Stock analysis, trade plans, and proprietary indicators by Trend Edge.
About Nexpoint Residential Trust Inc
NexPoint Residential Trust, Inc. is a publicly traded real estate investment trust. With its common stock listed on the New York Stock Exchange and primarily focused on acquiring, owning and operating well-located middle-income multifamily properties with value-add potential in large cities and suburban submarkets of large cities, primarily in the Southeastern and Southwestern United States. Read full Trend Edge analysis →
Sector: Real Estate
Industry: REIT-Residential
Exchange: NYSE
IPO Date: March 19, 2015
Headquarters: 300 Crescent Court, Dallas, TX, United States, 75201-7849
Hidden Gem: Yes — undiscovered relative to its market cap tier
Founder-Led: Yes — James Dondero (Chairman, President & CEO), Matthew McGraner (Chief Investment Officer & Executive VP)
Key Metrics
Current Price
$29.51
Market Cap
$1.52B
Float
21.8M
Shares Outstanding
25.5M
P/E (Forward)
88.50
Price/Sales (TTM)
6.05
vs. Analyst Target
+3.0% to analyst PT
Profit Margin
-12.66%
Operating Margin (TTM)
10.74%
Revenue (TTM)
$252M
Earnings Growth (YoY)
371.80%
Dividend Rate
2.1%
Analyst Target Price
$30.40 (9 analysts)
Financial History
Annual Revenue & Earnings History
Year
Revenue
Net Income
Gross Profit
EBITDA
2020
$205M
$44.0M
$106M
$159M
2021
$219M
$23.0M
$117M
$137M
2022
$264M
-$9.3M
$144M
$139M
2023
$278M
$44.3M
$158M
$250M
2024
$260M
$1.1M
$146M
$203M
2025
$251M
-$32.0M
$212M
$124M
Recent Quarterly Revenue & Net Income
Quarter
Revenue
Net Income
Jun 2025
$61.2M
-$7.0M
Sep 2025
$62.8M
-$7.8M
Dec 2025
$64.0M
-$10.3M
Mar 2026
$63.5M
-$6.8M
Ownership & Float
Insider Ownership
12.2%
Institutional Ownership
82.9%
Short Float
4.0%
% of All Funds Holding
2.28%
Number of Funds Holding
187
Current Moving Averages
Trend Edge tracks near-term, medium-term, cyclical, and secular moving averages across weekly and monthly timeframes to identify trend structure at every horizon.
Timeframe
SMA
Value
Trend Context
Weekly
10-Week SMA
$27.45
Near-term / short-term trend
Weekly
40-Week SMA
$29.72
Medium-term trend
Weekly
80-Week SMA
$33.65
Cyclical trend (business cycle)
Weekly
200-Week SMA
$37.95
Secular trend (multi-year)
Monthly
10-Month SMA
$30.11
Near-term monthly trend
Monthly
20-Month SMA
$34.45
Medium-term monthly trend
Monthly
40-Month SMA
$36.28
Secular monthly trend
Volume Shelves — Support & Resistance
Trend Edge identifies volume shelves: price zones where historically elevated trading volume
creates structural support or resistance. A volume shelf forms when a disproportionate share of cumulative
volume was transacted at a specific price level, making it a high-conviction anchor for future price reactions.
Price Level
Type
Volume Ratio
Age
$24.90
support
1.07x
0 months ago
$37.30
resistance
1.04x
11 months ago
Historical Earnings Reactions (45 events)
Timeframe
Avg Return
Median
Win Rate
Best
Worst
Gap
0.02%
-0.19%
42.22%
3.83%
-2.95%
1 Day
0.11%
-0.30%
42.22%
5.56%
-4.66%
1 Week
0.26%
0.00%
48.89%
14.91%
-12.95%
2 Weeks
0.70%
0.23%
53.33%
21.22%
-18.78%
1 Month
1.30%
3.01%
68.18%
20.75%
-45.90%
Next earnings: July 17, 2026 (50 days away)
Seasonality & Day-of-Week Patterns
Monthly Seasonality
Month
Avg Return
Win Rate
Samples
Jan
-0.7%
45.5%
11
Feb
-1.4%
36.4%
11
Mar
-1.9%
63.6%
11
Apr
4.6%
58.3%
12
May
0.4%
72.7%
11
Jun
4.1%
72.7%
11
Jul
2.8%
72.7%
11
Aug
1.6%
63.6%
11
Sep
-2.7%
45.5%
11
Oct
-0.7%
36.4%
11
Nov
5.9%
81.8%
11
Dec
-0.3%
27.3%
11
Day-of-Week Tendencies
Day
Avg Return
Win Rate
Samples
Monday
-0.05%
48.5%
526
Tuesday
0.11%
50.4%
579
Wednesday
-0.05%
47.9%
576
Thursday
0.01%
50.4%
566
Friday
0.21%
56.0%
564
Top Institutional Holders
Institutional holder breakdown coming soon.
Total institutional ownership: 82.9%
Insider Transactions — Smart Summary
Total insider ownership: 12.2%
Founder-led management: James Dondero (Chairman, President & CEO), Matthew McGraner (Chief Investment Officer & Executive VP)
12-Month Insider Activity Summary
Total Filings
14
Net Value
+$476,246.92
Net Shares Change
-24,220
% of Float
-0.1%
C-Suite Filings
9
Clusters Detected
2
Key Insiders
Name
Title
Net Value
Filings
Activity
Mitts Brian
-$984,413.192
3
4 sell
McGraner Matt
Executive VP and Chief Investment Officer
+$156,420
4
4 buy
Richards Paul
Chief Financial Officer, Executive VP-Finance, Treasurer and Assistant Secretary
+$122,046.92
3
3 buy
Transaction Clusters
Period
Filings
Insiders
Net Value
Seniority
2026-03-09 – 2026-03-17
6
3
+$168,521.15
5 C-suite
2026-03-24 – 2026-03-31
3
3
+$63,544.72
2 C-suite
Significant Filings
Date
Insider
Title
Net Value
Price After
2026-03-24
Richards Paul
Chief Financial Officer, Executive VP-Finance, Treasurer and Assistant Secretary
+$42,036.92
Transaction at $24.73, now +19.3%
2026-03-11
Richards Paul
Chief Financial Officer, Executive VP-Finance, Treasurer and Assistant Secretary
+$52,680
Transaction at $26.34, now +12.0%
2026-03-09
Richards Paul
Chief Financial Officer, Executive VP-Finance, Treasurer and Assistant Secretary
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The analysis covers five layers:
technical analysis (near-term, medium-term, cyclical, and secular trend, momentum,
volume shelf support and resistance, breakout and breakdown signals),
qualitative analysis (business model, competitive moat, sector dynamics),
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