM)-3.01%
Revenue (TTM)$86.3M
Earnings Growth (YoY)-74.70%
Dividend RateNone
Analyst Target Price$22.00 (2 analysts)

Financial History

Annual Revenue & Earnings History

YearRevenueNet IncomeGross ProfitEBITDA
2021 $117M $26.1M $30.1M $8.1M
2022 $124M $6.1M $33.9M $9.9M
2023 $77.4M -$34.3M $17.5M -$14.0M
2024 $90.6M -$11.7M $20.9M -$8.4M
2025 $79.7M -$11.8M $20.2M -$8.3M
2026 $86.3M -$3.2M $28.1M -$366,000

Recent Quarterly Revenue & Net Income

QuarterRevenueNet Income
Jun 2025 $19.6M -$1.2M
Sep 2025 $19.9M -$581,000
Dec 2025 $21.1M $160,000
Mar 2026 $25.7M -$1.5M

Ownership & Float

Insider Ownership13.2%
Institutional Ownership49.4%
Short Float0.6%
% of All Funds Holding0.39%
Number of Funds Holding32

Current Moving Averages

Trend Edge tracks near-term, medium-term, cyclical, and secular moving averages across weekly and monthly timeframes to identify trend structure at every horizon.

TimeframeSMAValueTrend Context
Weekly10-Week SMA$10.06Near-term / short-term trend
Weekly40-Week SMA$11.86Medium-term trend
Weekly80-Week SMA$9.59Cyclical trend (business cycle)
Weekly200-Week SMA$11.69Secular trend (multi-year)
Monthly10-Month SMA$11.66Near-term monthly trend
Monthly20-Month SMA$9.55Medium-term monthly trend
Monthly40-Month SMA$10.33Secular monthly trend

Volume Shelves — Support & Resistance

Trend Edge identifies volume shelves: price zones where historically elevated trading volume creates structural support or resistance. A volume shelf forms when a disproportionate share of cumulative volume was transacted at a specific price level, making it a high-conviction anchor for future price reactions.

Price LevelTypeVolume RatioAge
$9.70 support 1.45x 0 months ago
$15.10 resistance 1.61x 4 months ago
$8.50 support 1.53x 8 months ago
$7.10 support 1.17x 9 months ago
$6.00 support 2.34x 10 months ago

Historical Earnings Reactions (74 events)

TimeframeAvg ReturnMedianWin RateBestWorst
Gap -2.40% 0.00% 43.24% 18.80% -47.56%
1 Day -2.21% -0.96% 36.49% 18.44% -42.89%
1 Week -1.51% -3.64% 35.14% 60.24% -41.41%
2 Weeks -2.10% -6.31% 36.49% 75.81% -43.15%
1 Month -0.30% -5.15% 40.54% 111.14% -40.60%

Next earnings: August 5, 2026 (24 days away)

Seasonality & Day-of-Week Patterns

Monthly Seasonality

MonthAvg ReturnWin RateSamples
Jan3.8%36.8%19
Feb-4.8%31.6%19
Mar-5.0%26.3%19
Apr1.2%36.8%19
May-3.2%42.1%19
Jun1.0%42.1%19
Jul-0.9%44.4%18
Aug-4.1%33.3%18
Sep4.2%55.6%18
Oct-0.9%61.1%18
Nov11.3%50.0%18
Dec3.3%50.0%18

Day-of-Week Tendencies

DayAvg ReturnWin RateSamples
Monday -0.04% 41.1% 875
Tuesday 0.24% 45.1% 958
Wednesday -0.06% 43.3% 957
Thursday 0.08% 43.2% 939
Friday -0.10% 43.0% 933

Top Institutional Holders

Institutional holder breakdown coming soon.

Total institutional ownership: 49.4%

Insider Transactions — Smart Summary

Total insider ownership: 13.2%

12-Month Insider Activity Summary

Total Filings3
Net Value+$331,386.387
Net Shares Change24,401
% of Float0.7%
C-Suite Filings3
Clusters Detected0

Key Insiders

NameTitleNet ValueFilingsActivity
Washlow Sally A. Chief Executive Officer +$325,851.387 2 2 buy
BRODIN J PER EVP, CFO, CAO & Treasurer +$5,535 1 1 buy

Significant Filings

DateInsiderTitleNet ValuePrice After
2026-06-25 Washlow Sally A. Chief Executive Officer +$25,929.168 Transaction at $9.48, now +9.2%
2026-02-27 BRODIN J PER EVP, CFO, CAO & Treasurer +$5,535 Transaction at $11.07, now -6.5%
2025-11-21 Washlow Sally A. Chief Executive Officer +$299,922.22 Transaction at $14.17, now -27.0%

View full insider transaction history on Trend Edge →

AI Consult Analysis

Trend Edge's AI Consult feature delivers a comprehensive, multi-layer trade plan for Orion Energy Systems Inc (OESX) powered by Claude Opus — Anthropic's most capable AI model. The analysis covers five layers: technical analysis (near-term, medium-term, cyclical, and secular trend, momentum, volume shelf support and resistance, breakout and breakdown signals), qualitative analysis (business model, competitive moat, sector dynamics), insider sentiment (buy and sell signals from executive and director transactions), share stats analysis (institutional accumulation, fund positioning, short float squeeze potential), and fundamental analysis (valuation, revenue growth, profit margin, earnings quality).

AI Consult synthesizes all five layers into a single bullish or bearish thesis with explicit entry, exit, stop loss, and take profit levels — giving you a complete, AI-powered trade plan with defined risk/reward. Whether you are building a long position, initiating a short, or looking for a reversal setup, AI Consult identifies the highest-probability signal from the current trend.

Get the full AI Consult analysis for OESX on Trend Edge →